Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $103.7325 (0.3%) ($102.9386 - $104.0520) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $103.7325(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $103.98
5 Day Moving Average   $103.41(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.29(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.98(-0.24%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $43.4b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2015	101.67	103.98	103.29	103.41	103.36	103.11	103.73(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-20	15	-26	0.64	50%	0.11	36.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	49	0
2	Mar_18_2015	101.56	103.87	103.48	102.95	102.97	103.05	103.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	10	-15	-43	1.7	52%	0.09	29.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Mar_17_2015	101.47	103.74	103.63	102.93	102.84	103.62	103.37(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	50	23	-30	0.7	52%	0.11	30.2	1.64%	0	-0.2	43	0
4	Mar_16_2015	101.36	103.58	103.78	102.81	102.88	102.9	104.38(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	0	28	-38	0.42	52%	0.13	37.6	1.64%	0	0.4	41	0
5	Mar_13_2015	101.23	103.43	103.96	102.83	102.71	102.06	102.13(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-50	-40	-51	1.43	48%	0.11	45.5	1.64%	0	-0.6	54	0

6	Mar_12_2015	101.12	103.38	104.19	103.19	103.29	102.87	101.47(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-30	-34	-34	1.53	48%	0.13	51.4	1.65%	0	-0.9	53	0
7	Mar_11_2015	100.99	103.34	104.52	104.07	103.8	103.35	103.29(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-25	-3	0.55	49%	0.13	64.4	1.64%	0	-0	58	0
8	Mar_10_2015	100.86	103.14	104.75	104.42	104.36	103.71	102.77(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-17	-50	-29	18	0.63	49%	0.14	60.6	1.64%	0	-0.2	60	0
9	Mar_9_2015	100.72	102.82	105.2	104.87	104.76	104.24	104.5(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-40	-35	50	0.51	51%	0.16	48.8	1.63%	0	0.6	66	0
10	Mar_6_2015	100.56	102.49	104.97	105.26	105.11	105.02	103.91(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-18	69	0.65	51%	0.16	45.7	1.62%	0	0.5	59	0

11	Mar_5_2015	100.4	102.29	104.78	105.33	105.58	105.29	105.87(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10	13	88	0.4	55%	0.18	42	1.62%	0	1.1	66	0
12	Mar_4_2015	100.22	101.93	104.34	105.05	105.18	105.21	105.06(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	10	-20	74	0.54	55%	0.16	36.4	1.63%	0	1	66	0
13	Mar_3_2015	100.06	101.69	103.9	105.14	105.1	105.88	105.04(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	50	17	98	0.65	57%	0.18	35.3	1.63%	0	1.1	69	0
14	Mar_2_2015	99.88	101.41	103.39	105.58	105.14	105.15	106.43(2.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	-10	36	131	0.6	57%	0.2	34.5	1.64%	0	1.7	79	0
15	Feb_27_2015	99.68	101.1	102.84	104.65	105.12	104.33	104.26(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-40	-9	111	0.69	57%	0.14	26	1.61%	0	1.2	68	0

16	Feb_26_2015	99.54	100.99	102.49	104.1	104.58	105.14	104.48(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	50	3	109	0.61	57%	0.11	18.4	1.62%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Feb_25_2015	99.43	100.81	102.06	103.46	103.57	105.9	105.5(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	104	160	92	139	1.15	57%	0.15	8.6	1.62%	0	1.9	65	0
18	Feb_24_2015	99.28	100.65	101.38	102.44	102.38	104.02	107.23(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	132	110	132	132	2.15	54%	0.12	1.3	1.6%	0	2.9	62	0
19	Feb_23_2015	99.16	100.65	100.19	100.93	100.96	101.25	101.78(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	20	32	50	0.45	49%	0.08	-10.9	1.48%	0	0.7	55	0
20	Feb_20_2015	99.08	100.42	99.78	100.81	100.32	100.74	101.52(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	10	1	24	0.58	49%	0.08	-4.9	1.48%	0	0.6	52	0

21	Feb_19_2015	99	100.53	99.58	100.65	100.46	100.68	101.27(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	10	32	22	0.28	51%	0.08	3	1.48%	0	0.4	45	0
22	Feb_18_2015	98.92	100.6	99.58	100.43	100.33	99.89	100.41(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-30	-5	-8	0.31	51%	0.05	6.3	1.49%	0	-0.1	47	0
23	Feb_17_2015	98.87	100.61	99.3	100.11	100.22	100.24	99.7(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	0	-1	-22	0.49	51%	0.05	2.9	1.5%	0	-0.4	42	0
24	Feb_13_2015	98.82	100.63	99.29	99.28	99.98	100.76	101.16(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	34	80	56	-34	0.36	51%	0.06	-6.3	1.47%	0	0.3	42	0
25	Feb_12_2015	98.76	100.51	99.2	98.56	98.68	100.19	100.73(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	110	49	-59	0.44	51%		-18.4	1.47%	0	0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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