Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $19.9300 (1.94%) ($19.1100 - $19.9300) on Tue. Nov. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $19.9300(1.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(70%)    XLP(56%)    SPY(48%)    XLK(42%)    QQQ(40%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(3%)    TIP(4%)    USO(12%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.76(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.59(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.39(2.78%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $3.611b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.45%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2008	20.16	19.39	19.59	19.76	19.72	19.51	19.93(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-80	-1	-3	0.55	52%	-0.1	23.4	3.55%	0	0.7	60	NAN
2	Nov_17_2008	20.18	19.37	19.6	19.73	19.66	19.65	19.55(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-3	1	0.32	52%	-0.15	26.4	3.55%	0	0.2	53	NAN
3	Nov_14_2008	20.21	19.38	19.67	19.71	19.67	19.93	19.5(-6.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	90	5	28	0.68	52%	-0.15	27.8	3.55%	0	0.2	65	NAN
4	Nov_13_2008	20.24	19.36	19.75	19.68	19.58	19.67	20.88(10.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	20	17	51	0.57	55%	-0.15	30.5	3.46%	0	1.8	65	NAN
5	Nov_12_2008	20.27	19.24	19.63	19.29	19.43	19.41	18.93(-4.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	10	-4	36	0.68	51%	-0.2	17.3	3.21%	0	-0.4	53	NAN

6	Nov_11_2008	20.31	19.2	19.62	19.4	19.38	19.49	19.79(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	9	40	-2	41	0.51	54%	-0.15	15.8	3.17%	0	0.8	56	NAN
7	Nov_10_2008	20.34	19.17	19.58	19.47	19.47	19.45	19.43(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10	-5	42	0.43	54%	-0.15	15.9	3.19%	0	0.3	49	NAN
8	Nov_7_2008	20.37	19.16	19.38	19.64	19.69	19.27	19.35(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-140	-11	27	0.21	54%	-0.2	21.1	3.19%	0	0.2	49	NAN
9	Nov_6_2008	20.41	19.11	19.26	19.83	19.88	19.49	18.93(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-130	-18	26	0.38	54%	-0.2	18.6	3.18%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
10	Nov_5_2008	20.45	19.1	19.25	20.02	20.11	20.1	19.48(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	15	10	4	49	0.46	56%	-0.2	17.4	3.16%	0	0.5	57	NAN

11	Nov_4_2008	20.49	19.08	19.2	19.85	20.01	20.28	20.15(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	120	11	52	0.43	57%	-0.1	5.3	3.17%	0	1.3	63	NAN
12	Nov_3_2008	20.51	19.04	19.13	19.69	19.64	20.12	20.31(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	160	31	57	0.34	57%	-0.15	-11.1	3.17%	0	1.6	56	NAN
13	Oct_31_2008	20.54	18.99	19.06	19.06	19.22	19.75	20.28(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	220	31	25	0.48	57%	-0.05	-38.5	3.17%	0	1.7	54	NAN
14	Oct_30_2008	20.55	18.96	18.93	18.61	18.59	19.16	19.87(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	14	210	18	2	0.33	58%	-0.1	-51.7	3.17%	0	1.2	58	NAN
15	Oct_29_2008	20.57	18.97	18.77	18.39	18.28	18.69	18.66(-3.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	140	9	-17	0.22	57%	-0.15	-58.2	3.08%	0	-0.4	51	NAN

16	Oct_28_2008	20.6	19.04	18.73	18.45	18.21	18.02	19.35(12.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-8	-110	-1	-27	0.35	57%	-0.15	-43.9	3.06%	0	0.3	52	NAN
17	Oct_27_2008	20.63	19.13	18.69	18.52	18.37	17.86	17.16(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-220	-36	-47	0.35	51%	-0.24	-31.5	2.64%	0	-2.1	36	NAN
18	Oct_24_2008	20.68	19.28	18.93	19.04	18.85	18.4	18.01(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-18	-200	-21	-7	0.31	52%	-0.19	-16.7	2.58%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
19	Oct_23_2008	20.72	19.35	18.98	19.26	19.13	18.87	18.75(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-120	-5	-4	0.58	54%	-0.14	-14.8	2.58%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
20	Oct_22_2008	20.75	19.41	18.97	19.19	19.1	19.3	18.97(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	60	8	-19	0.3	54%	-0.1	-18.9	2.58%	0	-0.6	42	NAN

21	Oct_21_2008	20.77	19.45	18.98	19.02	18.86	19.38	19.69(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	170	17	-40	0.28	56%	-0.1	-27.9	2.55%	0	0.3	45	NAN
22	Oct_20_2008	20.79	19.43	18.96	18.91	18.59	18.89	19.76(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	60	12	-70	0.25	56%	-0.1	-38.1	2.55%	0	0.4	37	NAN
23	Oct_17_2008	20.81	19.42	18.92	18.84	18.7	18.34	19.13(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-160	7	-86	0.37	54%	-0.1	-44.3	2.52%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
24	Oct_16_2008	20.83	19.46	18.99	18.67	18.84	18.29	18.42(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-180	-17	-101	0.46	54%	-0.14	-55.8	2.48%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
25	Oct_15_2008	20.86	19.56	19.16	18.72	18.77	19.07	18.1(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	120	-17	-97	0.25	51%		-62.5	2.49%	0	-2	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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