Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $36.3007 (0.38%) ($36.2124 - $36.8500) on Thu. Nov. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.97% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $36.3007(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(45%)    XLK(44%)    IWF(42%)    VUG(42%)    IVW(41%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -0.985% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.985% (StdDev 1.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.22(3.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.58(4.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.66(4.73%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   41.5%
Market Cap   $28.013b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.38%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2015	29.62	34.66	34.58	35.22	35.24	36.09	36.3(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	170	40	23	5.27	60%	0.41	47.7	1.97%	0	1.7	61	0
2	Nov_18_2015	29.5	34.55	34.57	34.83	34.63	35.32	36.16(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	37	120	42	23	8.26	60%	0.41	42.4	1.98%	0	1.7	59	0
3	Nov_17_2015	29.38	34.39	34.55	34.38	34.26	34.39	35.43(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	20	29	9	9.98	60%	0.41	34	1.97%	0	1.2	54	0
4	Nov_16_2015	29.26	34.28	34.5	33.93	33.96	33.95	34.28(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	0	4	-16	8.68	58%	0.34	25	1.95%	0	0	52	0
5	Nov_13_2015	29.16	34.23	34.48	33.76	33.76	34.12	33.93(-1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	70	1	-29	6.82	58%	0.31	25.5	1.95%	0	-0.3	50	0

6	Nov_12_2015	29.07	34.21	34.5	33.84	33.78	33.98	34.34(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	40	-4	-29	9.77	58%	0.31	37.5	1.94%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Nov_11_2015	28.98	34.16	34.51	34.3	34.13	33.39	33.91(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-170	-30	-14	8.54	58%	0.31	57.7	1.93%	0	-0.3	51	0
8	Nov_10_2015	28.89	34.09	34.58	34.77	34.86	33.58	33.21(-0.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-39	-250	-56	11	8.9	56%	0.31	72.3	1.93%	0	-0.8	54	0
9	Nov_9_2015	28.8	34.06	34.7	35.16	35.58	34.86	33.4(-2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-16	-110	-37	48	15.95	56%	0.31	82.4	1.93%	0	-0.6	55	0
10	Nov_6_2015	28.71	34	34.7	35.26	35.61	36.15	34.33(-6.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	25	140	5	83	20.66	59%	0.35	80.7	1.89%	0	0.3	62	0

11	Nov_5_2015	28.61	33.87	34.81	35.21	35.13	36.31	36.64(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	78	230	63	121	10.4	74%	0.42	75.5	1.7%	0	2	77	0
12	Nov_4_2015	28.49	33.59	34.53	34.75	34.49	35.07	36.28(3.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	49	100	40	77	17.83	74%	0.42	73.4	2.21%	0	2.1	78	0
13	Nov_3_2015	28.37	33.34	34.21	34.41	34.08	33.95	35.13(3.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-60	5	56	43.55	72%	0.39	76.5	2.18%	0	1.5	78	0
14	Nov_2_2015	28.26	33.14	34.01	34.23	34.15	33.9	33.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-60	-11	50	7.39	70%	0.36	78.8	2.15%	0	0.7	73	0
15	Oct_30_2015	28.16	33.02	33.94	34.29	34.28	34.22	34.09(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10	-6	65	8.68	70%	0.32	79.6	2.16%	0	0.9	78	0

16	Oct_29_2015	28.07	32.86	33.89	34.32	34.32	34.4	34.32(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	20	3	88	5.7	70%	0.32	74.2	2.15%	0	1.1	84	0
17	Oct_28_2015	27.98	32.67	33.77	34.27	34.34	34.34	34.6(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	10	13	108	6.13	70%	0.36	70	2.15%	0	1.4	90	0
18	Oct_27_2015	27.88	32.45	33.55	33.97	34.16	34.24	34.21(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	31	30	7	103	6	67%	0.32	61.3	2.15%	0	1.3	84	0
19	Oct_26_2015	27.79	32.25	33.36	33.77	33.92	34.33	34.21(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	100	16	106	3.78	67%	0.32	56.7	2.17%	0	1.5	84	0
20	Oct_23_2015	27.7	32.07	33.14	33.54	33.62	34.08	34.23(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	100	22	105	9.15	67%	0.33	54.8	2.17%	0	1.7	83	0

21	Oct_22_2015	27.61	31.92	32.86	33.4	33.31	33.5	34.08(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	30	14	102	9.64	67%	0.33	60.3	2.17%	0	1.9	85	0
22	Oct_21_2015	27.52	31.75	32.57	33.22	33.23	33.16	33.13(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10	7	100	4.7	65%	0.29	64	2.16%	0	1.3	84	0
23	Oct_20_2015	27.44	31.64	32.39	33.07	33.12	33.12	33.17(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	0	4	102	5.39	67%	0.33	68.4	2.16%	0	1.5	85	0
24	Oct_19_2015	27.35	31.52	32.21	32.88	32.93	33.29	33.1(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	80	14	110	5.44	67%	0.29	75.5	2.16%	0	1.7	86	0
25	Oct_16_2015	27.27	31.4	32.03	32.65	32.66	33.11	33.52(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	100	30	113	7.67	67%		86.1	2.16%	0	2.4	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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