Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 11, 2023

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $649.1500 (-1.11%) ($649.1500 - $649.1500) on Thu. May. 11, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $649.1500(-1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(71%)    ARKK(51%)    ARKG(41%)    ACES(40%)    BLOK(37%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-11%)    VXX(-9%)    XLU(-7%)    UNG(-5%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $650.88(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $643.53(0.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $637.18(1.88%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $271.596b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.47%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.01%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.85%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2023	635.83	637.18	643.53	650.88	650.79	652.79	649.15(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	78	20	70	103	0.44	52%	0.11	-8.8	1.91%	0.1	0.8	56	1.2
2	May_10_2023	635.12	637.82	641.67	648.13	651.35	649.95	656.43(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	123	-0	125	118	0.64	52%	0.15	-12.3	1.92%	1.2	1.2	61	1.1
3	May_9_2023	634.16	637.54	637.06	643.82	645.74	648.78	643.47(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-53	40	-77	20	0.55	50%	0.12	-24	1.91%	-0.9	0.4	59	0.7
4	May_8_2023	633.37	638.21	633.54	642	644.23	652.75	653.93(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	309	100	354	172	0.36	50%	0.14	-30.1	1.9%	1.2	1	54	1.2
5	May_5_2023	632.51	638.34	630.65	638.47	638.93	642.69	651.4(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	210	40	242	113	0.61	50%	0.11	-41.1	1.95%	2.2	0.8	55	1.1

6	May_4_2023	631.84	638.51	628.58	635.36	635.15	635.71	635.4(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	10	7	-4	0.61	47%	0.03	-50.6	1.94%	0.3	-0.2	36	-0.1
7	May_3_2023	631.64	639.72	628.02	634.26	635.71	635.16	634.92(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	38	0	52	-5	0.47	47%	0.01	-51.1	1.96%	1.2	-0.3	36	1
8	May_2_2023	631.58	641.29	626.96	629.07	633.82	634.59	634.33(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	30	54	-31	0.74	47%	0.04	-49.1	1.98%	0.4	-0.4	42	1.1
9	May_1_2023	631.31	643.18	627.45	623.43	628.06	636.26	636.3(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	148	110	196	3	0.35	51%	0.06	-47.5	2%	0.6	-0.4	41	1.8
10	Apr_28_2023	630.92	645.15	627.37	621.57	620.5	633.06	635.84(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	281	140	356	54	0.65	51%	0.05	-40.9	2.05%	1.2	-0.4	40	1.9

11	Apr_27_2023	630.61	647.1	629.96	621.15	618.2	619.87	629.9(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	212	0	275	23	0.9	51%	0.05	-37.9	2.06%	2.1	-0.8	39	1.3
12	Apr_26_2023	630.32	648.74	633.29	621.35	619.16	607.95	608.98(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-273	-140	-295	-206	0.84	47%	0.03	-33.8	2.02%	-1.1	-1.9	28	0.8
13	Apr_25_2023	630.15	650.46	637.96	624.54	624.41	616.52	606.15(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-382	-90	-424	-257	1.4	47%	0.01	-34.6	2.02%	-1.8	-2.3	24	0.5
14	Apr_24_2023	630.09	652.64	643.52	631.62	629.14	630.36	626.99(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-116	0	-113	-123	1.42	51%	0.04	-30.5	1.99%	-1.5	-1.5	27	1.4
15	Apr_21_2023	629.86	653.78	646.94	633.74	633.2	632.31	633.74(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	51	-10	83	-45	0.84	55%	0.03	-25.3	2.04%	0.5	-1.3	27	1.5

16	Apr_20_2023	629.64	655.42	649.47	640.31	634.16	627.92	630.87(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-266	-100	-292	-188	1.47	55%	0.04	-3.9	2.05%	-0.1	-1.6	27	1.3
17	Apr_19_2023	629.38	656.1	652.64	647.45	643.1	634.1	624.96(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-279	-120	-312	-180	2.01	55%	0.07	19.8	2.07%	-1.1	-2.1	35	1.6
18	Apr_18_2023	628.91	657.31	657.21	653.39	653.5	640.4	641.54(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-286	-140	-328	-160	0.78	58%	0.1	43.4	2.08%	-0.5	-1.2	56	1.6
19	Apr_17_2023	628.31	657.76	660.53	657.05	656.34	652.1	637.57(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-370	-50	-433	-182	1.35	58%	0.07	68.4	2.09%	-1.2	-1.6	51	1.5
20	Apr_14_2023	627.84	657.78	664.72	661.69	661.86	666.59	666.62(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	151	50	173	85	0.52	64%	0.07	88.4	2.01%	0.4	0.7	62	1.5

21	Apr_13_2023	627.43	656.01	665.6	660.04	660.45	660.58	666.56(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	104	0	117	63	0.89	64%	0.1	87.1	2.03%	1.3	0.7	50	1.4
22	Apr_12_2023	626.78	653.26	665.19	658.98	658.41	657.13	654.67(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-86	-20	-108	-19	0.88	64%	0.1	67.3	2.02%	-0.9	0.1	58	1.2
23	Apr_11_2023	626.16	651.68	663.86	661.81	660.08	660.32	659.82(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-10	-20	20	0.76	64%	0.13	70.4	2.03%	0.4	0.4	58	1.3
24	Apr_10_2023	625.33	649.2	662.49	664.76	662.19	659.68	660.76(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-36	-40	-52	14	0.47	64%	0.17	64.6	2.04%	0.5	0.6	56	1.4
25	Apr_6_2023	624.25	646.39	661.19	668.28	665.12	659.84	658.38(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-152	-70	-193	-28	0.5	71%		54.3	2.1%	-0.8	0.5	61	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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