Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $41.9258 (2.32%) ($41.1348 - $42.1533) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $41.9258(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(44%)    XLK(43%)    IWF(41%)    VUG(41%)    IVW(40%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    IBUY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.14(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.41(1.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.34(3.93%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $32.354b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(63%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.84%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.07%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.07%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.69%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	36.23	40.34	41.41	41.14	41.13	41.28	41.93(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	20	12	26	9.41	67%	0.33	46.9	2%	0	0.9	70	0
2	Jul_22_2016	36.11	40.08	41.39	41.09	41.03	40.91	40.98(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-9	33	4.45	66%	0.28	40.5	1.99%	0	0.5	69	0
3	Jul_21_2016	36.01	39.96	41.38	41.24	41.26	40.98	40.81(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-50	-10	51	6.44	66%	0.25	42.8	2%	0	0.5	68	0
4	Jul_20_2016	35.92	39.82	41.32	41.35	41.42	41.16	40.92(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-40	-15	71	5.97	66%	0.28	44.2	2%	0	0.6	78	0
5	Jul_19_2016	35.82	39.68	41.25	41.49	41.56	41.53	41.06(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	0	-12	103	9.31	66%	0.28	47.3	2%	0	0.7	82	0

6	Jul_18_2016	35.72	39.54	41.13	41.72	41.75	41.67	41.67(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	39	-10	1	151	5.93	67%	0.31	54.2	1.99%	0	1.1	90	0
7	Jul_15_2016	35.61	39.34	40.89	41.73	41.79	41.6	41.73(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	42	-30	-1	172	5.08	67%	0.28	56.5	2.01%	0	1.3	80	0
8	Jul_14_2016	35.51	39.17	40.64	41.55	41.73	41.83	41.38(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	50	30	7	177	9.62	67%	0.28	58.4	2.02%	0	1.2	63	0
9	Jul_13_2016	35.41	38.99	40.28	41.26	41.43	41.99	41.64(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	110	24	174	11.46	70%	0.34	56.8	2.02%	0	1.5	66	0
10	Jul_12_2016	35.29	38.79	39.81	40.95	40.93	41.63	42.18(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	67	120	38	155	10.55	70%	0.34	56.2	2.09%	0	2.1	66	0

11	Jul_11_2016	35.17	38.53	39.18	40.45	40.35	40.88	41.73(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	80	35	119	14.72	70%	0.34	53.5	2.09%	0	2.2	65	0
12	Jul_8_2016	35.05	38.3	38.65	39.94	39.85	40.23	40.83(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	60	21	86	6.62	69%	0.37	50.3	2.09%	0	2	65	0
13	Jul_7_2016	34.92	38.15	38.39	39.61	39.59	39.83	39.94(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	25	75	6.27	68%	0.32	48.6	2.08%	0	1.6	55	0
14	Jul_6_2016	34.81	38.03	38.17	39.14	39.23	39.48	40.06(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	50	27	57	9.23	68%	0.32	37.7	2.1%	0	2	59	0
15	Jul_5_2016	34.7	37.9	37.97	38.48	38.68	39.36	39.7(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	140	39	36	7.34	68%	0.38	16.5	2.1%	0	2	58	0

16	Jul_1_2016	34.57	37.78	37.8	37.69	37.97	38.98	39.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.9	40	210	49	14	8.18	68%	0.26	-17.7	2.09%	0	1.8	60	0
17	Jun_30_2016	34.48	37.68	37.63	37.17	37.09	38.01	39.19(4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	23	170	35	-12	15.05	68%	0.29	-46.4	2.09%	0	2	59	0
18	Jun_29_2016	34.38	37.62	37.54	37.03	36.68	36.96	37.59(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	30	15	-24	7.64	67%	0.29	-59	2.04%	0	-0	47	0
19	Jun_28_2016	34.28	37.65	37.57	37.09	36.9	36.17	36.76(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-150	-19	-34	6.31	66%	0.23	-56.1	2.07%	0	-1.3	46	0
20	Jun_27_2016	34.2	37.75	37.7	37.38	37.31	36.4	35.75(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-47	-180	-52	-33	9.34	64%	0.18	-36.8	2.04%	0	-2.9	40	0

21	Jun_24_2016	34.14	37.92	37.87	37.89	37.93	37.62	36.57(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-19	-50	-25	-1	23.59	67%	0.18	-7.3	2.03%	0	-2.4	47	0
22	Jun_23_2016	34.08	38.03	37.97	38.1	38.25	38.22	38.48(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	10	-0	19	5.67	75%	0.18	15.3	1.93%	0	0.9	60	0
23	Jun_22_2016	34.02	38.02	37.93	38.12	38.19	38.24	37.89(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	10	-2	18	4.72	75%	0.15	21.2	1.93%	0	-0.3	47	0
24	Jun_21_2016	33.97	38.05	37.91	38.13	38.2	38.29	38.23(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	20	7	19	7.16	75%	0.12	29.1	1.93%	0	0.4	49	0
25	Jun_20_2016	33.93	38.01	37.86	38.08	38.11	38.14	38.26(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	10	9	9	9.35	75%		11.5	1.93%	0	0.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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