Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ASML: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $90.3133 (2.21%) ($89.4903 - $90.5263) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $90.3133(2.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(69%)    XLK(68%)    SMH(67%)    VT(67%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.88(2.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.09(3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.8(6.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $37.786b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(35%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(58%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.02%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	83.39	84.8	87.09	87.88	88.13	89.14	90.31(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	101	90	81	162	1.11	57%	0.12	89.6	1.26%	0	2	94	INF
2	Jun_17_2014	83.29	84.21	86.43	87.23	87.31	87.89	88.36(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	50	47	143	0.74	56%	0.1	83.7	1.24%	0	1.5	93	INF
3	Jun_16_2014	83.21	83.73	85.94	86.8	86.98	87.13	87.72(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	28	128	1.25	56%	0.08	76.5	1.25%	0	1.5	87	INF
4	Jun_13_2014	83.14	83.27	85.49	86.52	86.68	86.74	86.54(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	10	1	124	1.06	54%	0.07	74.9	1.24%	0	1.2	89	INF
5	Jun_12_2014	83.08	82.85	85.16	86.46	86.52	86.84	86.49(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	19	145	1.4	54%	0.06	72.3	1.25%	0	1.3	89	INF

6	Jun_11_2014	83.03	82.45	84.77	86.13	86.35	86.63	87.03(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	30	42	158	0.7	54%	0.08	70.7	1.26%	0	1.6	95	INF
7	Jun_10_2014	82.96	82.02	84.28	85.5	85.8	86.2	86.25(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	40	30	155	0.56	54%	0.06	70.1	1.27%	0	1.5	96	INF
8	Jun_9_2014	82.91	81.67	83.9	84.92	85.18	86.07	86.28(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	80	53	168	0.55	54%	0.07	71.7	1.28%	0	1.8	94	INF
9	Jun_6_2014	82.85	81.24	83.35	84.3	84.52	85.41	86.24(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	95	80	70	170	1.17	54%	0.07	67.9	1.29%	0	2	94	INF
10	Jun_5_2014	82.79	80.83	82.79	83.68	83.87	84.29	84.87(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	40	44	158	1.55	52%	0.04	66.5	1.28%	0	1.8	94	INF

11	Jun_4_2014	82.76	80.47	82.33	83.21	83.48	83.62	83.88(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	21	148	0.75	52%	0.02	63.4	1.28%	0	1.6	88	INF
12	Jun_3_2014	82.74	80.14	81.81	82.87	83.14	83.45	83.35(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	40	15	135	1.1	52%	0.02	56.5	1.29%	0	1.6	84	INF
13	Jun_2_2014	82.72	79.85	81.35	82.7	82.83	83.34	83.16(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	50	36	136	0.6	52%	0	52.5	1.3%	0	1.7	72	INF
14	May_30_2014	82.72	79.6	80.89	82.24	82.51	82.82	83.15(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	40	43	129	0.64	52%	0.01	48	1.32%	0	2	78	INF
15	May_29_2014	82.71	79.36	80.38	81.74	81.85	82.32	82.51(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	40	23	106	0.24	52%	0	39.9	1.32%	0	2	71	INF

16	May_28_2014	82.71	79.16	79.96	81.31	81.4	82.2	82.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	70	58	110	0.34	52%	-0.01	37	1.34%	0	2.1	72	INF
17	May_27_2014	82.72	79	79.59	80.58	80.75	81.39	82.52(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	72	60	63	97	0.87	52%	-0.01	30.4	1.35%	0	2.8	76	INF
18	May_23_2014	82.73	78.84	79.26	79.8	79.88	80.59	80.86(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	70	39	74	0.47	49%	-0.04	23.5	1.33%	0	2.1	68	INF
19	May_22_2014	82.76	78.74	78.95	79.32	79.36	80.12	80.67(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	70	58	64	0.68	49%	-0.06	12.6	1.34%	0	2.1	62	INF
20	May_21_2014	82.81	78.72	78.7	78.81	78.78	79.17	80.35(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	30	38	39	0.66	49%	-0.06	7.5	1.35%	0	1.9	57	INF

21	May_20_2014	82.86	78.72	78.44	78.42	78.36	78.6	78.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	7	10	0.27	45%	-0.12	-23.7	1.31%	0	-0.2	47	INF
22	May_19_2014	82.96	78.63	78.34	78.46	78.35	78.39	78.62(0.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	4	-0	5	-1	0.32	45%	-0.11	-49.5	1.33%	0	-0	43	INF
23	May_16_2014	83.05	78.63	78.25	78.64	78.42	78.12	78.49(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-40	-10	-12	0.34	45%	-0.13	-73.7	1.34%	0	-0.2	40	INF
24	May_15_2014	83.16	78.62	78.22	78.5	78.42	78.31	78.11(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-30	-16	-22	1.08	45%	-0.13	-124.2	1.35%	0	-0.7	44	INF
25	May_14_2014	83.27	78.66	78.28	78.54	78.67	78.72	78.41(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	10	-8	-29	0.49	45%		-178.8	1.37%	0	-0.3	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.