Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Jan. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $184.1300 (-0.64%) ($183.8900 - $186.3100) on Sun. Jan. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $184.1300(-0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $184.32(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.41(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $180.02(2.28%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.11%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.62%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2015	175.53	180.02	182.41	184.32	184.46	185.2	184.13(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	30	24	119	0.49	49%	0.05	20.9	1.24%	0	1.2	76	INF
2	Dec_30_2015	175.44	179.83	182.08	184.11	183.89	184.98	185.32(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	98	40	80	151	0.44	49%	0.06	22.2	1.24%	0	1.6	66	INF
3	Dec_29_2015	175.34	179.75	181.25	183.21	183.03	183.72	185.54(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	20	67	129	0.55	54%	0.07	19.8	1.24%	0	1.7	60	INF
4	Dec_28_2015	175.22	179.52	180.14	182.09	182.24	182.79	183.9(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	20	45	90	0.51	51%	0.07	13.8	1.3%	0	1.4	58	INF
5	Dec_24_2015	175.09	179.4	179.24	180.96	181.45	182.35	182.73(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	58	40	56	62	0.49	49%	0.06	11.2	1.32%	0	1.1	49	INF

6	Dec_23_2015	174.99	179.29	178.35	180.21	180.39	181.68	183.07(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	55	50	58	47	0.53	49%	0.06	11.5	1.33%	0	1.3	60	INF
7	Dec_22_2015	174.88	179.08	177.71	179.78	179.84	180.55	180.82(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	30	74	39	0.63	49%	0.04	14.5	1.32%	0	0.6	49	INF
8	Dec_21_2015	174.81	179.1	177.51	178.99	179.33	179.09	179.95(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	19	-0	26	-4	0.55	49%	0.04	18.1	1.33%	0	0.3	42	INF
9	Dec_18_2015	174.74	179.09	177.37	177.86	178.54	179.13	178.21(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	13	-32	3.49	49%	0.04	18.8	1.33%	0	-0.3	45	INF
10	Dec_17_2015	174.67	179.06	177.7	177.2	177.49	179.57	178.98(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	76	90	103	-7	0.7	49%	0.05	18	1.33%	0	-0	45	INF

11	Dec_16_2015	174.58	178.95	177.43	176.16	176.05	177.94	180.92(2.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	85	70	122	-26	0.91	49%	0.06	11.6	1.32%	0	0.7	49	INF
12	Dec_15_2015	174.47	178.67	177.34	175.4	175.18	175.42	176.87(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	10	37	-70	0.74	48%	0.05	8.9	1.3%	0	-0.6	47	INF
13	Dec_14_2015	174.39	178.58	178.08	175.9	175.47	174.16	174.32(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-75	-60	-67	-98	1.03	46%	0.03	18.8	1.3%	0	-1.4	41	INF
14	Dec_11_2015	174.34	178.56	178.84	176.84	176.69	174.95	174.92(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-114	-70	-118	-103	1.23	49%	0.04	26.1	1.3%	0	-1.1	44	INF
15	Dec_10_2015	174.27	178.55	179.6	178.28	178.18	176.79	173.78(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-60	-88	-60	1.05	49%	0.02	33	1.33%	0	-1.4	47	INF

16	Dec_9_2015	174.23	178.6	180.38	178.77	179.15	178.44	177.12(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-20	-54	-29	0.77	52%	0.05	32.3	1.3%	0	-0.4	53	INF
17	Dec_8_2015	174.15	178.41	180.67	179.51	179.33	179.58	179.36(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	10	-42	-4	0.96	53%	0.06	29.5	1.3%	0	0.3	59	INF
18	Dec_7_2015	174.05	177.99	180.89	180.62	180.27	179.86	179.03(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-20	4	47	0.81	53%	0.06	23.4	1.31%	0	0.3	59	INF
19	Dec_4_2015	173.95	177.7	181.02	181.17	181.16	179.09	182.11(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-50	-80	-80	40	0.8	54%	0.07	24.8	1.3%	0	1.1	67	INF
20	Dec_3_2015	173.82	177.44	180.57	181.22	181.92	180.69	176.21(-2.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-87	-40	-127	35	1.1	49%	0.04	25.6	1.26%	0	-0.3	57	INF

21	Dec_2_2015	173.75	177.54	180.69	182.19	182.68	183.22	180.86(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	46	30	20	122	0.83	53%	0.07	34.2	1.21%	0	0.8	67	INF
22	Dec_1_2015	173.62	177.36	180.17	181.9	182.08	183.16	184.89(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	95	40	76	153	0.87	53%	0.1	31.7	1.17%	0	2	81	INF
23	Nov_30_2015	173.44	177.06	179.12	181.23	181.07	182.14	181.79(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	40	62	147	2.31	48%	0.08	27.3	1.21%	0	1.3	81	INF
24	Nov_27_2015	173.3	176.7	178.23	180.87	180.59	181	182.35(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	87	10	67	146	0.54	50%	0.13	15.3	1.21%	0	1.7	71	INF
25	Nov_25_2015	173.07	176.44	177.36	179.88	179.94	180	181.04(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	0	22	103	0.58	50%		-2.3	1.24%	0	1.5	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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