Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Broadcom)
AVGO latest price $130.6497 (-2.7%) ($130.4439 - $133.6345) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.59% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $130.6497(-2.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVGO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVGO advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVGO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(68%)    QQQ(68%)    XLK(68%)    IWF(67%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting AVGO price   AVGO will decline at least -1.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.295% (StdDev 2.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $131.65(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.6(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.02(6.2%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $52.535b

Broadcom, Inc., is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, and supply of analog and digital semiconductor connectivity solutions. It operates through the following segments: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial and Other. The Wired Infrastructure segment provides semiconductor solutions for enabling the Set-top Box and broadband access markets. The Wireless Communications segment includes mobile handsets and tablets. The Enterprise Storage segment offers storage products the enable secure movement of digital data to and from host machines such as servers, personal computers, and storage systems to the underlying storage devices. The Industrial and Other segment consists of a variety of products for the general industrial and automotive markets. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. AVGO price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 2.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.04%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.11%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.35%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.91%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.52%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	122.65	123.02	128.6	131.65	132.7	133.24	130.65(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	50	-27	93	3.32	54%	0.16	38.8	2.59%	0	1	63	0
2	Mar_7_2016	122.45	122.19	127.58	131.43	131.76	135.29	134.28(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	200	91	145	4.14	55%	0.18	28.9	2.57%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Mar_4_2016	122.23	121.42	126.34	129.64	130.12	132.15	136.67(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	130	120	121	157	7.24	55%	0.2	20.6	2.56%	0	2.3	80	0
4	Mar_3_2016	121.99	120.83	124.64	127.22	127.58	128.23	128.5(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	40	19	119	5.94	57%	0.16	19.1	2.44%	0	1.3	80	0
5	Mar_2_2016	121.79	120.49	123.69	126.31	126.78	128.09	128.16(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	80	44	123	4.38	57%	0.19	22.4	2.73%	0	1.4	73	0

6	Mar_1_2016	121.56	120.25	123.06	125.07	125.39	126.92	129.53(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	90	60	137	4.49	57%	0.17	23.9	2.73%	0	1.7	74	0
7	Feb_29_2016	121.35	120.11	121.88	123.15	123.43	125.46	125.35(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	120	48	124	3.59	55%	0.14	24.7	2.68%	0	1	66	0
8	Feb_26_2016	121.18	120.04	120.77	122.52	122.19	123.86	124.55(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	90	59	113	2.71	55%	0.13	29.1	2.69%	0	0.8	54	0
9	Feb_25_2016	121.02	119.71	119.27	121.69	121.49	121.4	123.95(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10	32	62	2.57	55%	0.12	26.7	2.71%	0	0.8	45	0
10	Feb_24_2016	120.88	119.24	118.04	120.68	120.61	120.52	121.96(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-14	-10	-22	11	2.57	57%	0.11	20.4	2.7%	0	0.5	48	0

11	Feb_23_2016	120.75	118.96	117.05	120.74	120.81	121.57	119.92(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	50	19	7	2.24	57%	0.06	24.4	2.72%	0	0.2	45	0
12	Feb_22_2016	120.68	118.8	116.45	120.39	120.72	120.71	122.24(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	25	10	38	-14	2.42	57%	0.07	26.3	2.72%	0	0.6	42	0
13	Feb_19_2016	120.6	118.51	116.13	118.7	119.35	120.05	120.39(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	60	23	-47	3.11	57%	0.06	17.2	2.71%	0	0.4	45	0
14	Feb_18_2016	120.53	118.31	116.66	116.39	117.48	120.72	118.9(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	53	220	81	-33	3.92	59%	0.02	6	2.71%	0	0.1	52	0
15	Feb_17_2016	120.51	118.17	116.97	114.92	114.43	118.65	122.28(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	81	250	115	-22	3.27	61%	0.09	-6.4	2.71%	0	0.8	58	0

16	Feb_16_2016	120.4	117.68	117.07	112.87	112.6	114.24	118.12(3.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	58	90	91	-41	3.85	61%	0.07	-22.9	2.68%	0	0.1	53	0
17	Feb_12_2016	120.32	117.41	118.02	112.05	111.71	110.2	113.84(4.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-46	-100	-34	-81	4	59%	-0.02	-32.8	2.66%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Feb_11_2016	120.34	117.6	119.14	113.3	112.74	110.96	108.83(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-105	-130	-111	-87	6.67	56%	-0.07	-30.2	2.6%	0	-1.6	44	0
19	Feb_10_2016	120.43	117.99	120.22	117.01	116.52	113.22	111.53(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-210	-75	-30	4.55	52%	-0.04	-20.6	2.58%	0	-1.3	47	0
20	Feb_9_2016	120.48	118.51	120.68	119.28	119.52	114.51	112.01(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-122	-290	-150	-39	6.34	52%	-0.05	-15.3	2.66%	0	-1.3	48	0

21	Feb_8_2016	120.54	118.93	121.27	121.81	122.59	119.81	114.02(-5.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-100	-140	-134	3	9.12	52%	-0.05	-13.9	2.67%	0	-1	56	0
22	Feb_5_2016	120.6	119.25	121.65	124.78	125.07	124.52	120.1(-5.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-20	-30	83	7.1	60%	-0.01	-11.9	2.74%	0	0.2	64	0
23	Feb_4_2016	120.61	119.27	121.36	125.78	125.85	125.36	127.37(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-30	13	116	6.08	64%	0.03	-22.5	2.66%	0	1.8	64	0
24	Feb_3_2016	120.57	119.06	120.24	123.95	125.28	125.62	122.91(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	50	23	106	5.62	62%	-0.02	-48.9	2.63%	0	0.9	62	0
25	Feb_2_2016	120.59	119.27	119.54	122.27	123.02	126.34	124.67(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	210	68	97	5.9	62%		-61.9	2.63%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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