Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $177.9500 (0.5%) ($175.3000 - $178.1800) on Thu. Oct. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $177.9500(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(64%)    XLU(63%)    IWD(61%)    IVE(59%)    VYM(59%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    IVW(-8%)    GDXJ(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $180.19
5 Day Moving Average   $179.75(-1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.96(-2.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $180.19(-1.24%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $25.045b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.28%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.25%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2015	170.74	180.19	181.96	179.75	179.29	177.42	177.95(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-80	-99	-44	0.82	45%	0.1	53.9	1.26%	0	-0.7	50	INF
2	Oct_28_2015	170.57	180.09	182.3	181.12	180.99	178.58	177.06(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-127	-100	-156	-40	0.97	45%	0.1	71.7	1.26%	0	-0.9	51	INF
3	Oct_27_2015	170.4	180.03	182.48	182.56	182.73	181.16	178.91(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-102	-60	-133	-7	1.19	45%	0.11	82.7	1.26%	0	-0.3	58	INF
4	Oct_26_2015	170.22	179.76	182.63	183.71	184.14	183.41	182(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-20	-53	55	0.82	47%	0.12	77.9	1.24%	0	0.5	69	INF
5	Oct_23_2015	170.01	179.08	182.48	184.36	184.61	184.31	182.85(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-26	85	0.67	47%	0.13	72.9	1.24%	0	0.8	66	INF

6	Oct_22_2015	169.79	178.49	182.12	184.48	184.71	184.87	184.79(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	10	20	116	0.82	47%	0.14	70.5	1.23%	0	1.3	74	INF
7	Oct_21_2015	169.55	177.72	181.47	183.67	184.08	184.92	184.23(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	77	40	60	129	0.66	47%	0.11	67.3	1.24%	0	1.3	74	INF
8	Oct_20_2015	169.36	177.07	180.73	182.37	182.71	184.55	184.69(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	107	80	98	132	0.59	47%	0.09	64	1.24%	0	1.6	76	INF
9	Oct_19_2015	169.2	176.35	179.82	181.38	181.21	183.25	185.26(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	134	80	132	139	0.64	47%	0.11	65.8	1.24%	0	1.9	81	INF
10	Oct_16_2015	169.01	175.67	178.95	180.37	180.12	180.86	183.42(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	104	20	93	136	0.93	47%	0.09	74.1	1.23%	0	1.8	85	INF

11	Oct_15_2015	168.85	175.02	178.17	179.47	179.45	179.17	180.77(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10	3	101	0.51	45%	0.08	79.8	1.23%	0	1.5	70	INF
12	Oct_14_2015	168.71	174.46	177.61	178.96	179.16	179.37	177.73(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	10	-2	111	0.57	42%	0.08	87.3	1.21%	0	0.8	69	INF
13	Oct_13_2015	168.58	174.02	177.34	178.77	178.71	179.74	179.73(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	40	66	147	0.77	42%	0.07	92.2	1.2%	0	1.4	67	INF
14	Oct_12_2015	168.47	173.38	176.67	177.94	177.73	178.94	180.19(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	98	40	81	149	0.61	42%	0.08	89.2	1.2%	0	1.6	69	INF
15	Oct_9_2015	168.33	172.62	175.42	177.31	176.83	177.68	178.94(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	79	30	65	122	0.56	42%	0.08	92.4	1.2%	0	1.6	62	INF

16	Oct_8_2015	168.19	171.96	174.59	176.68	176.41	176.51	178.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	-0	40	104	0.69	42%	0.07	86.9	1.2%	0	1.5	64	INF
17	Oct_7_2015	168.08	171.15	173.71	176.09	175.95	175.97	176.78(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-0	-5	77	0.81	44%	0.05	78.5	1.2%	0	1.2	64	INF
18	Oct_6_2015	167.99	170.39	173.15	175.7	175.71	176.32	175.57(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	20	33	94	0.84	44%	0.05	75.5	1.21%	0	1.1	65	INF
19	Oct_5_2015	167.91	169.75	172.64	175.14	175.24	175.93	177.04(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	100	30	93	121	0.64	44%	0.05	71.4	1.2%	0	1.6	70	INF
20	Oct_2_2015	167.82	168.93	172.11	173.18	173.65	175.11	175.8(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	83	70	76	103	0.6	44%	0.05	50.7	1.21%	0	1.5	72	INF

21	Oct_1_2015	167.73	168.29	171.58	172.15	171.91	174.56	175.25(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	134	100	137	126	1.06	47%	0.07	41	1.21%	0	1.6	69	INF
22	Sep_30_2015	167.62	167.66	171.01	170.97	170.8	172.19	174.82(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	147	50	151	134	1.1	47%	0.06	31.5	1.23%	0	1.7	73	INF
23	Sep_29_2015	167.52	167	170.37	170.29	169.75	169.26	172.81(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	16	-30	-6	82	1.23	45%	0.05	27.9	1.23%	0	1.5	73	INF
24	Sep_28_2015	167.44	166.59	169.79	169.83	169.93	169.41	167.24(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-29	-20	-62	69	0.93	40%	-0.01	26.1	1.18%	0	0.2	62	INF
25	Sep_25_2015	167.45	166.64	169.63	170.85	170.61	170.23	170.65(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-20	-18	122	0.56	42%		28.1	1.15%	0	1.1	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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