Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $19.6607 (9.16%) ($19.0102 - $19.7092) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $19.6607(9.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(39%)    VT(39%)    VWO(36%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.99(-39.02%)
5 Day Moving Average   $18.48(6.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.6(5.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.1(2.94%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $15.172b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.67%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	20.01	19.1	18.6	18.48	18.52	18.78	19.66(9.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	100	30	-71	19.27	60%	-0.15	-33.2	2.16%	0	0.9	46	INF
2	Jan_15_2015	20.04	19.07	18.57	18.21	18.27	18.23	18.01(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-41	-10	-11	-131	6.4	55%	-0.2	-50.6	1.84%	0	-1.7	20	INF
3	Jan_14_2015	20.08	19.12	18.72	18.35	18.36	18.27	18.38(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-30	-4	-118	9.04	57%	-0.2	-60.5	1.85%	0	-1.3	27	INF
4	Jan_13_2015	20.12	19.18	18.85	18.37	18.47	18.32	18.02(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-43	-40	-16	-124	6.45	55%	-0.25	-69	1.84%	0	-2	16	INF
5	Jan_12_2015	20.17	19.25	19.02	18.55	18.6	18.46	18.31(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-42	-40	-19	-109	8.22	55%	-0.2	-85.4	1.84%	0	-1.9	20	INF

6	Jan_9_2015	20.21	19.32	19.18	18.75	18.78	18.63	18.35(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-50	-18	-80	8.73	46%	-0.2	-100	2.03%	0	-2.2	29	INF
7	Jan_8_2015	20.25	19.4	19.32	18.98	18.99	18.74	18.69(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-90	-17	-52	17.66	48%	-0.2	-108.5	2.04%	0	-1.8	45	INF
8	Jan_7_2015	20.29	19.49	19.42	19.16	19.21	18.92	18.5(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-100	-23	-29	16.56	46%	-0.2	-104.7	2.07%	0	-2.7	49	INF
9	Jan_6_2015	20.33	19.58	19.55	19.39	19.43	19.25	18.91(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-60	-16	-4	6.39	48%	-0.2	-95.5	2.07%	0	-1.9	43	INF
10	Jan_5_2015	20.37	19.69	19.63	19.56	19.58	19.49	19.27(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-30	-10	18	5.01	48%	-0.15	-79.8	2.06%	0	-1.2	51	INF

11	Jan_2_2015	20.4	19.77	19.66	19.67	19.68	19.61	19.54(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-20	-5	26	3.23	49%	-0.29	-54.7	2.06%	0	-0.5	46	INF
12	Dec_31_2014	20.46	19.84	19.62	19.71	19.75	19.68	19.56(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-3	20	3.45	49%	-0.1	-43.6	2.06%	0	-0.5	44	INF
13	Dec_30_2014	20.48	19.88	19.55	19.73	19.77	19.75	19.65(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-0	-2	2	3.52	49%	-0.15	-43.6	2.07%	0	-0.4	38	INF
14	Dec_29_2014	20.51	19.92	19.53	19.74	19.79	19.82	19.77(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	20	2	-8	3.22	48%	-0.1	-43.7	2.07%	0	-0.2	40	INF
15	Dec_26_2014	20.53	19.98	19.49	19.72	19.78	19.79	19.83(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	10	5	-33	3.09	48%	-0.19	-39.1	2.08%	0	-0.2	31	INF

16	Dec_24_2014	20.57	20.04	19.47	19.65	19.73	19.76	19.76(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	20	8	-57	1.61	48%	-0.1	-26.6	2.07%	0	-0.4	30	INF
17	Dec_23_2014	20.59	20.1	19.48	19.51	19.64	19.77	19.64(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	70	13	-79	5.39	47%	-0.1	-20.9	2.07%	0	-0.6	34	INF
18	Dec_22_2014	20.61	20.16	19.54	19.35	19.42	19.7	19.71(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	110	10	-96	3.57	47%	-0.1	-19.1	2.08%	0	-0.6	40	INF
19	Dec_19_2014	20.63	20.2	19.59	19.29	19.25	19.51	19.66(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	90	12	-103	7.88	47%	-0.1	-15	2.08%	0	-0.7	41	INF
20	Dec_18_2014	20.65	20.24	19.72	19.23	19.21	19.14	19.46(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-30	2	-113	7.86	48%	-0.15	-13.3	2.07%	0	-1.1	33	INF

21	Dec_17_2014	20.68	20.23	19.88	19.28	19.16	18.99	19.1(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-80	-18	-118	11	45%	-0.14	-15.4	2.07%	0	-1.5	27	INF
22	Dec_16_2014	20.71	20.26	20.06	19.44	19.41	19.27	18.82(-3.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-60	-20	-110	9.77	45%	-0.19	-13.7	2.1%	0	-1.9	24	INF
23	Dec_15_2014	20.75	20.3	20.24	19.75	19.66	19.33	19.44(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-130	-17	-90	5.74	45%	-0.14	-8.5	2.07%	0	-1.2	37	INF
24	Dec_12_2014	20.78	20.31	20.35	19.93	19.85	19.54	19.32(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-45	-120	-32	-83	11.74	43%	-0.14	-5	2.14%	0	-1.4	37	INF
25	Dec_11_2014	20.81	20.34	20.52	20.29	20.21	19.99	19.75(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-90	-21	-46	4.79	45%		8.6	2.13%	0	-0.9	42	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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