Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $83.6752 (-1.75%) ($83.5583 - $87.0938) on Fri. Aug. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $83.6752(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    XLK(70%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    IYT(-7%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $93.07
5 Day Moving Average   $87.72(-4.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.65(-7.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.07(-10.09%)
To recent high   -24.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $35.009b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 4.08% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.17%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.62%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2015	101.05	93.07	90.65	87.72	87.69	85.61	83.68(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-106	-170	-85	-167	2.45	37%	-0.14	-68.6	1.8%	0	-2.5	25	0
2	Aug_20_2015	101.19	93.72	91.78	89.04	88.92	87.35	85.17(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-115	-130	-101	-156	1.95	37%	-0.12	-71.2	1.79%	0	-2.6	25	0
3	Aug_19_2015	101.31	94.45	92.72	90.45	89.87	89.78	88.55(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-71	-30	-54	-123	1.62	40%	-0.09	-70.8	1.74%	0	-2.1	30	0
4	Aug_18_2015	101.4	94.95	93.49	91.65	90.96	90.48	90.43(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-60	-13	-86	2.58	42%	-0.1	-76.5	1.72%	0	-1.8	33	0
5	Aug_17_2015	101.5	95.35	93.9	92.89	91.71	89.95	90.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-91	-170	-88	-100	2.57	42%	-0.08	-72.3	1.72%	0	-2	34	0

6	Aug_14_2015	101.58	95.74	94.41	94.11	93.43	91.44	90.28(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-170	-95	-81	2.4	42%	-0.06	-69.7	1.72%	0	-2.6	34	0
7	Aug_13_2015	101.64	96.15	95.07	94.94	94.93	93.46	92.26(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-62	-110	-65	-51	0.9	43%	-0.09	-79	1.72%	0	-2.3	39	0
8	Aug_12_2015	101.73	96.44	95.52	95.26	95.16	95.42	94.55(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	20	-36	-42	1.11	46%	-0.13	-58.2	1.7%	0	-0.9	34	0
9	Aug_11_2015	101.86	96.88	95.71	95.56	95.34	96.4	96.61(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	39	70	54	-7	0.64	48%	-0.1	-34.7	1.68%	0	-0.1	44	0
10	Aug_10_2015	101.96	97.05	95.68	95.09	95.14	94.91	96.83(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	-20	26	-34	0.78	48%	-0.1	-33.3	1.69%	0	-0.1	44	0

11	Aug_7_2015	102.06	97.22	95.59	94.84	94.89	94.28	94.45(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-40	-48	-78	0.5	45%	-0.1	-33.2	1.67%	0	-1.2	34	0
12	Aug_6_2015	102.16	97.51	95.75	95.27	95.41	95.38	93.85(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	0	-22	-67	1.42	45%	-0.1	-33.5	1.66%	0	-1.6	34	0
13	Aug_5_2015	102.26	97.69	96.28	95.81	96.03	95.5	96.06(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-30	2	-43	1.05	45%	-0.07	-39.6	1.64%	0	-0.7	42	0
14	Aug_4_2015	102.33	97.64	96.48	95.88	95.99	95.44	94.27(-1.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-40	-46	-80	0.79	42%	-0.1	-53.6	1.64%	0	-1.5	17	0
15	Aug_3_2015	102.43	97.83	96.89	96.33	96.33	96.55	95.59(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	20	-0	-60	0.82	42%	-0.07	-59.9	1.64%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	Jul_31_2015	102.5	98.02	97.17	96.42	96.31	96.54	96.59(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	17	-60	0.72	42%	-0.05	-74.2	1.65%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	Jul_30_2015	102.55	98.27	97.31	96.3	96.16	96.11	96.51(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10	-11	-81	1.17	42%	-0.07	-83.3	1.66%	0	-0.8	40	0
18	Jul_29_2015	102.62	98.58	97.44	96.85	96.4	96.09	96.44(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-40	-20	-73	0.57	42%	-0.06	-79.4	1.66%	0	-0.9	51	0
19	Jul_28_2015	102.68	98.83	98.13	97.21	97.07	96.21	96.5(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-70	-28	-40	1.56	42%	-0.09	-87.5	1.67%	0	-1	58	0
20	Jul_27_2015	102.77	99.09	98.52	97.56	97.53	96.71	96.06(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-60	-51	-33	0.84	46%	-0.08	-97.1	1.67%	0	-1.3	49	0

21	Jul_24_2015	102.85	99.57	98.99	98.02	98.02	97.92	95.97(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10	-27	-10	1.99	46%	-0.1	-82.3	1.7%	0	-1.3	45	0
22	Jul_23_2015	102.95	100.12	99.42	98.42	98.52	98.36	99.28(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	16	9	0.9	50%	-0.06	-68.4	1.65%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Jul_22_2015	103.01	100.48	99.22	98.11	98.26	98.11	98.22(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10	-38	-37	1.89	61%	-0.07	-62.2	1.65%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Jul_21_2015	103.08	100.95	98.92	99.25	98.65	98.67	98.28(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-20	-17	-24	1.53	61%	-0.08	-47.1	2.1%	0	-0.7	45	0
25	Jul_20_2015	103.16	101.46	98.87	99.67	100.01	98.4	98.37(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-100	-15	-28	1.11	61%		-37.5	2.11%	0	-0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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