Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $101.5271 (1.41%) ($99.3517 - $101.6551) on Mon. Sep. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $101.5271(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(71%)    QQQ(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $100.56(-0.95%)
Resistance Level   $104.85
5 Day Moving Average   $103(-1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.21(-2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.85(-3.17%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   11.5%
Market Cap   $42.478b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(79%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(21%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.29%(54%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 2.87%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2016	99.59	104.85	104.21	103	102.36	100.7	101.53(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-66	-130	-65	-69	0.5	53%	0.08	-68.7	1.7%	0	-1.8	38	INF
2	Sep_9_2016	99.51	105.21	104.55	103.93	103.76	101.72	100.12(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-94	-140	-102	-68	0.82	51%	0.07	-54.5	1.73%	0	-2.7	34	INF
3	Sep_8_2016	99.44	105.66	105.08	105.07	105.09	104.01	102.45(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-61	-70	-70	-33	0.92	53%	0.09	-42.9	1.71%	0	-2	45	INF
4	Sep_7_2016	99.35	105.93	105.36	105.56	105.77	105.81	104.67(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	10	-11	3	0.99	55%	0.07	-34.5	1.69%	0	-0.8	56	INF
5	Sep_6_2016	99.28	106.1	105.57	105.79	105.62	106.17	106.24(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	30	14	20	0.35	55%	0.12	-29	1.68%	0	0.1	49	INF

6	Sep_2_2016	99.16	106.16	105.49	105.62	105.68	105.73	106.17(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	10	29	11	0.26	55%	0.09	-32.4	1.67%	0	0	38	INF
7	Sep_1_2016	99.07	106.24	105.37	105.32	105.38	105.06	105.81(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-20	-14	-22	0.46	55%	0.06	-37.3	1.67%	0	-0.3	39	INF
8	Aug_31_2016	99.01	106.36	105.23	105.12	105.31	105.63	104.88(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	30	-2	-36	0.35	55%	0.07	-41.2	1.67%	0	-0.9	34	INF
9	Aug_30_2016	98.94	106.46	105.14	105.14	105.3	105.69	105.84(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	23	-38	0.6	55%	0.08	-44.4	1.67%	0	-0.4	43	INF
10	Aug_29_2016	98.86	106.55	105.17	105.33	105.08	104.99	105.41(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10	-7	-53	0.28	55%	0.08	-39.2	1.68%	0	-0.7	40	INF

11	Aug_26_2016	98.78	106.68	105.49	105.35	105.56	104.92	104.65(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-40	-10	-50	0.87	55%	0.07	-30.9	1.68%	0	-1.3	40	INF
12	Aug_25_2016	98.71	106.85	105.86	105.43	105.66	105.18	104.81(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-30	-30	-56	0.27	56%	0.07	-19.6	1.68%	0	-1.3	39	INF
13	Aug_24_2016	98.64	107.03	106.26	105.34	105.7	106.21	105.01(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	40	10	-40	0.47	57%	0.08	-9.2	1.69%	0	-1.3	38	INF
14	Aug_23_2016	98.56	107.18	106.54	105.1	105.43	106.14	106.79(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	26	60	44	-29	0.72	57%	0.08	-9.8	1.69%	0	-0.3	51	INF
15	Aug_22_2016	98.48	107.2	106.66	105	104.62	105.19	105.48(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	30	-4	-49	0.49	57%	0.07	-2.1	1.68%	0	-1.1	43	INF

16	Aug_19_2016	98.41	107.19	106.87	105.72	105.15	104.73	105.06(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-40	-7	-39	0.53	59%	0.08	19.1	1.7%	0	-1.3	40	INF
17	Aug_18_2016	98.33	107.16	107.17	106.42	106.24	104.06	104.37(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-69	-150	-74	-54	0.68	59%	0.05	40.4	1.71%	0	-1.6	38	INF
18	Aug_17_2016	98.28	107.17	107.59	107.33	107.35	105.57	103.8(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-100	-120	-115	-54	2.08	57%	0.07	66.2	1.71%	0	-2.1	34	INF
19	Aug_16_2016	98.21	107.32	107.94	108.13	108.65	108.43	106.26(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	0	-27	-8	1.53	63%	0.11	102	1.7%	0	-0.7	44	INF
20	Aug_15_2016	98.1	107.23	108.11	108.51	108.82	109.12	109.1(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	30	16	18	0.33	65%	0.12	99.5	1.76%	0	0.9	62	INF

21	Aug_12_2016	97.98	106.87	107.99	108.2	108.47	108.87	108.55(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	17	22	0.54	65%	0.14	85.8	1.76%	0	0.7	70	INF
22	Aug_11_2016	97.84	106.47	107.92	108.07	108.15	108.51	108.96(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	17	32	0.88	65%	0.14	87.2	1.77%	0	1	75	INF
23	Aug_10_2016	97.7	106.1	107.84	107.95	107.97	108.07	107.78(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	10	10	40	0.84	65%	0.12	91.9	1.77%	0	0.6	73	INF
24	Aug_9_2016	97.58	105.71	107.85	107.74	107.98	107.79	108.17(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10	5	39	0.56	65%	0.14	92.9	1.77%	0	0.8	57	INF
25	Aug_8_2016	97.44	105.29	107.74	107.64	107.62	107.88	107.54(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	20	-10	41	0.35	65%		93.2	1.77%	0	0.7	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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