Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jun. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $195.6400 (2.64%) ($190.8800 - $195.8400) on Sat. Jun. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $195.6400(2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $192.03(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $191.98(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $191.99(1.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 0.51% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.33%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2017	184.13	191.99	191.98	192.03	191.77	192.04	195.64(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.7	76	10	88	40	0.95	81%	0.1	37.3	0.74%	0	3.7	64	INF
2	Jun_1_2017	183.94	191.74	191.56	191.33	191.33	191.15	190.61(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-48	-10	-53	-34	1.15	76%	0.09	57.1	0.67%	0	-2.1	42	INF
3	May_31_2017	183.78	191.68	191.62	191.67	191.81	191.5	191.24(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10	-11	-14	1.56	76%	0.08	55	0.67%	0	-0.6	42	INF
4	May_30_2017	183.63	191.69	191.7	191.77	191.98	191.52	191.32(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-48	-10	-54	-29	0.81	76%	0.1	70	0.68%	0	-0.5	44	INF
5	May_26_2017	183.45	191.68	191.8	191.9	192.15	192.13	191.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	0	-16	-8	0.69	76%	0.08	95.5	0.67%	0	-0.4	47	INF

6	May_25_2017	183.31	191.61	191.88	191.89	192	192.44	192.17(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	20	34	8	0.71	76%	0.08	84.5	0.67%	0	0.5	44	INF
7	May_24_2017	183.16	191.43	191.84	191.83	191.71	192.17	192.31(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	10	52	16	0.58	76%	0.09	80	0.68%	0	0.7	58	INF
8	May_23_2017	183	191.26	191.82	191.56	191.63	191.57	191.75(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-0	37	17	0.62	78%	0.05	74.6	0.68%	0	0.4	66	INF
9	May_22_2017	182.91	191.14	191.86	191.63	191.3	191.25	191.97(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10	-46	-11	0.75	78%	0.08	62.4	0.69%	0	0.5	53	INF
10	May_19_2017	182.76	190.88	191.85	191.7	191.6	191.69	191.25(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	0	14	18	1.17	81%	0.09	51	0.7%	0	0.2	52	INF

11	May_18_2017	182.6	190.67	192	191.86	191.77	191.36	191.86(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-20	-12	24	0.71	81%	0.1	51.5	0.71%	0	0.6	60	INF
12	May_17_2017	182.41	190.44	191.93	191.85	191.81	191.51	190.99(-0.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-38	-10	-57	18	0.81	81%	0.08	49.1	0.71%	0	0.3	63	INF
13	May_16_2017	182.26	190.3	191.77	191.85	191.96	192.18	192.1(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	10	4	51	0.66	81%	0.05	55.1	0.71%	0	0.9	65	INF
14	May_15_2017	182.16	190.13	191.68	192.11	191.98	192.11	192.31(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	0	31	71	0.52	81%	0.1	61	0.71%	0	1.1	62	INF
15	May_12_2017	181.97	189.94	191.55	192.02	191.87	191.75	192.04(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10	-10	73	0.45	81%	0.1	70.2	0.71%	0	1.1	70	INF

16	May_11_2017	181.78	189.67	191.34	192.16	191.89	191.85	191.82(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-12	89	0.4	81%	0.11	72.9	0.72%	0	1.1	68	INF
17	May_10_2017	181.58	189.45	191.01	192.01	191.97	192	192.26(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	0	44	114	0.54	81%	0.09	76.4	0.72%	0	1.4	68	INF
18	May_9_2017	181.41	189.19	190.66	191.37	191.27	191.92	192.13(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	14	90	0.56	81%	0.1	77.7	0.73%	0	1.5	63	INF
19	May_8_2017	181.22	188.92	190.37	191.18	190.95	191.95	191.86(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	109	30	103	126	0.69	83%	0.1	86	0.73%	0	1.6	59	INF
20	May_5_2017	181.03	188.57	189.83	191.02	190.72	190.61	192.75(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	-10	61	96	0.86	83%	0.13	84.5	0.74%	0	2.2	61	INF

21	May_4_2017	180.79	188.21	189.22	190.43	190.5	189.96	191.03(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-23	-20	-44	42	0.78	81%	0.12	92.5	0.74%	0	1.6	65	INF
22	May_3_2017	180.57	187.93	188.82	189.87	190.3	190.84	189.08(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	30	13	51	0.75	80%	0.11	90.2	0.74%	0	0.7	56	INF
23	May_2_2017	180.38	187.69	188.72	189.79	189.68	191.04	191.2(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	50	115	94	0.69	90%	0.12	81.8	0.74%	0	1.9	64	INF
24	May_1_2017	180.16	187.31	188.43	189.41	189.12	189.76	191.02(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	20	121	89	0.63	79%	0.13	73	0.85%	0	2	65	INF
25	Apr_28_2017	179.93	186.94	188.18	188.47	188.4	188.33	189.84(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-0	19	42	0.71	79%		53.6	0.89%	0	1.6	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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