Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $136.2522 (1.12%) ($135.4978 - $136.2622) on Tue. May. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $136.2522(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(75%)    QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $134.29(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.01(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $132.26(3.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $57.006b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 44 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(43%) Sample size 44 Average positive next three day return: 1.84%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(55%) Sample size 44 Average positive next weekly return: 1.94%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.2%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2017	123.71	132.26	134.01	134.29	134.26	135.3	136.25(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	71	50	69	76	0.73	59%	0.11	62	1.21%	0	1.5	70	0
2	May_15_2017	123.58	131.87	133.76	133.83	133.51	134.21	134.74(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	30	54	69	0.58	59%	0.22	60.7	1.2%	0	1.1	58	0
3	May_12_2017	123.31	131.54	133.48	133.34	133.27	133.21	134.45(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-0	24	49	0.44	61%	0.22	54.8	1.2%	0	1.1	60	0
4	May_11_2017	123.04	131.15	133.14	133.42	132.93	132.81	133.18(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-20	-34	38	0.64	61%	0.21	50	1.2%	0	0.7	67	0
5	May_10_2017	122.78	130.84	132.93	133.6	133.33	133.33	132.82(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10	7	69	0.7	61%	0.21	47.2	1.21%	0	0.7	66	0

6	May_9_2017	122.52	130.6	132.71	133.67	133.46	133.06	133.97(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-30	-8	86	0.44	61%	0.21	43.8	1.21%	0	1.2	76	0
7	May_8_2017	122.26	130.28	132.52	133.68	133.33	133.33	132.29(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10	-28	93	0.96	59%	0.24	41.3	1.2%	0	0.7	59	0
8	May_5_2017	121.97	130.12	132.44	133.6	133.59	133.86	134.84(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	10	51	141	0.48	63%	0.27	39	1.16%	0	1.7	66	0
9	May_4_2017	121.64	129.8	131.77	132.8	132.89	133.34	134.07(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	30	22	120	0.87	63%	0.27	31.1	1.17%	0	1.7	69	0
10	May_3_2017	121.31	129.52	131.17	132.16	132.39	133.32	133.18(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	50	59	126	1.01	63%	0.26	22.6	1.18%	0	1.6	65	0

11	May_2_2017	120.99	129.37	130.38	131.61	131.81	132.44	134(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	76	40	65	109	0.85	63%	0.28	15.1	1.17%	0	2.2	64	0
12	May_1_2017	120.65	129.14	129.81	131.23	131.11	131.45	131.88(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	7	82	0.26	61%	0.27	10.3	1.16%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Apr_28_2017	120.33	129.06	129.42	131.13	131.35	131.18	130.88(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-0	26	87	0.75	61%	0.25	10.8	1.14%	0	1	54	0
14	Apr_27_2017	120.03	129.03	128.98	130.55	131.34	130.77	130.87(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10	-7	52	0.45	61%	0.25	10.1	1.15%	0	1	54	0
15	Apr_26_2017	119.73	129	128.59	129.98	130.65	131.52	130.39(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	15	41	0.63	61%	0.26	11.6	1.15%	0	0.8	53	0

16	Apr_25_2017	119.42	129.05	128.31	128.89	129.99	131.91	132.14(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	112	130	132	53	0.68	63%	0.27	12.6	1.15%	0	1.7	52	0
17	Apr_24_2017	119.1	128.95	127.84	128.18	128.87	129.77	131.37(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	82	70	103	17	0.69	63%	0.29	13.2	1.15%	0	1.4	52	0
18	Apr_21_2017	118.75	128.87	127.56	127.53	128.11	128.07	128(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	10	13	-42	1.3	60%	0.25	14.5	1.1%	0	-0.5	40	0
19	Apr_20_2017	118.45	128.84	127.64	127.21	127.97	127.97	128.02(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	20	2	-60	2.26	60%	0.24	16.5	1.11%	0	-0.5	40	0
20	Apr_19_2017	118.17	128.8	127.72	127	127.68	128.16	124.91(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-15	40	5	-75	3.36	56%	0.2	20.4	1.07%	0	-2.2	26	0

21	Apr_18_2017	117.93	128.82	128.3	127.58	127.52	127.97	128.61(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	20	48	-54	0.92	71%	0.23	34.3	1%	0	-0.1	32	0
22	Apr_17_2017	117.66	128.72	128.43	127.43	127.26	127.21	128.13(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10	-1	-64	0.33	71%	0.23	40.9	1.26%	0	-0.3	37	0
23	Apr_13_2017	117.39	128.62	128.67	127.63	127.43	127.06	126.37(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-30	-29	-72	0.58	69%	0.2	45	1.25%	0	-1	30	0
24	Apr_12_2017	117.15	128.55	129.1	128.14	127.94	127.31	126.99(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-40	-34	-53	0.49	69%	0.21	58.9	1.25%	0	-0.7	53	0
25	Apr_11_2017	116.91	128.44	129.49	128.54	128.35	127.8	127.78(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-30	-50	-39	0.61	69%		64.9	1.25%	0	-0.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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