Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $30.9400 (-2.77%) ($30.9300 - $32.1800) on Mon. Dec. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $30.9400(-2.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    ARKK(35%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.67(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.97(6.8%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $1.781b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 6.97% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 3.24%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.42%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 5.05%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.06%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 9.98%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.22%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2017	25.44	28.97	30.67	31	31.13	31.56	30.94(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	110	18	150	0.42	59%	0.28	53.2	2.19%	0	1	74	INF
2	Dec_8_2017	25.37	28.76	30.46	30.74	30.75	31.36	31.82(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	140	26	165	0.37	62%	0.32	45.8	2.15%	0	1.5	80	INF
3	Dec_7_2017	25.29	28.47	30.2	30.52	30.44	30.7	31.53(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	50	17	179	0.45	62%	0.36	41.2	2.16%	0	1.6	79	INF
4	Dec_6_2017	25.2	28.19	29.8	30.42	30.38	30.14	30.75(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	45	-60	-1	182	0.52	60%	0.28	38.1	2.17%	0	1.4	79	INF
5	Dec_5_2017	25.13	28.03	29.46	30.35	30.52	30.19	29.97(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-60	-9	199	0.42	58%	0.24	39.3	2.16%	0	1.1	80	INF

6	Dec_4_2017	25.07	27.93	29.15	30.28	30.58	30.63	29.62(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	56	40	5	210	0.4	58%	0.24	40.5	2.17%	0	1	69	INF
7	Dec_1_2017	25.01	27.86	28.86	30.09	30.25	30.85	30.75(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	150	23	214	0.43	63%	0.24	40.7	2.13%	0	1.8	73	INF
8	Nov_30_2017	24.95	27.7	28.43	29.8	29.81	30.53	30.99(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	94	170	53	218	0.43	63%	0.24	42.1	2.13%	0	2.2	76	INF
9	Nov_29_2017	24.89	27.5	27.95	29.08	29.21	29.64	30.44(2.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	78	120	44	180	0.48	63%	0.16	35	2.13%	0	2.3	76	INF
10	Nov_28_2017	24.85	27.36	27.45	28.44	28.49	29.09	29.61(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	56	150	35	119	0.62	60%	0.49	27.6	2.11%	0	2	57	INF

11	Nov_27_2017	24.73	27.26	27.11	27.85	27.98	28.78	28.66(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	210	45	73	0.44	57%	0.37	18.2	2.08%	0	1.4	51	INF
12	Nov_24_2017	24.64	27.21	26.9	27.43	27.34	27.89	29.28(6.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	41	130	44	30	0.4	66%	0.78	9.2	2.06%	0	2.2	51	INF
13	Nov_22_2017	24.45	27.08	26.58	26.88	26.84	27.18	27.4(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	80	21	-28	0.2	60%	0.08	-10.5	2.04%	0	0.4	46	INF
14	Nov_21_2017	24.43	27.08	26.43	26.66	26.62	26.79	27.23(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	40	24	-54	0.26	60%	0.41	-21.6	2.08%	0	0.2	49	INF
15	Nov_20_2017	24.33	27.06	26.47	26.31	26.3	26.51	26.69(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	50	7	-83	0.15	60%	0.41	-31.4	2.09%	0	-0.5	42	INF

16	Nov_17_2017	24.23	27.09	26.6	26.25	26.1	26.45	26.53(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	80	7	-86	0.29	60%	0.41	-25.1	2.09%	0	-0.7	41	INF
17	Nov_16_2017	24.13	27.13	26.79	26.29	26.12	26.09	26.55(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-30	10	-77	0.29	60%	0.42	-13.4	2.09%	0	-0.7	42	INF
18	Nov_15_2017	24.03	27.17	26.91	26.24	26.13	25.75	26.28(3.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-110	-8	-79	0.4	60%	0.5	-8.7	2.13%	0	-1.1	48	INF
19	Nov_14_2017	23.91	27.23	27.03	26.18	26.22	26.14	25.49(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-20	-29	-89	0.48	56%	0.42	-4.7	2.1%	0	-2.3	43	INF
20	Nov_13_2017	23.81	27.31	27.29	26.66	26.4	26.52	26.38(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	0	-13	-50	0.3	62%	0.51	17.5	2.06%	0	-1.2	46	INF

21	Nov_10_2017	23.69	27.29	27.46	27.02	26.79	26.29	26.75(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-160	-20	-25	0.44	62%	0.42	24	2.05%	0	-0.7	49	INF
22	Nov_9_2017	23.59	27.23	27.57	27.38	27.29	26.28	26.29(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-270	-44	-8	0.47	62%	0.43	32	2.05%	0	-1.1	44	INF
23	Nov_8_2017	23.49	27.24	27.65	27.69	27.84	27.29	25.97(-6.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-26	-120	-38	9	1.45	49%	0.47	45.2	2.08%	0	-1.5	42	INF
24	Nov_7_2017	23.38	27.27	27.78	27.98	28.11	28.3	27.9(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	60	-2	33	0.61	58%	0.6	59.1	2.2%	0	0.7	54	INF
25	Nov_6_2017	23.24	27.18	27.72	28	28.04	28.38	28.19(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	90	13	45	0.41	58%		62.1	2.19%	0	1.2	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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