Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $94.3314 (4.96%) ($92.3135 - $94.8827) on Mon. May. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $94.3314(4.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(71%)    QQQ(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $87.49(-7.25%)
5 Day Moving Average   $91.46(3.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.63(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.06(1.37%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $39.467b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.31%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2016	90.21	93.06		91.46	91.28	91.87	94.33(4.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	44	40	74	-48	1.55	73%	0.04	-73.8	1.4%	0	0.6	50	0
2	May_13_2016	90.17	93.15	91.63	90.91	90.77	90.34	89.87(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-40	-26	-106	0.77	68%	0.01	-78.4	1.29%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	May_12_2016	90.16	93.5	92.05	91.11	91.14	90.7	90.1(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-30	-26	-98	1.1	68%	0.01	-77.8	1.3%	0	-1.5	40	0
4	May_11_2016	90.15	93.89	92.58	91.38	91.23	91.21	91.13(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10	-22	-82	0.9	68%	0.03	-70.6	1.29%	0	-1.2	43	0
5	May_10_2016	90.12	94.29	93.11	91.61	91.41	91.58	91.89(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	10	5	-54	0.37	58%	0.06	-65.9	1.28%	0	-1	43	0

6	May_9_2016	90.07	94.6	93.32	91.83	91.57	91.26	91.54(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-19	-68	0.46	58%	0.08	-61.6	1.38%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	May_6_2016	90	94.91	93.55	92.5	91.97	91.25	90.89(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-70	-51	-76	0.34	54%	0.07	-57.8	1.42%	0	-1.7	32	0
8	May_5_2016	89.94	95.27	93.83	93.14	92.89	91.88	91.45(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-80	-57	-77	0.46	48%	0.04	-54.9	1.43%	0	-1.7	32	0
9	May_4_2016	89.9	95.59	94.06	93.95	93.69	92.69	92.31(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-73	-80	-71	-80	1.43	48%	0.07	-48.4	1.49%	0	-1.6	32	0
10	May_3_2016	89.84	95.9	94.24	94.81	94.62	93.89	92.94(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-60	-44	-70	0.6	52%	0.1	-40.5	1.49%	0	-1.5	29	0

11	May_2_2016	89.75	96.11	94.65	95.01	95.3	94.7	94.92(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-30	-15	-59	0.46	50%	0.12	-40.1	1.5%	0	-0.6	38	0
12	Apr_29_2016	89.64	96.31	94.8	94.75	95.17	95.35	94.09(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	30	-10	-65	0.79	53%	0.08	-35.3	1.57%	0	-1.1	38	0
13	Apr_28_2016	89.57	96.51	95.07	94.61	94.89	95.9	95.46(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	80	47	-50	0.9	53%	0.09	-30.3	1.58%	0	-0.6	40	0
14	Apr_27_2016	89.49	96.62	95.27	94.18	94.26	94.99	96.66(2.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	25	60	53	-58	0.6	53%	0.1	-30.5	1.57%	0	0	46	0
15	Apr_26_2016	89.4	96.71	95.49	93.63	93.76	93.87	93.9(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	10	-3	-92	0.35	49%	0.06	-32	1.54%	0	-1.5	30	0

16	Apr_25_2016	89.35	96.9	95.91	94.28	94	93.54	93.63(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-40	-30	-85	0.37	49%	0.06	-18.4	1.54%	0	-1.8	39	0
17	Apr_22_2016	89.3	96.99	96.33	94.89	94.93	93.65	93.38(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-90	-52	-87	0.28	53%	0.06	-11.2	1.54%	0	-2.1	32	0
18	Apr_21_2016	89.25	97.08	96.82	95.6	95.75	94.47	93.33(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-81	-90	-81	-81	0.63	56%	0.03	-1.8	1.6%	0	-2.3	37	0
19	Apr_20_2016	89.22	97.2	97.27	96.49	96.57	96.21	93.92(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-52	-20	-52	-52	2.1	61%	0.03	16	1.62%	0	-2.2	39	0
20	Apr_19_2016	89.19	97.32	97.27	97.58	97.28	97.03	97.16(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-7	-12	0.83	68%	0.08	47.4	1.72%	0	-0.1	45	0

21	Apr_18_2016	89.12	97.24	97.75	97.8	97.7	96.93	96.65(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-60	-25	-16	0.34	68%	0.08	52.8	1.77%	0	-0.4	48	0
22	Apr_15_2016	89.05	97.19	97.98	98	98.04	97.52	96.96(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-40	-33	-3	0.54	60%	0.1	55.8	1.78%	0	-0.2	59	0
23	Apr_14_2016	88.96	97.11	98.09	98.21	98.26	98.48	97.76(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	20	-3	22	0.55	63%	0.1	64.1	1.98%	0	0.4	63	0
24	Apr_13_2016	88.87	96.97	98.1	98.16	98.35	98.56	99.4(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	20	20	38	0.36	59%	0.14	69.6	2.01%	0	1.6	65	0
25	Apr_12_2016	88.75	96.7	98	97.97	98.02	98.04	98.23(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	0	2	35	0.3	59%		75.2	2.05%	0	1	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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