Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 12, 2019

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $202.8000 (2.49%) ($200.6700 - $202.8800) on Fri. Apr. 12, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $202.8000(2.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(77%)    FIVG(72%)    QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VXX(-17%)    VIXM(-7%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $201.13(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.11(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.99(4.54%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $84.849b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.12% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.75%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2019	175.31	193.99	199.11	201.13	200.45	200.04	202.8(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-20	32	149	0.29	82%	0.17	71.2	1.7%	0	1.5	75	2.4
2	Apr_11_2019	175.02	193.44	197.69	200.84	200.62	198.92	197.87(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-26	-60	-71	109	0.33	80%	0.21	81.2	1.7%	0	0.7	67	1.6
3	Apr_10_2019	174.66	192.74	196.45	200.97	201.38	200.87	199.79(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-34	112	0.42	80%	0.23	83.8	1.69%	0	1.1	56	1.3
4	Apr_9_2019	174.26	191.89	194.95	200.56	201	202.33	201.57(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	50	42	130	0.47	83%	0.23	82.9	1.69%	0	1.5	62	0.6
5	Apr_8_2019	173.86	190.92	193.51	199	199.9	201.89	203.62(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	121	80	116	137	0.34	83%	0.21	76.6	1.74%	0	2	66	1.2

6	Apr_5_2019	173.49	189.77	191.72	196.77	197.61	199.67	201.37(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	105	90	105	104	0.33	83%	0.15	67	1.75%	0	1.9	64	1.3
7	Apr_4_2019	173.23	188.63	190.27	194.11	195.32	197.92	198.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	119	110	132	80	0.31	84%	0.16	51.6	1.76%	0	1.7	56	1.2
8	Apr_3_2019	172.96	187.58	189.7	191.23	192.51	195.56	197.75(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	132	130	150	76	0.46	75%	0.16	35.9	1.82%	0	1.9	68	1
9	Apr_2_2019	172.68	186.73	188.94	188.51	189.09	192.72	193.8(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	104	140	121	52	0.22	73%	0.15	21.8	1.96%	0	1.4	66	1.2
10	Apr_1_2019	172.42	186.23	188.55	187.19	187.09	189.46	192.45(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	110	90	128	55	0.41	73%	0.1	14.5	1.96%	0	1.3	65	1.2

11	Mar_29_2019	172.24	185.86	188.31	185.97	185.84	185.46	188.05(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-20	22	15	0.34	72%	0.08	5.9	1.95%	0	0.5	63	1
12	Mar_28_2019	172.1	185.7	188.74	185.91	185.69	184.72	184.11(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-55	-40	-72	-2	0.23	70%	0.04	5.9	1.95%	0	-0.4	62	0.7
13	Mar_27_2019	172.03	185.66	188.78	187.94	187.12	186.22	184.13(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-25	-50	-45	37	0.58	70%	0.04	19.4	1.95%	0	-0.3	64	0.2
14	Mar_26_2019	171.96	185.68	188.73	189.36	188.83	186.65	187.23(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-29	-90	-55	51	0.29	74%	0.09	29.2	1.93%	0	0.4	61	0.4
15	Mar_25_2019	171.81	185.57	188.34	190.06	189.79	188.03	186.34(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-61	-70	-94	37	0.55	74%	0.07	36.7	2.04%	0	0.2	53	-0.9

16	Mar_22_2019	171.69	185.59	187.91	190.92	190.94	191.01	187.72(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	0	-22	68	0.28	74%	0.08	45.8	2.06%	0	0.5	53	-1
17	Mar_21_2019	171.56	185.44	187.11	191.94	191.17	191.56	194.28(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	0	36	95	0.53	75%	0.13	53.2	2.02%	0	2	63	1.4
18	Mar_20_2019	171.33	184.82	185.43	189.74	190.63	190.88	191.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	20	38	68	0.41	75%	0.13	44.5	2.06%	0	1.6	63	1.3
19	Mar_19_2019	171.1	184.41	184.39	188	188.8	190.78	190.7(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	90	47	53	0.44	67%	0.17	36	2.06%	0	1.7	60	1.7
20	Mar_18_2019	170.81	183.97	183.69	186.36	186.82	190.38	190.65(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	106	140	119	65	0.43	67%	0.15	30.6	2.19%	0	2	57	1.8

21	Mar_15_2019	170.55	183.62	183.08	184.45	184.75	186.82	192.81(5.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	112	80	132	53	1.27	67%	0.15	21.6	2.17%	0	3	56	2.2
22	Mar_14_2019	170.3	183.14	182.17	181.65	182.18	183.27	183.29(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	50	42	-7	0.33	63%	0.15	1.6	2.09%	0	0.1	46	2
23	Mar_13_2019	170.04	183.09	182.11	180.5	180.67	182.69	182.53(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	38	80	55	-12	0.42	63%	0.06	-22.1	2.11%	0	-0.3	51	1.8
24	Mar_12_2019	169.94	183.11	182.25	180.22	179.55	181.09	182.51(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	37	50	54	-15	0.51	63%	0.04	-23	2.11%	0	-0.3	48	1.8
25	Mar_11_2019	169.87	182.94	182.5	180.63	179.67	178.65	181.09(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-60	-7	-32	0.61	63%		-18.7	2.13%	0	-0.8	49	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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