Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $21.3986 (0.64%) ($21.1170 - $21.4568) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $21.3986(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(39%)    VT(39%)    VWO(36%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.37(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.17(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.78(2.98%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   15.8%
Market Cap   $16.513b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(27%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(73%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 3.21%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.53%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2014	19.93	20.78	21.17	21.37	21.37	21.32	21.4(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-20	1	73	4.62	62%	0.1	67.5	1.62%	0	1.2	83	0
2	Jun_24_2014	19.91	20.69	21.11	21.33	21.36	21.37	21.26(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	10	1	83	5.36	60%	0.1	61.3	1.62%	0	1.1	81	0
3	Jun_23_2014	19.89	20.63	21.07	21.31	21.32	21.41	21.45(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	30	10	97	8.97	60%	0.1	60.7	1.63%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Jun_20_2014	19.87	20.56	20.99	21.19	21.23	21.35	21.37(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	50	14	99	9.03	59%	0.15	60.5	1.63%	0	1.7	88	0
5	Jun_19_2014	19.84	20.49	20.89	21.07	21.07	21.23	21.39(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	50	15	92	5.46	59%	0.1	61.1	1.63%	0	1.9	80	0

6	Jun_18_2014	19.82	20.43	20.76	20.93	20.94	21.1	21.19(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	50	12	78	5.25	59%	0.1	65.5	1.63%	0	1.8	79	0
7	Jun_17_2014	19.8	20.37	20.65	20.86	20.84	20.91	21.18(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	20	9	79	6.83	60%	0.1	72.2	1.63%	0	2.1	83	0
8	Jun_16_2014	19.78	20.32	20.55	20.79	20.79	20.91	20.81(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-0	2	74	4.06	59%	0.1	79.6	1.62%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Jun_13_2014	19.76	20.27	20.47	20.77	20.77	20.78	20.79(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	0	6	73	3.49	59%	0.05	72.4	1.63%	0	1.6	66	0
10	Jun_12_2014	19.75	20.2	20.41	20.67	20.71	20.8	20.7(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	40	11	70	10.53	59%	0.1	52	1.65%	0	1.4	67	0

11	Jun_11_2014	19.73	20.15	20.35	20.55	20.58	20.76	20.85(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	70	16	59	7.43	59%	0.1	34.9	1.66%	0	2.1	60	0
12	Jun_10_2014	19.71	20.1	20.24	20.41	20.4	20.62	20.83(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	22	70	17	38	8.13	59%	0.05	43.6	1.67%	0	2.4	60	0
13	Jun_9_2014	19.7	20.06	20.15	20.27	20.26	20.4	20.67(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	50	16	21	11.1	59%	0.1	59.2	1.68%	0	2.4	59	0
14	Jun_6_2014	19.68	20.03	20.09	20.14	20.14	20.18	20.31(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	10	4	9	6.18	57%	0.05	71.4	1.68%	0	1.3	62	0
15	Jun_5_2014	19.67	20.02	20.05	20.14	20.09	20.11	20.11(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	0	0	12	4.87	57%	0.05	91	1.69%	0	0.4	65	0

16	Jun_4_2014	19.66	20.04	20.06	20.12	20.1	20.1	20.13(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-0	5	24	4.94	57%	0.05	104.5	1.7%	0	0.4	59	0
17	Jun_3_2014	19.65	19.97	20.06	20.05	20.08	20.07	20.15(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	0	2	20	7.69	57%	0.05	55.4	1.72%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Jun_2_2014	19.64	19.91	20.07	20.01	20.03	20.11	20.02(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	30	0	18	3.49	57%	0	44.4	1.73%	0	0.3	49	0
19	May_30_2014	19.64	19.88	20.05	20.02	20.02	20.08	20.18(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	20	7	16	10.29	57%	0.05	49.3	1.75%	0	0.7	49	0
20	May_29_2014	19.63	19.84	19.98	19.98	19.98	20.08	20.15(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10	-2	-3	10.6	57%	0.05	49.8	1.76%	0	0.7	48	0

21	May_28_2014	19.62	19.81	19.94	20	20.01	19.95	19.74(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-20	-9	-15	8.31	55%	0.05	55.5	1.76%	0	-0.2	36	0
22	May_27_2014	19.61	19.78	19.96	20.1	20.09	20.02	19.98(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-30	-4	14	6.05	55%	0	57.6	1.77%	0	0.4	69	0
23	May_23_2014	19.61	19.72	19.96	20.13	20.09	20.07	20.08(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-20	1	39	5.98	55%	0.05	50.9	1.78%	0	0.7	68	0
24	May_22_2014	19.6	19.67	19.97	20.07	20.12	20.07	19.93(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	20	7	48	18.9	55%	0.05	45.1	1.8%	0	0.5	58	0
25	May_21_2014	19.59	19.62	20	19.98	19.99	20.17	20.26(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	60	12	55	5.65	55%		41.4	1.8%	0	1.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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