Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $182.2200 (1.26%) ($179.5200 - $182.3800) on Fri. Dec. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $182.2200(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(78%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(67%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(64%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $179.21(-1.65%)
Resistance Level   $183.17
5 Day Moving Average   $180.3(1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $180.99(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $183.17(-0.52%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $25.646b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.07%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2017	184.45	183.17	180.99	180.3	179.89	180.28	182.22(1.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	41	10	76	-64	0.52	42%	-0.04	-44.4	0.72%	0	-0.4	40	0
2	Dec_7_2017	184.53	183.41	181.18	180.12	179.99	179.17	179.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-30	-55	-130	0.55	39%	-0.05	-32.9	0.71%	0	-1.2	24	0
3	Dec_6_2017	184.63	183.76	181.63	180.39	180.65	179.5	179.38(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-138	-40	-132	-156	0.47	39%	-0.05	-25.5	0.71%	0	-1.6	31	0
4	Dec_5_2017	184.72	184	182.19	180.93	181.39	180.81	178.81(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-102	-10	-90	-138	0.64	39%	-0.06	-17.5	0.71%	0	-2.1	22	0
5	Dec_4_2017	184.83	184.27	182.73	181.42	181.69	181.8	181.12(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	10	-22	-119	0.54	41%	-0.04	-10.8	0.7%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Dec_1_2017	184.9	184.34	183.06	181.76	181.81	181.96	181.33(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-29	10	-0	-115	0.63	41%	-0.03	-6.8	0.7%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Nov_30_2017	184.96	184.33	183.53	182.42	182.21	181.58	181.33(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-30	-45	-123	0.9	41%	-0.03	1.6	0.7%	0	-1.3	30	0
8	Nov_29_2017	185.01	184.46	183.88	183.08	182.91	181.65	182.04(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-137	-50	-132	-152	0.52	41%	-0.03	16.4	0.7%	0	-1.1	35	0
9	Nov_28_2017	185.06	184.45	184.41	183.67	183.79	182.84	181.27(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-128	-30	-130	-122	0.72	41%	-0.03	27.7	0.7%	0	-1.5	46	0
10	Nov_27_2017	185.11	184.51	185.1	184.21	184.41	184.17	182.84(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10	-53	-60	0.58	43%	-0.04	35	0.69%	0	-0.8	51	0

11	Nov_24_2017	185.18	184.48	185.54	184.51	184.56	184.75	184.63(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	10	-1	-11	0.2	45%	-0.06	39.2	0.68%	0	0.1	61	0
12	Nov_22_2017	185.3	184.3	185.82	184.8	184.64	184.65	184.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-0	12	33	0.33	45%	-0.01	39.4	0.68%	0	0.1	66	0
13	Nov_21_2017	185.31	184.11	186.04	184.82	184.85	184.36	185.02(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-29	-20	-47	24	0.46	45%	-0.05	38	0.68%	0	0.3	55	0
14	Nov_20_2017	185.4	183.85	185.95	185.32	185.26	184.64	183.94(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-69	-20	-101	28	0.42	45%	-0.04	43.4	0.68%	0	0	58	0
15	Nov_17_2017	185.48	183.76	185.94	186.15	186.11	185.33	184.37(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-41	-30	-77	67	0.47	45%	-0.04	56.6	0.69%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Nov_16_2017	185.56	183.61	185.76	186.71	186.75	185.89	186.09(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-55	-30	-99	79	0.75	48%	-0.03	62.4	0.68%	0	0.9	62	0
17	Nov_15_2017	185.62	183.34	185.23	186.99	187.22	186.89	184.69(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-27	-10	-69	100	0.58	45%	-0.05	65.8	0.68%	0	0.5	62	0
18	Nov_14_2017	185.71	183.11	185.13	187.39	187.43	187.62	187.51(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	80	10	47	180	0.76	55%	-0.04	69.1	0.65%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Nov_13_2017	185.78	182.73	184.51	186.64	186.81	187.54	188.11(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	105	30	80	178	0.4	55%	-0.03	67.3	0.68%	0	2	76	0
20	Nov_10_2017	185.84	182.27	183.87	185.69	185.81	187.25	187.16(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	157	60	148	182	0.46	55%	-0.03	65.6	0.68%	0	2.1	63	0

21	Nov_9_2017	185.9	181.92	183.3	184.66	184.77	186.08	187.47(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	210	50	218	186	0.63	55%	-0.04	65.2	0.68%	0	2.6	65	0
22	Nov_8_2017	185.98	181.56	182.59	183.23	183.19	184.38	186.69(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	114	40	116	109	0.61	55%	-0.04	59.6	0.68%	0	3	66	0
23	Nov_7_2017	186.06	181.21	181.94	182.57	182.31	183.47	183.76(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	129	40	137	105	0.52	50%	-0.07	62.2	0.65%	0	1.9	62	0
24	Nov_6_2017	186.19	180.94	181.52	182.09	181.96	182	183.39(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	92	-0	98	74	0.49	50%	-0.07	57.7	0.65%	0	1.9	61	0
25	Nov_3_2017	186.32	180.71	181.35	181.79	181.36	181.16	181.97(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-47	-10	-67	14	0.49	42%		60.6	0.64%	0	1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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