Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 25, 2018

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $170.1800 (-0.94%) ($168.6500 - $172.3200) on Thu. Jan. 25, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $170.1800(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(78%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(67%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(64%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    DIA(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $172.61
5 Day Moving Average   $170.69(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.87(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $172.61(-1.41%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $23.952b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.2%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.21%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.34%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.81%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.99%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2018	179.89	172.61	169.87	170.69	170.96	171.46	170.18(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	30	3	-48	0.68	37%	-0.09	-48.3	0.84%	0	-0.7	36	137.4
2	Jan_24_2018	180.05	173.04	169.94	170.22	170.35	171.89	171.8(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	84	70	125	-38	0.57	36%	-0.09	-54	0.83%	0	-0.3	32	-1.4
3	Jan_23_2018	180.21	173.34	170.01	169.84	169.43	170.45	172.69(1.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	76	30	122	-63	0.76	36%	-0.04	-58.2	0.85%	0	-0.2	35	0.1
4	Jan_22_2018	180.28	173.47	170.1	169.11	168.99	168.81	170.1(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	28	-138	0.63	32%	-0.11	-69.3	0.83%	0	-0.8	25	0.9
5	Jan_19_2018	180.47	173.85	170.48	168.73	169.01	168.42	168.7(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-90	-20	-54	-199	0.72	30%	-0.11	-76.5	0.82%	0	-1.3	19	1

6	Jan_18_2018	180.67	174.31	171.05	168.95	169.16	169.16	167.79(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	0	-58	-214	0.64	30%	-0.11	-86.1	0.82%	0	-1.7	15	0
7	Jan_17_2018	180.87	175.04	172.03	169.58	169.74	169.61	169.91(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-45	-0	3	-187	0.54	32%	-0.1	-88.9	0.8%	0	-1.4	16	0
8	Jan_16_2018	181.05	175.63	172.74	170.21	170.16	169.16	169.03(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-130	-40	-100	-220	0.61	31%	-0.15	-89.4	0.8%	0	-1.9	18	0
9	Jan_12_2018	181.33	176.3	173.67	171.28	171.23	169.87	168.23(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-162	-60	-147	-207	0.49	31%	-0.12	-74.6	0.8%	0	-2.2	30	0
10	Jan_11_2018	181.55	177.02	174.73	172.49	172.52	171.16	169.77(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-145	-50	-135	-173	0.47	34%	-0.11	-68.4	0.8%	0	-2.1	28	0

11	Jan_10_2018	181.75	177.73	175.63	173.46	173.35	172.59	170.96(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-145	-30	-143	-152	0.6	34%	-0.1	-59.6	0.8%	0	-2.1	30	0
12	Jan_9_2018	181.94	178.33	176.46	174.82	174.48	173.88	173.07(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-74	-30	-64	-104	0.52	36%	-0.1	-48.5	0.79%	0	-1.7	24	0
13	Jan_8_2018	182.12	178.8	177	175.66	175.45	174.11	174.39(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-114	-60	-112	-119	0.55	36%	-0.08	-41.1	0.78%	0	-1.5	29	0
14	Jan_5_2018	182.27	179.1	177.16	176.46	176.43	175.09	174.26(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-159	-50	-163	-146	0.68	35%	-0.09	-37.6	0.79%	0	-1.7	28	0
15	Jan_4_2018	182.43	179.39	177.53	177.33	177.56	176.79	174.61(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-98	-30	-91	-117	0.52	38%	-0.1	-36.4	0.79%	0	-1.9	28	0

16	Jan_3_2018	182.61	179.63	177.87	178.12	178.01	177.78	177.79(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-10	-54	-110	0.52	41%	-0.08	-37	0.77%	0	-0.8	30	0
17	Jan_2_2018	182.75	179.8	178.3	178.36	178.4	178.33	177.24(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-0	-3	-87	0.6	41%	-0.11	-38.4	0.77%	0	-1.1	33	0
18	Dec_29_2017	182.96	180.01	178.72	178.53	178.54	178.25	178.41(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10	8	-83	0.4	41%	-0.06	-45.4	0.77%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	Dec_28_2017	183.07	180.16	179.08	177.96	178.18	178.47	178.58(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	20	-10	-95	0.41	41%	-0.06	-60.2	0.77%	0	-0.7	47	0
20	Dec_27_2017	183.18	180.33	179.43	177.77	177.89	178.84	178.57(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	43	40	76	-56	0.44	41%	-0.05	-69.5	0.77%	0	-0.8	49	0

21	Dec_26_2017	183.28	180.47	179.91	177.6	177.57	177.9	178.99(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	10	37	-59	0.44	41%	-0.08	-79.3	0.77%	0	-0.7	52	0
22	Dec_22_2017	183.42	180.66	180.28	178.29	177.96	176.94	178.12(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-50	-82	-85	0.66	41%	-0.05	-69.9	0.77%	0	-1.1	43	0
23	Dec_21_2017	183.52	180.98	180.7	179	179.29	177.25	175.55(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-173	-70	-194	-111	0.54	37%	-0.09	-66.1	0.75%	0	-2.5	35	0
24	Dec_20_2017	183.68	181.45	181.21	180.37	180.74	178.99	177.62(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-188	-60	-219	-93	0.8	39%	-0.08	-56.6	0.74%	0	-2	39	0
25	Dec_19_2017	183.82	181.82	181.45	181.3	181.88	181.34	177.72(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-106	-10	-127	-44	0.79	37%		-51	0.74%	0	-2.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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