Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $181.4200 (1.76%) ($177.2000 - $182.2300) on Fri. Apr. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $181.4200(1.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(68%)    SDY(65%)    XLU(63%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-7%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $186.63
5 Day Moving Average   $182.79(-0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $185.77(-2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.63(-2.79%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $25.534b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.2%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.27%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.74%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2016	178.62	186.63	185.77	182.79	182.5	180.05	181.42(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-135	-100	-136	-132	0.71	49%	0.02	-23.5	1.38%	0	-1.7	40	INF
2	Apr_14_2016	178.59	187.02	186.64	184.34	184.25	182.43	178.28(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-145	-70	-156	-113	1.1	47%	-0.02	4.6	1.36%	0	-3	38	INF
3	Apr_13_2016	178.62	187.43	187.9	186.28	186.46	184.94	183.09(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-67	-50	-74	-46	0.97	49%	0.02	41.6	1.32%	0	-2.1	47	INF
4	Apr_12_2016	178.58	187.52	188.52	187.55	187.39	186.06	185.61(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-84	-50	-101	-34	0.76	50%	0.02	72.2	1.32%	0	-0.9	52	INF
5	Apr_11_2016	178.54	187.43	188.95	188.36	188.33	187.98	185.54(-1.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-35	-10	-49	9	0.72	50%	0.03	85.3	1.32%	0	-0.9	55	INF

6	Apr_8_2016	178.48	187.35	189.15	189.19	188.98	188.71	189.2(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10	-3	39	0.5	51%	0.07	97.6	1.3%	0	0.8	58	INF
7	Apr_7_2016	178.36	186.89	188.78	189.33	189.09	188.69	187.94(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	-20	-34	21	0.5	51%	0.07	81.6	1.32%	0	0.4	46	INF
8	Apr_6_2016	178.23	186.54	188.58	189.78	189.49	189.25	189.45(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-10	38	0.47	51%	0.08	81.5	1.32%	0	0.9	63	INF
9	Apr_5_2016	178.08	186.06	188.23	189.66	189.55	189.49	189.68(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-0	-10	41	0.58	53%	0.09	77	1.32%	0	1.1	66	INF
10	Apr_4_2016	177.92	185.59	187.78	189.64	189.62	189.72	189.7(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	20	57	0.5	51%	0.1	87.8	1.35%	0	1.2	68	INF

11	Apr_1_2016	177.74	185.11	187.5	189.09	189.11	189.6	189.87(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	20	28	62	0.55	51%	0.1	94.2	1.37%	0	1.3	69	INF
12	Mar_31_2016	177.57	184.6	187.36	188.13	188.28	189.53	190.2(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	50	65	85	0.93	51%	0.1	97.4	1.38%	0	1.6	76	INF
13	Mar_30_2016	177.4	184.02	186.84	187.19	187.14	188.62	188.83(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	85	50	83	91	0.65	51%	0.1	103.7	1.38%	0	1.4	70	INF
14	Mar_29_2016	177.23	183.46	186.37	186.6	186.18	187.02	189.61(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	73	20	67	89	0.86	51%	0.11	108.4	1.38%	0	1.8	74	INF
15	Mar_28_2016	177.03	182.59	185.72	185.68	185.69	185.66	186.93(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-0	14	63	0.64	49%	0.08	89.1	1.37%	0	1.1	68	INF

16	Mar_24_2016	176.89	181.84	185.36	185.7	185.58	185.34	185.09(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-17	-10	-39	51	0.49	49%	0.05	77	1.37%	0	0.7	65	INF
17	Mar_23_2016	176.81	181.25	184.86	186.48	186.46	185.72	185.51(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-30	-11	74	0.54	49%	0.05	79.1	1.37%	0	0.8	67	INF
18	Mar_22_2016	176.73	180.49	184.39	186.41	186.8	185.83	185.85(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-30	-39	67	0.54	49%	0.03	77	1.38%	0	1	71	INF
19	Mar_21_2016	176.67	179.74	183.76	186.05	186.42	187.2	185.03(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	40	-3	83	0.65	49%	0.06	78.9	1.38%	0	0.9	72	INF
20	Mar_18_2016	176.57	179.05	183.3	185.7	185.72	187.77	187.04(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	120	80	112	145	1.37	49%	0.06	81.5	1.38%	0	1.4	85	INF

21	Mar_17_2016	176.47	178.2	182.58	184.93	184.38	185.64	188.95(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	40	116	159	0.86	49%	0.07	85.4	1.37%	0	1.8	91	INF
22	Mar_16_2016	176.35	177.16	181.61	183.03	183.06	183.68	185.18(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	20	50	125	0.51	50%	0.04	83.2	1.36%	0	1.4	83	INF
23	Mar_15_2016	176.28	176.29	180.93	182.09	182.07	183.12	184.03(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	40	50	133	0.47	51%	0.01	83.3	1.38%	0	1.4	85	INF
24	Mar_14_2016	176.26	175.36	180.28	181.15	181.25	182.45	183.3(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	92	50	73	148	0.68	51%	0	83.8	1.39%	0	1.4	81	INF
25	Mar_11_2016	176.26	174.43	179.16	180.53	180.48	181.02	183.21(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	76	20	55	137	0.88	51%		78.3	1.39%	0	1.6	78	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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