Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $175.8100 (0.61%) ($174.5500 - $176.4300) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $175.8100(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(63%)    VYM(60%)    IVE(59%)    SPY(56%)    XLP(56%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-7%)    GDXJ(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $174.77(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.08(-0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $174.21(0.92%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $24.744b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	170.7	174.21	176.08	174.77	174.58	174.74	175.81(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	0	37	3	0.53	51%	0.04	38.7	1.28%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Apr_2_2015	170.64	173.69	176.45	174.43	174.57	173.88	174.74(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-30	-26	-6	0.66	53%	0.03	29.5	1.28%	0	0.2	60	0
3	Apr_1_2015	170.59	173.47	176.5	174.68	174.67	174.42	172.91(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10	-56	-6	0.61	53%	0.02	34.4	1.28%	0	-0.1	56	0
4	Mar_31_2015	170.56	173.26	176.83	175.47	175.33	175.27	174.25(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-0	-18	42	1.17	51%	0.02	39.3	1.29%	0	0.2	65	0
5	Mar_30_2015	170.52	173	176.76	176.68	176.26	174.91	176.15(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-27	-60	-56	61	0.52	51%	0.04	46.7	1.3%	0	0.7	70	0

6	Mar_27_2015	170.45	172.67	176.54	177.63	177.55	175.39	174.12(-1.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-82	-90	-131	66	0.58	51%	0.03	49.1	1.29%	0	0.3	68	0
7	Mar_26_2015	170.4	172.39	176.29	178.77	179.04	177.61	175.96(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-36	-50	-87	119	0.64	51%	0.04	52.5	1.29%	0	0.7	75	0
8	Mar_25_2015	170.33	171.92	175.86	178.53	179.39	179.7	176.88(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	30	-6	155	0.93	51%	0.05	48.9	1.29%	0	1	62	0
9	Mar_24_2015	170.25	171.46	174.97	178.29	178.43	180.48	180.29(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	130	80	106	201	0.9	53%	0.08	44.3	1.27%	0	1.9	70	0
10	Mar_23_2015	170.12	170.85	173.64	176.8	176.83	179.08	180.88(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	170	90	161	198	1.44	53%	0.08	37.5	1.28%	0	2.4	69	0

11	Mar_20_2015	169.98	170.4	172.17	175.35	175.01	176.39	179.83(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	125	50	116	151	1.3	55%	0.08	36.5	1.29%	0	2.6	66	0
12	Mar_19_2015	169.85	169.9	170.63	173.52	173.74	174.58	174.79(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	75	40	67	98	0.95	52%	0.04	24	1.26%	0	1.7	62	0
13	Mar_18_2015	169.78	169.59	170.1	172.81	172.78	173.63	175.66(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	30	71	100	1.13	52%	0.05	15.8	1.25%	0	2.2	68	0
14	Mar_17_2015	169.7	169.41	169.29	171.13	171.69	172.89	172.86(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	84	60	85	80	0.45	53%	0.03	4.8	1.24%	0	1.4	59	0
15	Mar_16_2015	169.65	169.28	168.85	169.93	170.22	171.94	173.62(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	95	80	104	69	1.05	53%	0.03	-4.9	1.27%	0	1.8	58	0

16	Mar_13_2015	169.6	169.11	168.38	168.5	168.79	170.49	170.68(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	103	80	122	44	0.71	51%	0.01	-19.7	1.25%	0	0.7	43	0
17	Mar_12_2015	169.58	169.21	168.12	167.29	167.52	168.5	171.22(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	61	50	81	2	0.95	50%	0.01	-36.2	1.26%	0	0.8	49	0
18	Mar_11_2015	169.56	169.16	167.61	167.03	166.59	167.09	167.29(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	10	6	-41	0.81	47%	-0.02	-45	1.23%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Mar_10_2015	169.59	169.3	167.68	167.2	167.19	166.54	166.84(0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-30	5	-53	0.86	49%	-0.02	-50.7	1.23%	0	-1.1	39	0
20	Mar_9_2015	169.63	169.4	167.88	167.6	167.56	166.09	166.47(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-91	-60	-91	-91	0.99	49%	-0.03	-56.7	1.24%	0	-1.3	44	0

21	Mar_6_2015	169.68	169.56	168.54	168.24	168.17	167.84	164.64(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-74	-10	-76	-69	1.31	50%	-0.05	-59.8	1.23%	0	-2.3	41	0
22	Mar_5_2015	169.76	170.08	169.2	168.98	169.02	169.03	169.93(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	30	0	46	-17	0.7	53%	0	-50.8	1.17%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Mar_4_2015	169.76	170.23	169.11	168.24	168.42	168.49	168.14(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	10	-13	-58	0.99	53%	-0.01	-66.7	1.17%	0	-0.9	47	0
24	Mar_3_2015	169.78	170.5	169.58	168.21	168.09	169.01	168.82(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	40	26	-35	0.47	53%	-0.01	-77	1.17%	0	-0.7	49	0
25	Mar_2_2015	169.8	170.69	169.78	168.22	168.16	168.35	169.66(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	10	35	-26	0.67	53%		-91.2	1.17%	0	-0.4	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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