Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $104.1779 (0.95%) ($103.0160 - $104.5167) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $104.1779(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.27(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.62(3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.81(2.33%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $43.587b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.97%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 14.75%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.81%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	98.1	101.81	100.62	101.27	101.33	103.07	104.18(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	96	120	108	58	0.59	66%	0.1	-20.9	1.36%	0	0.9	47	0
2	Jan_21_2015	98	101.81	99.99	100.4	100.05	101.26	103.2(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	70	83	1	1.57	66%	0.06	-19.1	1.38%	0	0.5	43	0
3	Jan_20_2015	97.94	101.87	99.41	99.8	99.4	99.6	100.51(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	0	27	-71	0.95	64%	0.08	-23.1	1.35%	0	-0.5	33	0
4	Jan_16_2015	97.86	102.07	99.38	99.73	99.52	98.84	99.76(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-43	-50	-19	-114	0.63	64%	0.07	-21.9	1.35%	0	-0.8	30	0
5	Jan_15_2015	97.79	102.21	99.75	99.54	99.87	99.21	98.72(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-40	-43	-137	1.28	64%	0.06	-25.7	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	0

6	Jan_14_2015	97.73	102.37	100.29	99.82	100	100.2	99.83(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	20	-6	-123	0.59	66%	0.08	-28.9	1.36%	0	-0.9	30	0
7	Jan_13_2015	97.65	102.41	100.74	99.47	99.95	100.54	100.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	60	51	-112	0.81	66%	0.08	-39.9	1.39%	0	-0.8	30	0
8	Jan_12_2015	97.57	102.55	101.27	98.94	99.2	99.79	100.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	50	25	-128	1.12	66%	0.1	-50	1.39%	0	-0.8	42	0
9	Jan_9_2015	97.47	102.73	101.81	99.01	98.69	99.36	98.84(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	40	-1	-125	0.44	59%	0.08	-51.5	1.5%	0	-1.4	35	0
10	Jan_8_2015	97.39	102.99	102.54	100.04	99.29	98.62	100.12(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-70	-13	-96	0.48	59%	0.11	-45.7	1.52%	0	-1.1	46	0

11	Jan_7_2015	97.28	103.22	103.1	100.89	100.41	98.02	98.07(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-115	-180	-117	-108	0.86	53%	0.08	-34.8	1.51%	0	-2	44	0
12	Jan_6_2015	97.2	103.56	103.93	102.23	102.2	99.96	97.52(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-125	-150	-143	-70	1.08	53%	0.08	-18.8	1.56%	0	-2.7	48	0
13	Jan_5_2015	97.12	104	104.61	103.91	103.84	102.8	100.49(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-69	-70	-89	-10	0.68	57%	0.12	11.2	1.51%	0	-2	47	0
14	Jan_2_2015	97	104.19	105.08	104.97	104.92	104.44	103.98(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-30	-32	42	0.4	62%	0.26	40	1.45%	0	-0.1	52	0
15	Dec_31_2014	96.75	104.21	104.95	105.41	105.42	104.89	104.4(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-27	51	0.39	62%	0.17	61.8	1.45%	0	0.1	53	0

16	Dec_30_2014	96.59	104.12	104.7	105.66	105.7	105.41	104.75(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-20	-25	47	0.39	62%	0.17	71.3	1.47%	0	0.4	51	0
17	Dec_29_2014	96.43	103.99	104.27	105.91	105.85	105.95	105.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	8	51	0.2	62%	0.18	73.5	1.47%	0	1.1	54	0
18	Dec_26_2014	96.26	103.81	103.94	105.42	105.68	105.99	105.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	26	37	0.2	62%	0.26	66.7	1.47%	0	1.2	48	0
19	Dec_24_2014	96.01	103.55	103.7	105.19	104.97	105.75	106.15(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	50	34	35	0.07	62%	0.19	56.6	1.47%	0	1.5	56	0
20	Dec_23_2014	95.83	103.24	103.41	104.43	104.42	105.37	105.66(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	60	71	30	0.8	62%	0.19	41.3	1.48%	0	1.4	53	0

21	Dec_22_2014	95.65	102.97	103.26	103.59	103.41	104.19	106.04(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	50	60	15	0.77	62%	0.18	31	1.48%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Dec_19_2014	95.48	102.77	103.06	102.4	102.44	103.47	103.44(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	70	39	-11	0.73	59%	0.13	23	1.47%	0	0.4	55	0
23	Dec_18_2014	95.36	102.72	103.26	102.24	102.04	102.63	104.67(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	33	30	44	-1	0.55	59%	0.14	31.3	1.47%	0	1.2	58	0
24	Dec_17_2014	95.23	102.59	103.16	102.03	102.03	101.42	102.33(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-40	-16	-18	0.5	56%	0.23	39.6	1.46%	0	-0.2	59	0
25	Dec_16_2014	95.01	102.51	103.37	102.28	102.61	101.45	101.48(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-70	-64	-16	0.75	56%		46.9	1.46%	0	-0.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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