Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $22.6000 (-5.44%) ($22.0000 - $26.8000) on Tue. Dec. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.7% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.6000(-5.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(39%)    IWO(37%)    ARKK(34%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.85% (StdDev 5.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -14.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.1(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.05(7.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.19(11.94%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   32.9%
Market Cap   $1.301b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 9.11% (three month std-dev: 5.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.47%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2015	24.12	20.19	21.05	22.1	22.47	23.59	22.6(-5.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	400	23	131	0.65	52%	-0.08	32.5	5.7%	0	1.3	65	0
2	Nov_30_2015	24.14	20.12	20.51	21.74	21.57	22.13	23.9(11.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	160	20	104	0.38	52%	-0.04	26.6	5.66%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Nov_27_2015	24.15	19.85	19.88	21.12	21.11	21.35	21.5(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	80	9	69	0.07	49%	-0.12	5.9	5.49%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Nov_25_2015	24.18	19.69	19.46	20.86	20.86	21.01	21.3(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	50	8	45	0.11	49%	-0.17	-13.6	5.45%	0	1.1	54	0
5	Nov_24_2015	24.22	19.59	19.12	20.6	20.55	20.88	21.2(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	110	19	20	0.16	47%	-0.16	-24.7	5.46%	0	1	46	0

6	Nov_23_2015	24.26	19.61	18.87	19.82	19.99	20.71	20.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	280	24	-11	0.19	47%	-0.16	-37.8	5.54%	0	0.7	51	0
7	Nov_20_2015	24.3	19.65	18.81	19.06	19.09	20.22	20.8(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	420	24	-39	0.19	47%	-0.21	-47.5	5.59%	0	0.6	47	0
8	Nov_19_2015	24.35	19.76	18.77	18.46	18.3	19.27	20.2(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	350	27	-47	0.2	46%	-0.25	-51.9	5.64%	0	0.2	56	0
9	Nov_18_2015	24.41	19.89	18.75	17.86	17.71	17.96	20(15.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	70	15	-59	0.62	44%	-0.25	-60.1	5.68%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Nov_17_2015	24.47	19.99	18.91	17.46	17.5	17.34	17.3(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-60	-11	-75	0.43	40%	-0.45	-64.7	5.35%	0	-1.3	45	0

11	Nov_16_2015	24.58	20.24	19.23	17.8	17.93	17.46	17(-4.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-160	-20	-76	1.11	40%	-0.41	-62	5.35%	0	-1.6	37	0
12	Nov_13_2015	24.68	20.54	19.7	18.52	18.5	17.66	17.8(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-320	-23	-59	0.44	40%	-0.44	-55.5	5.33%	0	-1.4	39	0
13	Nov_12_2015	24.79	20.81	19.84	19.12	19.28	18.39	17.2(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-300	-25	-64	0.38	40%	-0.44	-45.5	5.3%	0	-1.9	34	0
14	Nov_11_2015	24.9	21.15	19.99	19.76	19.95	19.34	18(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-190	-25	-70	0.49	40%	-0.4	-32.8	5.3%	0	-1.8	36	0
15	Nov_10_2015	25	21.39	20.18	20.56	20.44	20.18	19(-7.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-110	-11	-54	0.24	40%	-0.4	-18.8	5.28%	0	-1.5	43	0

16	Nov_9_2015	25.1	21.56	20.48	20.86	20.87	20.56	20.6(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-100	-5	-45	0.13	41%	-0.28	-10.3	5.25%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Nov_6_2015	25.17	21.66	20.61	21.06	20.92	20.71	20.8(1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-90	3	-40	0.35	41%	-0.28	-3.6	5.29%	0	-0.6	45	0
18	Nov_5_2015	25.24	21.72	20.84	20.68	20.87	21.18	20.4(-7.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	130	13	-45	0.25	41%	-0.28	-4.3	5.32%	0	-0.9	43	0
19	Nov_4_2015	25.31	21.73	21.11	20.24	20.1	21.13	22(7.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	340	18	-59	0.33	43%	-0.24	-5.4	5.3%	0	0.2	44	0
20	Nov_3_2015	25.37	21.69	21.1	19.76	19.47	20.56	20.5(-5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	350	9	-80	0.31	40%	-0.31	-8.4	5.24%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Nov_2_2015	25.45	21.69	21.28	20.06	19.38	19.08	21.6(14.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-210	2	-74	0.47	40%	-0.24	1.9	5.25%	0	-0.1	50	0
22	Oct_30_2015	25.51	21.71	21.38	20.16	19.87	18.38	18.9(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-570	-38	-93	0.77	36%	-0.47	4.6	4.91%	0	-1.9	36	0
23	Oct_29_2015	25.63	21.78	21.82	21.06	21.05	19.68	18.2(-7.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-48	-460	-43	-64	0.39	36%	-0.5	13.2	4.92%	0	-2.3	37	0
24	Oct_28_2015	25.76	21.81	22.42	22.08	22.16	21.36	19.6(-10.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-20	-240	-23	-9	0.81	37%	-0.43	9.7	4.89%	0	-1.5	51	0
25	Oct_27_2015	25.87	21.82	22.75	22.58	22.69	22.42	22(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-70	-7	21	0.14	40%		-0.3	4.74%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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