Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $89.9184 (2.57%) ($89.4996 - $90.4931) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $89.9184(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)    VUG(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.42(2.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.97(3.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.26(4.24%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $37.621b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.83%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.38%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.6%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	93.99	86.26	86.97	87.42	87.7	89.03	89.92(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	60	120	70	28	1.64	42%	-0.2	32.5	1.86%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Oct_21_2015	94.18	85.86	86.82	86.68	86.76	87.32	87.67(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	50	42	19	0.95	40%	-0.21	7.1	1.83%	0	0.8	68	0
3	Oct_20_2015	94.38	85.57	86.8	86.14	86.2	86.38	86.7(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	20	19	6	1.11	40%	-0.23	-18.3	1.82%	0	0.5	55	0
4	Oct_19_2015	94.6	85.46	86.9	85.81	85.56	86.21	86.47(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	40	5	9	0.5	40%	-0.24	-35.2	1.82%	0	0.4	63	0
5	Oct_16_2015	94.83	85.47	86.9	86.02	85.41	86.01	86.34(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	30	18	40	0.89	37%	-0.26	-35.3	1.82%	0	0.4	68	0

6	Oct_15_2015	95.08	85.52	86.96	86.45	85.79	84.91	86.2(1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-90	-13	45	2.23	40%	-0.24	-30.8	1.96%	0	0.3	59	0
7	Oct_14_2015	95.31	85.7	86.75	87.01	86.41	84.8	85(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-44	-150	-71	39	3.12	40%	-0.23	-21.9	2%	0	-0.3	60	0
8	Oct_13_2015	95.53	85.99	86.85	87.56	87.59	86.68	85.04(-2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-70	-49	74	1.05	40%	-0.1	-11.9	2%	0	-0.3	61	0
9	Oct_12_2015	95.63	86.26	86.71	88.09	87.59	88.03	87.52(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-10	-11	99	0.74	41%	-0.22	-7.8	1.98%	0	0.4	57	0
10	Oct_9_2015	95.84	86.29	86.09	88	88.18	88.5	88.51(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	15	88	0.54	45%	-0.22	-9.3	2.01%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Oct_8_2015	96.05	86.29	85.55	87.52	87.8	88.33	89(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	50	37	74	0.97	44%	-0.21	-15	2.04%	0	0.9	51	0
12	Oct_7_2015	96.25	86.31	84.84	86.47	86.85	87.86	87.72(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	90	35	27	0.87	44%	-0.22	-22.3	2.06%	0	0.5	42	0
13	Oct_6_2015	96.46	86.34	84.23	86.06	85.74	87.27	87.71(0.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	40	110	54	-3	0.74	42%	-0.22	-22.2	2.07%	0	0.4	41	0
14	Oct_5_2015	96.67	86.5	83.86	85.12	85.1	85.85	87.06(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	45	60	71	-34	0.95	42%	-0.22	-26.2	2.09%	0	0.2	40	0
15	Oct_2_2015	96.88	86.58	83.79	83.89	83.86	84.22	86.11(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	30	17	-83	0.95	42%	-0.24	-37	2.1%	0	-0.1	45	0

16	Oct_1_2015	97.11	86.77	83.88	83.29	82.9	84.36	83.73(-2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	110	24	-100	1.32	40%	-0.23	-40.2	2.06%	0	-0.9	38	0
17	Sep_30_2015	97.33	87.01	84.48	82.95	82.96	83.51	85.69(3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	34	50	74	-86	2.47	41%	-0.22	-41.5	2.06%	0	-0.4	40	0
18	Sep_29_2015	97.54	87.08	84.96	82.15	82.01	81.43	82.99(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-50	-30	-139	1.35	37%	-0.24	-45.6	2.01%	0	-1.2	37	0
19	Sep_28_2015	97.77	87.38	85.72	82.44	82.18	82.4	80.92(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	10	-34	-138	1.64	35%	-0.24	-38.1	2.03%	0	-2	26	0
20	Sep_25_2015	98.01	87.84	86.52	83.67	83.21	82.58	83.13(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-70	-9	-110	1.24	36%	-0.21	-22.6	2.01%	0	-1.6	38	0

21	Sep_24_2015	98.22	88.18	87.15	84.58	84.15	81.96	82.01(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-100	-200	-90	-130	2.32	36%	-0.21	-7.9	2%	0	-2.3	33	0
22	Sep_23_2015	98.43	88.43	87.97	86.25	85.76	83.83	81.7(-3.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-112	-170	-114	-106	1.66	36%	-0.22	6.5	2%	0	-2.9	39	0
23	Sep_22_2015	98.65	88.64	88.74	88.16	87.72	86.34	84.43(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-66	-130	-72	-49	1.71	40%	-0.21	22.4	1.97%	0	-2.2	48	0
24	Sep_21_2015	98.86	88.63	89.47	89.46	89.21	87.69	87.07(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-130	-50	-8	1.38	42%	-0.19	21.5	1.98%	0	-0.7	48	0
25	Sep_18_2015	99.05	88.49	89.7	89.76	89.94	89.1	87.67(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	-60	-48	-3	1.45	42%		10.6	1.98%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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