Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $33.6890 (2.5%) ($33.1353 - $33.9065) on Wed. Mar. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.61% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $33.6890(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(44%)    XLK(43%)    IWF(41%)    VUG(41%)    IVW(40%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -1.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SPLV(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.305% (StdDev 2.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.38(4.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.12(4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.54(6.81%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   22.1%
Market Cap   $25.998b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 2.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.21%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.44%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.83%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160430

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2016	33.98	31.54	32.12	32.38	32.32	32.95	33.69(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	37	130	30	58	8.36	46%	0	33.7	2.61%	0	2.5	81	0
2	Mar_29_2016	33.98	31.42	31.92	32.02	31.93	32.06	32.87(3.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	25	20	16	51	6.15	46%	-0.03	36.8	2.59%	0	2.1	78	0
3	Mar_28_2016	33.99	31.32	31.8	31.73	31.73	31.69	31.78(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10	-1	43	3.26	44%	-0.15	30.3	2.55%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Mar_24_2016	34.04	31.32	31.72	31.69	31.67	31.81	31.59(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	30	-1	45	3.76	44%	-0.15	43.1	2.55%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Mar_23_2016	34.09	31.3	31.64	31.77	31.67	31.77	31.96(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	3	49	4.12	44%	-0.09	73.4	2.55%	0	1.1	62	0

6	Mar_22_2016	34.12	31.25	31.48	31.81	31.69	31.54	31.92(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-40	-2	43	4.68	44%	-0.06	88.9	2.55%	0	1.1	54	0
7	Mar_21_2016	34.14	31.16	31.32	31.8	31.78	31.6	31.43(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-40	-8	31	3.06	44%	-0.09	102.1	2.55%	0	0.4	47	0
8	Mar_18_2016	34.17	31.14	31.22	31.87	31.88	31.84	31.58(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10	1	34	11.48	44%	-0.09	117.4	2.55%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Mar_17_2016	34.2	31.04	31.12	31.74	31.81	31.97	31.98(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	10	28	6.28	44%	-0.09	85.2	2.55%	0	1.1	56	0
10	Mar_16_2016	34.23	30.87	31.01	31.48	31.58	31.91	32.16(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	80	19	15	5.08	44%	-0.06	66.6	2.55%	0	1.4	52	0

11	Mar_15_2016	34.25	30.71	30.91	31.1	31.21	31.65	31.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	110	21	2	5.37	45%	-0.06	57	2.55%	0	1.2	56	0
12	Mar_14_2016	34.27	30.56	30.87	30.76	30.79	31.25	31.79(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	14	110	20	-3	7.12	47%	-0.09	52.1	2.57%	0	1.3	64	0
13	Mar_11_2016	34.3	30.36	30.78	30.48	30.48	30.76	30.92(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	60	12	-18	7.75	43%	-0.09	28.5	2.55%	0	0.5	50	0
14	Mar_10_2016	34.33	30.31	30.81	30.42	30.32	30.34	30.65(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10	1	-14	7.59	43%	-0.09	21.2	2.57%	0	0.3	60	0
15	Mar_9_2016	34.36	30.26	30.91	30.47	30.39	30.19	30.27(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-50	-10	7	6.53	42%	-0.09	10.7	2.57%	0	0	66	0

16	Mar_8_2016	34.39	30.17	31	30.7	30.59	30.3	30.19(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-80	-16	30	6.96	43%	-0.09	-1.5	2.57%	0	0	61	0
17	Mar_7_2016	34.42	30.08	31.01	30.98	30.87	30.6	30.39(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-70	-12	54	7.75	43%	-0.09	-16.1	2.59%	0	0.2	62	0
18	Mar_4_2016	34.45	30.05	31.07	31.11	31.12	30.88	30.59(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-50	-9	86	6.13	46%	-0.09	-28.1	2.59%	0	0.4	70	0
19	Mar_3_2016	34.48	30.08	31	31.25	31.2	31.14	30.92(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-10	90	5.45	45%	-0.03	-31.2	2.63%	0	0.7	55	0
20	Mar_2_2016	34.49	30.14	30.76	31.41	31.34	31.36	31.4(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	3	97	8.29	45%	-0.03	-29.3	2.63%	0	0.9	58	0

21	Mar_1_2016	34.5	30.19	30.52	31.35	31.4	31.26	31.59(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-30	9	104	7.54	46%	0	-34.3	2.63%	0	1	64	0
22	Feb_29_2016	34.5	30.28	30.25	31.06	31.16	31.32	31.06(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	50	-2	94	7.48	46%	-0.03	-35.3	2.63%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Feb_26_2016	34.51	30.41	29.92	31.03	31.01	31.54	31.28(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	120	22	88	7.11	46%	0	-35.1	2.63%	0	0.5	55	0
24	Feb_25_2016	34.51	30.48	29.77	30.69	30.76	31	31.7(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	60	34	70	8.61	46%	0.03	-40.2	2.64%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Feb_24_2016	34.5	30.55	29.53	30.02	30.11	30.49	31.1(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	100	15	13	8.31	46%		-49.1	2.63%	0	0.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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