Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 19, 2023

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $168.7000 (0.03%) ($167.3800 - $170.7020) on Thu. Jan. 19, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $168.7000(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(64%)    IVE(49%)    SDY(48%)    IWD(47%)    SPY(46%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    GLD(-18%)    VXX(-17%)    SHY(-8%)    GDXJ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $169.1(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.45(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.48(2.57%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $23.743b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(59%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.41%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.91%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2023	175.46	164.48	166.45	169.1	169.07	169.09	168.7(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	0	-24	58	0.88	57%	-0.19	42.4	1.86%	0.2	1.2	60	-1.2
2	Jan_18_2023	175.79	164.15	166	169.33	169.47	169.67	168.65(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	10	33	87	1.06	57%	-0.2	33.5	1.89%	0.2	1.3	60	-1.1
3	Jan_17_2023	176.14	163.77	165.29	168.2	168.89	169.04	170.01(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	20	32	76	0.74	60%	-0.39	7.7	1.89%	0.6	1.9	64	-1.6
4	Jan_13_2023	176.83	163.35	164.41	166.69	167.08	169.27	167.85(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	100	38	59	0.56	58%	-0.26	-20.8	1.97%	-0.8	1.6	58	-1.9
5	Jan_12_2023	177.29	163.17	163.87	165.85	165.78	168.74	170.27(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	134	120	147	94	0.65	56%	-0.23	-35.4	1.99%	1	2.4	61	-1.6

6	Jan_11_2023	177.69	163.02	163.04	163.39	163.46	164.89	169.88(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	74	60	84	45	0.76	58%	-0.21	-56.5	2%	2.1	2.2	63	-1.9
7	Jan_10_2023	178.07	163.05	162.23	162.28	161.75	162.82	162.99(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	40	19	8	0.66	55%	-0.26	-53.7	1.95%	0	-0	52	-2.1
8	Jan_9_2023	178.54	163.51	162.04	161.97	161.94	162.04	162.47(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	0	41	14	1.79	55%	-0.3	-43.9	1.95%	0.8	-0.3	54	-2
9	Jan_6_2023	179.07	163.93	162.06	161.78	161.61	160.68	163.63(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-26	-40	-29	-15	0.59	50%	-0.3	-42.7	1.98%	0.8	-0.1	53	-1.8
10	Jan_5_2023	179.61	164.21	161.98	161.59	161.69	161.84	157.98(-3.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	10	-27	-20	0.89	44%	-0.35	-46.1	1.95%	-1.1	-1.5	33	-1

11	Jan_4_2023	180.24	164.8	162.41	162.52	161.88	162.54	164.32(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	20	32	1	0.54	47%	-0.3	-47.9	1.93%	1.3	-0.1	35	-0.9
12	Jan_3_2023	180.79	164.97	162.2	162.19	161.59	161.54	161.47(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10	1	-32	0.65	47%	-0.52	-58.3	1.92%	-0.2	-0.9	20	-0.1
13	Dec_30_2022	181.73	165.25	162.19	162.11	161.55	161.55	161.52(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-20	-10	-7	-57	0.61	47%	-0.3	-60.2	1.93%	-1.7	-0.9	19	1
14	Dec_29_2022	182.27	165.69	162.27	162.11	161.55	161.55	162.65(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-43	-20	-30	-80	0.84	45%	0	-54.5	1.94%	0	-0.7	28	-57.9
15	Dec_29_2022	182.27	166.17	162.47	162.11	161.55	161.55	162.65(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-20	-30	-88	0.84	45%	0	-52.1	1.94%	0	-0.8	35	-57.9

16	Dec_29_2022	182.27	166.72	163.02	162.37	161.78	161.63	162.66(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-20	-30	-92	0.84	45%	-0.5	-47.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	35	-57.9
17	Dec_28_2022	183.19	167.32	163.88	162.23	162.08	162.59	161.08(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	20	3	-72	0.42	47%	-0.28	-40.8	1.99%	-2.1	-1.3	36	1.3
18	Dec_27_2022	183.7	167.83	165.05	162.25	162.17	162.4	162.8(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	10	29	-52	0.46	47%	-0.35	-40.8	2.01%	1.6	-1.1	42	1.2
19	Dec_23_2022	184.35	168.12	165.9	162.14	161.69	161.57	163.03(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10	-17	-70	0.4	45%	-0.22	-45.8	2.02%	0.9	-1.2	36	1.3
20	Dec_22_2022	184.76	168.49	166.55	162.53	162.06	161.94	161.85(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10	-19	-73	0.65	45%	-0.22	-38.9	2.02%	-0.6	-1.6	30	1.8

21	Dec_21_2022	185.17	168.87	167.36	163.92	162.97	161.81	162.37(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-70	-46	-78	0.72	44%	-0.23	-29.6	2.02%	0.3	-1.7	29	1.6
22	Dec_20_2022	185.59	169.23	167.98	165.86	164.7	162.17	161.21(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-104	-130	-107	-96	0.64	42%	-0.25	-17.5	2.03%	-0.7	-2.3	25	1
23	Dec_19_2022	186.06	169.66	168.64	168.3	167.69	164.13	162.22(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-116	-160	-126	-86	0.78	42%	-0.28	5.7	2.07%	-1.4	-2.5	38	1.8
24	Dec_16_2022	186.59	170.05	169.52	170.16	170.48	167.24	165(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-107	-130	-121	-64	2.02	42%	-0.25	32.4	2.06%	-0.9	-2.1	48	0.6
25	Dec_15_2022	187.06	170.11	170.3	171.08	171.7	171.26	168.79(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-10	-62	-28	1.08	42%		31	2.05%	-1	-0.5	49	-0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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