Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $101.5153 (0.24%) ($99.3369 - $101.7187) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $101.5153(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.81(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.78(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.42(1.09%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $42.473b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	99.08	100.42	99.78	100.81	100.32	100.74	101.52(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	10	1	24	0.58	49%	0.08	-4.9	1.48%	0	0.6	52	0
2	Feb_19_2015	99	100.53	99.58	100.65	100.46	100.68	101.27(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	10	32	22	0.28	51%	0.08	3	1.48%	0	0.4	45	0
3	Feb_18_2015	98.92	100.6	99.58	100.43	100.33	99.89	100.41(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-30	-5	-8	0.31	51%	0.05	6.3	1.49%	0	-0.1	47	0
4	Feb_17_2015	98.87	100.61	99.3	100.11	100.22	100.24	99.7(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	0	-1	-22	0.49	51%	0.05	2.9	1.5%	0	-0.4	42	0
5	Feb_13_2015	98.82	100.63	99.29	99.28	99.98	100.76	101.16(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	34	80	56	-34	0.36	51%	0.06	-6.3	1.47%	0	0.3	42	0

6	Feb_12_2015	98.76	100.51	99.2	98.56	98.68	100.19	100.73(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	110	49	-59	0.44	51%	0.03	-18.4	1.47%	0	0.1	47	0
7	Feb_11_2015	98.73	100.47	99.35	98.38	98.07	99.2	100.13(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	43	70	77	-58	0.72	51%	0.05	-17.4	1.47%	0	-0.2	41	0
8	Feb_10_2015	98.68	100.48	99.45	98.07	97.93	97.16	98.85(3.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-60	-0	-105	0.68	53%	0.03	-16	1.46%	0	-0.8	41	0
9	Feb_9_2015	98.65	100.55	99.83	98.42	98.06	96.94	95.51(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-106	-90	-97	-132	0.8	49%	-0.02	-12.4	1.42%	0	-2.4	42	0
10	Feb_6_2015	98.67	100.76	100.68	99.27	99.15	98.7	97.58(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-40	-33	-73	0.96	51%	-0.01	-13.9	1.42%	0	-1.8	47	0

11	Feb_5_2015	98.68	100.91	101.15	99.88	99.49	99.18	99.82(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-30	-35	-49	0.57	54%	0.02	-16.4	1.41%	0	-0.7	55	0
12	Feb_4_2015	98.66	100.84	101.57	100.47	100.06	99.59	98.6(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-50	-34	-19	0.79	54%	0.01	-23.4	1.41%	0	-1.3	49	0
13	Feb_3_2015	98.65	100.84	102.05	101.01	100.96	99.8	100.59(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-34	-80	-46	1	0.72	56%	0.04	-35	1.38%	0	-0.1	52	0
14	Feb_2_2015	98.61	100.81	102.08	101.49	101.53	100.53	99.77(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-70	-90	-4	1.18	56%	0.04	-41	1.38%	0	-0.6	51	0
15	Jan_30_2015	98.57	101.01	102.13	102.31	102.5	102.12	100.63(-2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-20	-28	45	1.07	58%	0.06	-32.5	1.4%	0	-0.2	57	0

16	Jan_29_2015	98.51	101.18	101.99	102.58	102.5	102.52	102.76(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-20	-17	52	0.63	61%	0.08	-30.7	1.38%	0	0.8	58	0
17	Jan_28_2015	98.43	101.25	101.71	102.86	102.98	102.87	101.31(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-0	-33	61	0.75	62%	0.08	-28.8	1.39%	0	0	61	0
18	Jan_27_2015	98.35	101.46	101.61	103.24	103.3	103.45	102.95(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	10	25	105	0.91	64%	0.09	-17.9	1.4%	0	0.7	67	0
19	Jan_26_2015	98.26	101.57	101.33	102.75	103.08	103.08	103.91(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	10	28	96	1	64%	0.09	-20.2	1.39%	0	0.9	58	0
20	Jan_23_2015	98.17	101.65	100.81	101.92	102.21	103.16	101.96(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	70	32	59	0.97	63%	0.07	-21.4	1.38%	0	0.1	44	0

21	Jan_22_2015	98.1	101.81	100.62	101.27	101.33	103.07	104.18(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	96	120	108	58	0.59	66%	0.1	-20.9	1.36%	0	0.9	47	0
22	Jan_21_2015	98	101.81	99.99	100.4	100.05	101.26	103.2(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	70	83	1	1.57	66%	0.06	-19.1	1.38%	0	0.5	43	0
23	Jan_20_2015	97.94	101.87	99.41	99.8	99.4	99.6	100.51(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	0	27	-71	0.95	64%	0.08	-23.1	1.35%	0	-0.5	33	0
24	Jan_16_2015	97.86	102.07	99.38	99.73	99.52	98.84	99.76(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-50	-19	-114	0.63	64%	0.07	-21.9	1.35%	0	-0.8	30	0
25	Jan_15_2015	97.79	102.21	99.75	99.54	99.87	99.21	98.72(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-40	-43	-137	1.28	64%		-25.7	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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