Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $188.4000 (-0.86%) ($188.3000 - $190.4100) on Tue. Jul. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $188.4000(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(78%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(67%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(64%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    DIA(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $186.33(-1.1%)
Resistance Level   $190.86
5 Day Moving Average   $188.01(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.4(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $190.86(-1.29%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $26.516b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.77%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 2.3%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.43%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2017	188.98	190.86	188.4	188.01	188.29	189.06	188.4(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	33	30	64	-60	0.59	53%	0.03	-60.9	0.84%	0	-0.8	38	0
2	Jul_17_2017	188.93	191.26	188.93	187.6	187.83	188.35	190.04(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	44	20	80	-66	0.46	58%	0.04	-58	0.83%	0	-0.4	37	0
3	Jul_14_2017	188.86	191.54	189.1	186.96	187.23	187.52	187.71(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	20	7	-116	0.51	56%	0.03	-59.7	0.83%	0	-1.1	31	0
4	Jul_13_2017	188.81	191.96	189.52	187.27	187.28	187.3	186.95(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	0	-119	0.49	56%	0.04	-56	0.84%	0	-1.5	29	0
5	Jul_12_2017	188.74	192.39	190.08	187.52	187.79	186.94	186.97(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-30	-65	-149	0.52	56%	0.03	-56.3	0.84%	0	-1.7	28	0

6	Jul_11_2017	188.68	192.75	190.68	188.88	188.6	187.25	186.31(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-174	-50	-173	-176	0.45	56%	-0.02	-49	0.84%	0	-2.2	24	0
7	Jul_10_2017	188.71	193.15	191.51	190.47	190.58	188.64	186.84(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-139	-70	-139	-138	0.42	58%	0.05	-50.8	0.84%	0	-2.5	22	0
8	Jul_7_2017	188.62	193.59	192.26	191.54	191.91	189.95	189.3(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-183	-70	-194	-148	0.42	62%	0.05	-49.5	0.83%	0	-2.1	29	0
9	Jul_6_2017	188.52	193.86	192.74	192.08	192.8	192.53	188.19(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-102	0	-100	-107	0.84	62%	0.06	-39.8	0.83%	0	-3.1	25	0
10	Jul_5_2017	188.41	194.21	193.42	192.95	193.05	193.86	193.74(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	51	30	77	-29	0.63	72%	0.14	-26.6	0.74%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Jul_3_2017	188.15	194.22	193.56	192.76	192.56	193.06	194.28(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	29	20	51	-39	0.64	72%	0.07	-17.1	0.74%	0	0	53	0
12	Jun_30_2017	188.01	194.43	193.76	192.79	192.63	192.25	192.17(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-20	-11	-54	0.62	70%	0.08	4.8	0.72%	0	-1.4	45	0
13	Jun_29_2017	187.86	194.61	194.15	193.16	193.07	192.07	192.01(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-88	-40	-93	-74	0.63	70%	0.07	18.9	0.73%	0	-1.5	37	0
14	Jun_28_2017	187.73	194.58	194.56	193.53	193.65	193.01	192.53(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-92	-20	-101	-63	0.75	70%	0.09	20.4	0.73%	0	-1.1	44	0
15	Jun_27_2017	187.56	194.54	194.85	193.93	194.18	194.08	192.81(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	0	-29	-22	0.88	70%	0.1	24.7	0.73%	0	-0.9	43	0

16	Jun_26_2017	187.37	194.5	194.98	194.45	194.37	194.28	194.41(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-0	-22	-7	0.43	74%	0.11	30.6	0.73%	0	-0	55	0
17	Jun_23_2017	187.16	194.36	194.92	194.9	194.73	194.29	194.03(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-20	-43	-26	0.66	74%	0.1	35.6	0.73%	0	-0.2	33	0
18	Jun_22_2017	186.97	194.28	195.02	195.32	195.37	194.45	193.85(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-30	-71	-30	0.61	74%	0.13	41.1	0.74%	0	-0.2	46	0
19	Jun_21_2017	186.72	194.21	195.08	195.74	195.79	195.17	194.56(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-20	-91	-14	0.61	74%	0.11	49.5	0.73%	0	0.2	60	0
20	Jun_20_2017	186.51	194.08	195.11	195.89	196.09	196.29	195.39(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	10	2	40	0.83	74%	0.13	50	0.73%	0	0.6	60	0

21	Jun_19_2017	186.27	193.91	194.95	195.55	195.95	196.42	196.68(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	76	20	77	72	0.59	74%	0.13	45.1	0.73%	0	1.3	63	0
22	Jun_16_2017	186.03	193.64	195.12	194.93	195.17	195.89	196.1(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	30	55	80	1.14	74%	0.12	36.6	0.73%	0	1.1	62	0
23	Jun_15_2017	185.8	193.42	195.06	194.71	194.58	195.49	195.96(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	30	88	101	0.52	78%	0.12	34.9	0.74%	0	1.2	59	0
24	Jun_14_2017	185.57	193.17	194.56	194.36	194.27	194.44	195.34(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	66	0	63	73	0.83	78%	0.11	28	0.81%	0	1	58	0
25	Jun_13_2017	185.37	193	194.17	194.24	193.92	193.66	193.69(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	-10	-35	32	0.56	77%		27.6	0.8%	0	0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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