Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $100.1884 (-2.16%) ($100.1884 - $101.9799) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $100.1884(-2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(74%)    QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $102.14
5 Day Moving Average   $102.53(-2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.7(-2.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.14(-1.91%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $41.917b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.36%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -4.35%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.82%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	102.91	102.14	102.7	102.53	102.61	101.75	100.19(-2.16%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-44	-60	-62	10	0.71	28%	0.08	-53.1	1.25%	0	-1	56	INF
2	Nov_2_2016	102.83	102.47	102.92	102.97	103.26	102.74	102.4(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-30	-32	49	0.56	30%	0.09	-43.9	1.22%	0	-0	69	INF
3	Nov_1_2016	102.74	102.68	102.94	102.94	103.37	103.47	102.27(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	20	-12	65	0.94	30%	0.08	-43.1	1.22%	0	-0.2	56	INF
4	Oct_31_2016	102.66	102.91	102.81	103.07	103.27	103.78	103.97(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	40	28	85	0.79	32%	0.08	-40.5	1.21%	0	0.4	62	INF
5	Oct_28_2016	102.58	103.04	102.39	103	103.03	103.27	103.81(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	23	57	0.92	32%	0.05	-38.5	1.21%	0	0.3	43	INF

6	Oct_27_2016	102.53	103.22	101.97	102.96	102.99	102.76	102.42(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-10	2	26	0.61	29%	0.03	-36.4	1.2%	0	-0.3	41	INF
7	Oct_26_2016	102.5	103.43	101.64	102.87	102.93	102.78	102.23(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10	-12	-18	0.38	34%	0.02	-36	1.2%	0	-0.4	34	INF
8	Oct_25_2016	102.48	103.71	101.51	102.92	102.65	103.22	102.91(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	30	15	-33	0.57	34%	0.05	-30.1	1.23%	0	-0.3	35	INF
9	Oct_24_2016	102.43	103.95	101.32	102.48	102.55	103.09	103.63(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	41	40	71	-49	0.97	34%	0.04	-27.4	1.23%	0	-0.1	36	INF
10	Oct_21_2016	102.39	104.11	101.41	101.67	101.86	102.08	103.61(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	20	37	-93	1.64	31%	0.05	-26.8	1.23%	0	-0.2	36	INF

11	Oct_20_2016	102.34	104.26	101.47	100.85	101.01	102	101.96(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	34	-128	0.74	33%	0.04	-25.1	1.25%	0	-0.7	28	INF
12	Oct_19_2016	102.3	104.52	101.91	100.23	100.62	101.64	102.46(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	37	80	90	-121	1.11	38%	0.04	-24.3	1.28%	0	-0.6	34	INF
13	Oct_18_2016	102.26	104.66	102.32	99.93	99.69	100.02	100.73(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-28	20	16	-161	0.96	35%	-0.02	-20.5	1.3%	0	-1.2	24	INF
14	Oct_17_2016	102.28	104.81	102.95	100	99.67	99.59	99.58(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-20	-26	-180	0.4	35%	0.01	-16.2	1.31%	0	-1.7	19	INF
15	Oct_14_2016	102.27	104.97	103.72	101.15	100.45	99.35	99.54(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-90	-100	-64	-169	0.33	38%	0.02	-5.9	1.32%	0	-1.8	25	INF

16	Oct_13_2016	102.25	105.08	104.56	102.19	101.9	99.75	98.82(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-136	-160	-126	-167	1.16	38%	0.02	4.8	1.33%	0	-2.2	22	INF
17	Oct_12_2016	102.23	105.29	105.43	103.83	103.4	101.56	100.98(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-146	-140	-148	-141	0.79	41%	0.05	21.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	26	INF
18	Oct_11_2016	102.18	105.31	106.18	105.06	104.93	104.06	101.1(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-87	-60	-90	-79	0.96	46%	0.07	26.8	1.31%	0	-1.5	40	INF
19	Oct_10_2016	102.11	105.32	106.91	106.29	106.13	105.24	105.32(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-60	-39	-11	0.69	52%	0.11	29.7	1.25%	0	0	63	INF
20	Oct_7_2016	102	105.14	107.1	106.67	106.59	105.79	104.72(-2.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-53	-50	-72	6	0.86	56%	0.13	24.9	1.29%	0	-0.1	67	INF

21	Oct_6_2016	101.87	104.94	107.35	106.67	107.23	107.02	107.04(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-20	-21	70	0.47	60%	0.15	22.1	1.26%	0	0.7	82	INF
22	Oct_5_2016	101.72	104.71	107.36	107.3	107.49	107.39	107.11(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-0	-4	99	0.28	54%	0.14	18.8	1.26%	0	0.8	72	INF
23	Oct_4_2016	101.58	104.57	107.18	107.5	107.45	107.45	107.26(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-0	-9	118	0.32	54%	0.14	19.4	1.33%	0	0.9	76	INF
24	Oct_3_2016	101.44	104.5	106.81	107.63	107.52	107.59	107.23(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	0	7	143	0.42	54%	0.17	22.2	1.34%	0	0.9	77	INF
25	Sep_30_2016	101.27	104.42	106.31	107.6	107.45	107.45	107.87(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-0	7	147	0.34	59%		24.6	1.34%	0	1.2	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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