Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $83.1487 (0.77%) ($82.7033 - $83.5747) on Fri. May. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $83.1487(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(69%)    XLK(68%)    SMH(67%)    VT(67%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.24(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.89(2.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.6(4.46%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $34.788b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(35%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(65%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 3.6%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2014	82.72	79.6	80.89	82.24	82.51	82.82	83.15(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	40	43	129	0.64	52%	0.01	48	1.32%	0	2	78	0
2	May_29_2014	82.71	79.36	80.38	81.74	81.85	82.32	82.51(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	40	23	106	0.24	52%	0	39.9	1.32%	0	2	71	0
3	May_28_2014	82.71	79.16	79.96	81.31	81.4	82.2	82.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	70	58	110	0.34	52%	-0.01	37	1.34%	0	2.1	72	0
4	May_27_2014	82.72	79	79.59	80.58	80.75	81.39	82.52(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	72	60	63	97	0.87	52%	-0.01	30.4	1.35%	0	2.8	76	0
5	May_23_2014	82.73	78.84	79.26	79.8	79.88	80.59	80.86(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	70	39	74	0.47	49%	-0.04	23.5	1.33%	0	2.1	68	0

6	May_22_2014	82.76	78.74	78.95	79.32	79.36	80.12	80.67(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	70	58	64	0.68	49%	-0.06	12.6	1.34%	0	2.1	62	0
7	May_21_2014	82.81	78.72	78.7	78.81	78.78	79.17	80.35(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	30	38	39	0.66	49%	-0.06	7.5	1.35%	0	1.9	57	0
8	May_20_2014	82.86	78.72	78.44	78.42	78.36	78.6	78.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	7	10	0.27	45%	-0.12	-23.7	1.31%	0	-0.2	47	0
9	May_19_2014	82.96	78.63	78.34	78.46	78.35	78.39	78.62(0.16%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	4	-0	5	-1	0.32	45%	-0.11	-49.5	1.33%	0	-0	43	0
10	May_16_2014	83.05	78.63	78.25	78.64	78.42	78.12	78.49(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-40	-10	-12	0.34	45%	-0.13	-73.7	1.34%	0	-0.2	40	0

11	May_15_2014	83.16	78.62	78.22	78.5	78.42	78.31	78.11(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-30	-16	-22	1.08	45%	-0.13	-124.2	1.35%	0	-0.7	44	0
12	May_14_2014	83.27	78.66	78.28	78.54	78.67	78.72	78.41(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	10	-8	-29	0.49	45%	-0.14	-178.8	1.37%	0	-0.3	36	0
13	May_13_2014	83.39	78.81	78.32	78.44	78.6	79.03	78.65(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	40	23	-19	0.39	45%	-0.13	-159.7	1.39%	0	-0.2	50	0
14	May_12_2014	83.5	79.01	78.39	78.18	78.43	78.63	79.55(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	20	30	33	-18	0.62	45%	-0.12	-133.7	1.39%	0	0.4	55	0
15	May_9_2014	83.6	79.2	78.38	77.81	78.01	78.17	77.77(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	20	-2	-39	0.53	41%	-0.18	-122	1.35%	0	-0.8	48	0

16	May_8_2014	83.75	79.6	78.51	77.92	77.92	78.23	78.33(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	30	12	-26	1.01	41%	-0.18	-96.8	1.37%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	May_7_2014	83.9	80.08	78.74	78	77.94	77.84	77.9(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	-10	2	-19	0.99	41%	-0.19	-75.2	1.38%	0	-0.7	45	0
18	May_6_2014	84.06	80.47	78.83	78.18	78.08	77.61	77.36(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-50	-33	-42	1.03	41%	-0.21	-74.9	1.39%	0	-1	29	0
19	May_5_2014	84.24	80.9	78.96	78.61	78.51	78.05	77.7(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-40	-36	-53	0.49	41%	-0.23	-73.3	1.41%	0	-1	26	0
20	May_2_2014	84.43	81.37	79.05	79.02	79.03	78.55	78.31(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-40	-24	-62	1.19	41%	-0.21	-68.8	1.43%	0	-0.9	26	0

21	May_1_2014	84.61	81.86	79.07	79.17	79.31	78.98	78.76(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-48	-20	-31	-98	0.81	41%	-0.21	-63.9	1.45%	0	-0.8	21	0
22	Apr_30_2014	84.79	82.37	79.1	79.58	79.59	79.51	78.8(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-39	-10	-11	-122	0.73	41%	-0.22	-56.7	1.47%	0	-0.9	18	0
23	Apr_29_2014	84.98	82.91	79.37	79.57	79.9	79.65	79.51(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-27	-10	9	-133	0.98	41%	-0.2	-53.3	1.49%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	Apr_28_2014	85.15	83.4	79.69	79.35	79.64	79.66	79.72(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	10	-7	-159	0.82	41%	-0.21	-51.5	1.52%	0	-0.9	32	0
25	Apr_25_2014	85.33	83.82	80.06	79.08	79.39	80.15	79.08(-2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	80	26	-168	1.68	41%		-53.9	1.53%	0	-1.1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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