Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ASML: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $85.6329 (-0.1%) ($85.3796 - $86.1686) on Mon. Feb. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $85.6329(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.17(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $82.77(3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.19(0.52%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $35.828b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.73% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.49%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2016	87.01	85.19	82.77	84.17	84.61	85.51	85.63(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	27	90	47	-33	0.81	51%	0	13.7	2.18%	0	0.1	40	0
2	Feb_19_2016	87.01	85.29	82.75	83.03	83.53	84.67	85.72(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	27	110	56	-60	1.25	50%	0.02	13.7	2.2%	0	0.1	41	0
3	Feb_18_2016	86.99	85.26	82.98	81.82	82	83.72	83.68(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	21	150	55	-80	0.67	49%	-0.02	13.5	2.17%	0	-0.5	42	0
4	Feb_17_2016	87.01	85.25	83.41	81.01	80.94	82.38	84.04(2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	23	120	60	-90	0.81	49%	0.01	10.2	2.18%	0	-0.4	43	0
5	Feb_16_2016	87	85.01	83.6	80.75	80.32	80.27	81.8(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-20	7	-124	0.76	47%	0.06	5	2.15%	0	-0.9	36	0

6	Feb_12_2016	86.95	84.76	84.37	81.21	80.74	79.49	79.91(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-130	-50	-135	1.14	45%	-0.03	4.5	2.12%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Feb_11_2016	86.98	84.85	85.33	82.45	81.8	80.37	79.68(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-94	-150	-84	-124	1.1	45%	-0.02	13.8	2.12%	0	-1.3	31	0
8	Feb_10_2016	87	84.83	86.16	84.33	83.55	81.98	79.61(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-79	-160	-77	-83	2.41	44%	-0.06	21.4	2.12%	0	-1.2	41	0
9	Feb_9_2016	87.05	84.92	87.01	86.13	85.5	83.24	82.76(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-62	-210	-70	-36	1.2	46%	-0.05	30.3	2.09%	0	-0.5	53	0
10	Feb_8_2016	87.09	84.83	87.56	86.82	86.75	85.11	84.11(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-130	-89	-2	1.28	46%	-0.05	29.1	2.08%	0	-0.2	67	0

11	Feb_5_2016	87.13	84.57	87.93	87.96	87.64	87.76	86.06(-3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-0	-32	81	0.89	48%	-0.05	26.8	2.07%	0	0.3	75	0
12	Feb_4_2016	87.17	84.3	88.15	88.64	88.29	88.38	89.09(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	-0	27	146	0.67	50%	-0.03	22.3	2.03%	0	1.1	65	0
13	Feb_3_2016	87.2	83.94	87.77	88.32	88.13	87.53	88.61(2.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-50	-12	152	0.89	50%	-0.02	13.7	2.03%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Feb_2_2016	87.22	83.69	87.25	88.07	87.99	88.2	86.21(-4.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	10	-19	160	0.74	48%	-0.02	7.5	2%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Feb_1_2016	87.24	83.6	86.55	88.4	88.14	88.73	89.84(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	40	37	192	0.53	51%	0	5.3	1.95%	0	1.5	66	0

16	Jan_29_2016	87.24	83.38	85.18	87.91	87.69	87.78	89.45(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-0	11	168	1.17	51%	0	-0.6	1.95%	0	1.5	69	0
17	Jan_28_2016	87.24	83.29	84.29	87.62	87.57	87.55	87.47(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-0	0	166	1.85	51%	-0.01	-1.7	1.93%	0	1.1	62	0
18	Jan_27_2016	87.25	83.34	83.36	87.14	87.84	87.6	87.38(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	0	22	151	0.91	51%	-0.06	-2.1	1.95%	0	1	57	0
19	Jan_26_2016	87.3	83.37	82.65	86.27	87.09	87.59	87.84(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	70	35	128	0.67	51%	0.01	-3.6	1.95%	0	1.1	54	0
20	Jan_25_2016	87.29	83.38	81.83	84.35	85.55	88.08	87.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	104	250	105	99	0.88	51%	-0.02	-12.7	1.96%	0	1	52	0

21	Jan_22_2016	87.31	83.41	80.88	81.96	83.12	86.58	88.01(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	127	330	156	41	1.7	53%	-0.02	-26.3	1.97%	0	1.1	50	0
22	Jan_21_2016	87.33	83.36	80.03	80.51	80.04	83.02	85.09(2.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	83	240	122	-33	1.25	50%	-0.03	-33.9	1.94%	0	0.4	43	0
23	Jan_20_2016	87.36	83.42	79.68	79.08	78.94	79.67	83.04(6.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	35	60	82	-105	4.54	48%	-0.05	-38.8	1.92%	0	-0.1	39	0
24	Jan_19_2016	87.4	83.53	79.7	78.57	78.43	77.07	78.23(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-88	-130	-50	-203	1.49	41%	-0.15	-40.8	1.75%	0	-1.1	30	0
25	Jan_15_2016	87.53	83.92	80.35	78.96	79.12	78.22	75.45(-6.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-114	-70	-75	-230	1.55	37%		-42.2	1.67%	0	-1.9	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.