Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 9, 2018

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $39.3600 (2.5%) ($38.3900 - $39.8300) on Tue. Jan. 9, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $39.3600(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    ARKK(35%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.97(-1.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.41(5.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.19(15.12%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   55.3%
Market Cap   $2.266b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 11.52% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 9.09%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.48%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 7.58%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.81%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 14.38%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.73%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_9_2018	27.8	34.19	37.41	39.97	40.11	39.43	39.36(2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	67	-110	-7	287	0.71	67%	0.72	66.8	2.93%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Jan_8_2018	27.6	33.79	36.67	39.34	40.19	40.44	38.4(-5.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	91	110	22	298	0.83	67%	0.69	66.4	2.92%	0	1.2	78	0
3	Jan_5_2018	27.41	33.43	36.02	38.46	39.05	40.78	40.84(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	120	360	57	310	0.59	72%	0.74	62.7	2.79%	0	2	87	0
4	Jan_4_2018	27.21	32.89	34.93	37.22	37.38	39.94	41.1(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	136	490	88	279	0.66	72%	0.78	60.6	2.79%	0	2.6	84	0
5	Jan_3_2018	27	32.3	33.78	35.93	35.94	37.31	40.17(10.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	124	270	88	233	1.73	72%	0.75	61.6	2.79%	0	3.1	83	0

6	Jan_2_2018	26.8	31.74	32.77	34.55	34.61	34.81	36.21(6.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	50	35	180	0.84	68%	0.79	67.1	2.47%	0	2.4	75	0
7	Dec_29_2017	26.59	31.45	32.15	33.64	33.92	34.57	33.97(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	160	24	133	0.43	65%	0.53	68.5	2.35%	0	1.7	61	0
8	Dec_28_2017	26.45	31.28	31.78	33.17	33.22	34.41	34.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	77	260	62	121	0.29	65%	0.53	77.2	2.33%	0	2.4	66	0
9	Dec_27_2017	26.31	31.06	31.37	32.23	32.25	33.27	34.66(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	70	220	66	80	0.44	65%	0.5	82.8	2.34%	0	3.1	70	0
10	Dec_26_2017	26.18	30.79	30.93	31.27	31.2	32.03	33.25(4.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	37	180	39	31	0.34	63%	0.5	97.1	2.3%	0	2.9	69	0

11	Dec_22_2017	26.05	30.56	30.67	30.74	30.67	31.24	31.69(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	120	31	13	0.41	60%	0.35	97.7	2.31%	0	1.4	66	0
12	Dec_21_2017	25.96	30.44	30.66	30.45	30.39	30.36	31.6(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	12	-10	15	1	0.55	60%	0.27	108.2	2.31%	0	1.5	55	0
13	Dec_20_2017	25.89	30.24	30.64	30.19	30.23	30.1	29.95(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-30	-15	-20	0.4	57%	0.23	85.4	2.22%	0	-0.3	43	0
14	Dec_19_2017	25.83	30.12	30.73	30.36	30.43	30.43	29.88(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	10	-5	-5	0.31	57%	0.23	83.2	2.23%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Dec_18_2017	25.77	29.98	30.75	30.52	30.57	30.36	30.59(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-40	-5	5	0.25	59%	0.27	75.9	2.2%	0	0.4	59	0

16	Dec_15_2017	25.7	29.79	30.67	30.59	30.67	30.43	30.23(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-14	-50	-22	10	1.4	59%	0.27	68.5	2.2%	0	0.3	63	0
17	Dec_14_2017	25.63	29.62	30.73	30.91	31	30.79	30.28(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-40	-13	43	0.53	59%	0.23	70	2.2%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Dec_13_2017	25.57	29.43	30.8	31.16	31.23	30.91	30.82(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-60	-7	90	0.33	59%	0.24	70.9	2.19%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Dec_12_2017	25.51	29.18	30.76	31.14	31.29	31.22	30.68(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-0	-1	121	0.33	59%	0.28	60.4	2.19%	0	0.8	71	0
20	Dec_11_2017	25.44	28.97	30.67	31	31.13	31.56	30.94(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	110	18	150	0.42	59%	0.28	53.2	2.19%	0	1	74	0

21	Dec_8_2017	25.37	28.76	30.46	30.74	30.75	31.36	31.82(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	140	26	165	0.37	62%	0.32	45.8	2.15%	0	1.5	80	0
22	Dec_7_2017	25.29	28.47	30.2	30.52	30.44	30.7	31.53(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	50	17	179	0.45	62%	0.36	41.2	2.16%	0	1.6	79	0
23	Dec_6_2017	25.2	28.19	29.8	30.42	30.38	30.14	30.75(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	45	-60	-1	182	0.52	60%	0.28	38.1	2.17%	0	1.4	79	0
24	Dec_5_2017	25.13	28.03	29.46	30.35	30.52	30.19	29.97(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-60	-9	199	0.42	58%	0.24	39.3	2.16%	0	1.1	80	0
25	Dec_4_2017	25.07	27.93	29.15	30.28	30.58	30.63	29.62(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	56	40	5	210	0.4	58%		40.5	2.17%	0	1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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