Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $20.0700 (1.06%) ($19.6800 - $20.1100) on Thu. Aug. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $20.0700(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(74%)    XLP(59%)    SPY(50%)    JNK(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    TIP(5%)    SHY(5%)    IGOV(5%)    USO(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.54(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.72(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.74(1.67%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $3.637b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2009	18.49	19.74	19.72	19.54	19.46	19.71	20.07(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	80	27	-31	2.19	46%	0.11	40.7	1.29%	0	1	55	NAN
2	Aug_19_2009	18.47	19.7	19.69	19.4	19.28	19.41	19.86(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	30	15	-52	2.8	46%	0.05	33.7	1.28%	0	0.4	55	NAN
3	Aug_18_2009	18.46	19.65	19.7	19.33	19.2	19.21	19.39(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-20	-11	-68	3.22	41%	0	31.6	1.25%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
4	Aug_17_2009	18.46	19.63	19.76	19.5	19.18	19.15	19.25(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-60	-26	-49	3.84	41%	0.05	39.7	1.25%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
5	Aug_14_2009	18.45	19.62	19.83	19.72	19.47	19.19	19.14(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-140	-22	-9	16.45	36%	0.05	51.8	1.32%	0	-1	46	NAN

6	Aug_13_2009	18.44	19.6	19.9	19.92	19.72	19.21	19.34(-0.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-19	-210	-32	19	3.54	36%	0.05	63.1	1.32%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
7	Aug_12_2009	18.43	19.57	19.93	20.01	19.92	19.75	19.53(-3.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-70	-30	39	2.57	36%	0.05	65.7	1.32%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
8	Aug_11_2009	18.42	19.52	19.96	20.11	20.11	20.22	20.22(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	11	91	0.49	41%	0.11	70.5	1.28%	0	1.2	78	NAN
9	Aug_10_2009	18.4	19.46	19.92	20.06	20.02	20.09	20.38(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	37	20	12	110	0.73	41%	0.11	73.4	1.27%	0	1.6	82	NAN
10	Aug_7_2009	18.38	19.37	19.84	19.97	19.97	20	20.13(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	10	10	115	0.42	41%	0.11	71.6	1.27%	0	1.4	79	NAN

11	Aug_6_2009	18.36	19.29	19.76	19.89	19.91	19.95	19.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	20	6	121	0.64	44%	0.11	64.1	1.26%	0	0.9	79	NAN
12	Aug_5_2009	18.34	19.21	19.71	19.84	19.83	19.94	20(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	40	8	129	0.62	44%	0.05	54.6	1.3%	0	1.4	86	NAN
13	Aug_4_2009	18.33	19.13	19.6	19.79	19.78	19.87	19.99(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	30	9	136	0.6	44%	0.05	47.7	1.3%	0	1.5	87	NAN
14	Aug_3_2009	18.32	19.05	19.49	19.76	19.72	19.73	19.94(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-0	8	132	0.6	44%	0.11	42.4	1.3%	0	1.7	68	NAN
15	Jul_31_2009	18.3	18.98	19.38	19.68	19.68	19.7	19.71(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	10	6	128	0.35	44%	0.16	36.9	1.3%	0	1.5	69	NAN

16	Jul_30_2009	18.27	18.93	19.28	19.61	19.63	19.71	19.57(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	30	9	127	0.39	44%	0.16	35.1	1.33%	0	1.4	72	NAN
17	Jul_29_2009	18.24	18.9	19.19	19.55	19.51	19.67	19.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	50	21	131	0.42	44%	0.22	38.7	1.36%	0	1.9	77	NAN
18	Jul_28_2009	18.2	18.86	19.05	19.37	19.36	19.55	19.83(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	70	27	112	0.51	44%	0.17	35.9	1.37%	0	2.4	75	NAN
19	Jul_27_2009	18.17	18.83	18.96	19.17	19.16	19.34	19.55(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	20	98	0.41	41%	0.17	34.9	1.36%	0	2.1	73	NAN
20	Jul_24_2009	18.14	18.8	18.87	19.03	19.02	19.17	19.36(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	50	19	81	0.41	41%	0.11	33.5	1.39%	0	1.8	63	NAN

21	Jul_23_2009	18.12	18.76	18.77	18.9	18.91	18.98	19.26(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	30	16	57	0.78	41%	0.11	28.4	1.39%	0	1.7	57	NAN
22	Jul_22_2009	18.1	18.73	18.67	18.77	18.8	18.88	18.85(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	10	21	0.53	34%	0.11	20.1	1.36%	0	0.4	43	NAN
23	Jul_21_2009	18.08	18.72	18.62	18.69	18.69	18.84	18.83(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	60	4	-7	0.52	34%	0.06	16.7	1.39%	0	0.4	43	NAN
24	Jul_20_2009	18.07	18.7	18.58	18.71	18.69	18.72	18.86(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	20	9	-21	0.33	34%	0.06	20.8	1.39%	0	0.6	40	NAN
25	Jul_17_2009	18.06	18.69	18.55	18.67	18.65	18.54	18.71(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-40	4	-37	0.34	34%		16	1.4%	0	0.1	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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