Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $106.8722 (-0.2%) ($106.7246 - $107.5514) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $106.8722(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.79(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103(3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.71(3.05%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $44.714b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	100.43	103.71	103	104.79	105.51	107.18	106.87(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	130	76	54	0.66	54%	0.16	-3.5	1.67%	0	1.3	49	0
2	Sep_22_2016	100.27	103.59	102.31	103.54	104.21	105.91	107.09(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	84	130	104	23	0.58	54%	0.15	-18.4	1.69%	0	1.6	51	0
3	Sep_21_2016	100.12	103.45	101.78	102.53	102.49	103.83	105.04(1.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	43	90	64	-20	0.83	53%	0.13	-30	1.68%	0	0.7	49	0
4	Sep_20_2016	99.99	103.52	101.67	101.59	101.7	102.51	103.24(1.49%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	36	60	62	-44	0.77	54%	0.08	-39.5	1.68%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Sep_19_2016	99.91	103.62	101.91	100.98	100.9	101.15	101.72(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	14	-73	0.55	54%	0.08	-54.1	1.69%	0	-0.8	38	0

6	Sep_16_2016	99.83	103.79	102.32	100.94	100.58	100.9	100.6(-1.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	10	8	-73	1.04	55%	0.05	-62.3	1.69%	0	-1.4	38	0
7	Sep_15_2016	99.78	104	102.83	100.84	100.59	100.65	102.02(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-0	13	-71	1.07	55%	0.06	-77.7	1.69%	0	-0.9	41	0
8	Sep_14_2016	99.72	104.1	103.1	100.93	100.48	100.25	100.39(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-30	-30	-88	1.1	53%	0.06	-87.8	1.68%	0	-1.8	33	0
9	Sep_13_2016	99.66	104.41	103.66	101.78	101.13	100.54	100.15(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-50	-60	-40	-80	0.52	53%	0.07	-87.9	1.7%	0	-2.2	28	0
10	Sep_12_2016	99.59	104.85	104.21	103	102.36	100.7	101.53(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-66	-130	-65	-69	0.5	53%	0.08	-68.7	1.7%	0	-1.8	38	0

11	Sep_9_2016	99.51	105.21	104.55	103.93	103.76	101.72	100.12(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-94	-140	-102	-68	0.82	51%	0.07	-54.5	1.73%	0	-2.7	34	0
12	Sep_8_2016	99.44	105.66	105.08	105.07	105.09	104.01	102.45(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-61	-70	-70	-33	0.92	53%	0.09	-42.9	1.71%	0	-2	45	0
13	Sep_7_2016	99.35	105.93	105.36	105.56	105.77	105.81	104.67(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	10	-11	3	0.99	55%	0.07	-34.5	1.69%	0	-0.8	56	0
14	Sep_6_2016	99.28	106.1	105.57	105.79	105.62	106.17	106.24(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	30	14	20	0.35	55%	0.12	-29	1.68%	0	0.1	49	0
15	Sep_2_2016	99.16	106.16	105.49	105.62	105.68	105.73	106.17(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	10	29	11	0.26	55%	0.09	-32.4	1.67%	0	0	38	0

16	Sep_1_2016	99.07	106.24	105.37	105.32	105.38	105.06	105.81(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-20	-14	-22	0.46	55%	0.06	-37.3	1.67%	0	-0.3	39	0
17	Aug_31_2016	99.01	106.36	105.23	105.12	105.31	105.63	104.88(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	30	-2	-36	0.35	55%	0.07	-41.2	1.67%	0	-0.9	34	0
18	Aug_30_2016	98.94	106.46	105.14	105.14	105.3	105.69	105.84(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	23	-38	0.6	55%	0.08	-44.4	1.67%	0	-0.4	43	0
19	Aug_29_2016	98.86	106.55	105.17	105.33	105.08	104.99	105.41(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10	-7	-53	0.28	55%	0.08	-39.2	1.68%	0	-0.7	40	0
20	Aug_26_2016	98.78	106.68	105.49	105.35	105.56	104.92	104.65(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-40	-10	-50	0.87	55%	0.07	-30.9	1.68%	0	-1.3	40	0

21	Aug_25_2016	98.71	106.85	105.86	105.43	105.66	105.18	104.81(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-30	-30	-56	0.27	56%	0.07	-19.6	1.68%	0	-1.3	39	0
22	Aug_24_2016	98.64	107.03	106.26	105.34	105.7	106.21	105.01(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	40	10	-40	0.47	57%	0.08	-9.2	1.69%	0	-1.3	38	0
23	Aug_23_2016	98.56	107.18	106.54	105.1	105.43	106.14	106.79(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	26	60	44	-29	0.72	57%	0.08	-9.8	1.69%	0	-0.3	51	0
24	Aug_22_2016	98.48	107.2	106.66	105	104.62	105.19	105.48(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	30	-4	-49	0.49	57%	0.07	-2.1	1.68%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	Aug_19_2016	98.41	107.19	106.87	105.72	105.15	104.73	105.06(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-40	-7	-39	0.53	59%		19.1	1.7%	0	-1.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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