Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $22.3000 (-2.19%) ($22.1500 - $23.0400) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.85% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $22.3000(-2.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    IWM(32%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.425% (StdDev 4.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.96(-2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.33(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.82(2.2%)
To recent high   -36.5%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $1.284b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 9.72% (three month std-dev: 4.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2015	26.19	21.82	22.33	22.96	23.03	22.72	22.3(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-90	-4	90	0.22	39%	-0.3	-44.8	4.85%	0	0.2	65	INF
2	Oct_19_2015	26.27	21.98	22.18	22.9	23.02	23.24	22.8(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	80	0	100	0.2	39%	-0.27	-47.8	4.89%	0	0.4	67	INF
3	Oct_16_2015	26.34	22.12	22.05	22.86	22.9	23.35	23.1(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	140	12	107	0.68	39%	-0.27	-47.3	4.94%	0	0.4	57	INF
4	Oct_15_2015	26.41	22.33	21.72	22.62	22.55	22.79	24(6.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	70	19	90	0.4	39%	-0.19	-44.5	4.98%	0	0.6	54	INF
5	Oct_14_2015	26.46	22.56	21.14	21.92	22.08	22.44	22.6(2.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	140	10	23	0.35	36%	-0.3	-44.3	4.92%	0	0	40	INF

6	Oct_13_2015	26.54	22.81	20.79	21.62	21.63	22.3	22(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	220	14	-19	0.29	36%	-0.38	-40.9	4.95%	0	-0.2	40	INF
7	Oct_12_2015	26.64	23.14	20.5	21.34	21.2	21.71	22.6(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	150	13	-63	0.27	36%	-0.37	-39.6	5%	0	-0.1	40	INF
8	Oct_9_2015	26.74	23.43	20.33	21.12	20.98	20.95	21.9(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-30	12	-94	0.26	36%	-0.41	-38.3	5.02%	0	-0.4	37	INF
9	Oct_8_2015	26.85	23.75	20.34	20.7	20.8	20.69	20.5(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-20	9	-135	0.26	33%	-0.56	-40	4.93%	0	-0.8	28	INF
10	Oct_7_2015	27	24.08	20.82	20.22	20.33	21	21.1(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	250	12	-158	0.25	33%	-0.52	-44.3	4.98%	0	-0.8	27	INF

11	Oct_6_2015	27.14	24.32	21.22	19.82	19.82	20.92	20.6(-4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	390	21	-174	0.37	33%	-0.62	-47.3	5.01%	0	-1	30	INF
12	Oct_5_2015	27.31	24.68	21.73	19.52	19.37	19.67	21.5(8.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-40	90	11	-192	0.33	33%	-0.55	-49.6	5.05%	0	-0.9	30	INF
13	Oct_2_2015	27.46	24.98	22.16	19.46	19.27	18.73	19.8(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-230	-19	-224	0.35	28%	-0.72	-50.8	4.86%	0	-1.4	22	INF
14	Oct_1_2015	27.66	25.38	22.94	19.98	19.98	19.07	18.1(-5.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-95	-320	-48	-236	0.28	23%	-0.9	-49.3	4.59%	0	-2.1	13	INF
15	Sep_30_2015	27.91	25.86	24.08	21.54	21.34	19.81	19.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-81	-530	-46	-187	0.38	24%	-0.89	-44.7	4.61%	0	-2.2	24	INF

16	Sep_29_2015	28.16	26.23	25.02	22.84	22.88	20.89	19.1(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-78	-600	-55	-147	0.47	24%	-0.91	-41.9	4.67%	0	-2.7	32	INF
17	Sep_28_2015	28.42	26.67	26.05	24.24	24.33	22.88	21.2(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-62	-410	-47	-106	0.37	26%	-0.73	-36.9	4.51%	0	-2.7	32	INF
18	Sep_25_2015	28.63	26.99	26.85	25.22	25.4	24.88	22.4(-13.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-42	-120	-33	-69	0.34	28%	-0.66	-38.3	4.53%	0	-2.9	36	INF
19	Sep_24_2015	28.82	27.23	27.51	26.32	26.14	25.78	25.9(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-120	-20	-34	0.16	32%	-0.31	-32.6	4.04%	0	-1.1	45	INF
20	Sep_23_2015	28.91	27.3	27.66	27.04	26.88	25.91	25.6(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-270	-22	-14	0.12	32%	-0.38	-28.3	4.08%	0	-1.5	47	INF

21	Sep_22_2015	29.02	27.37	27.71	27.58	27.59	26.51	26.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-24	-270	-31	-1	0.24	32%	-0.34	-38.6	4.15%	0	-1.2	56	INF
22	Sep_21_2015	29.12	27.43	27.88	28.16	28.31	27.84	26.1(-6.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-100	-22	22	0.27	32%	-0.34	-55.3	4.21%	0	-1.3	49	INF
23	Sep_18_2015	29.22	27.43	28.04	28.72	28.72	28.66	27.9(-5.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10	-5	49	0.49	35%	-0.17	-54.5	4.15%	0	0.3	55	INF
24	Sep_17_2015	29.27	27.61	28.01	28.86	28.87	28.66	29.5(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-20	10	66	0.19	37%	0.03	-73.9	4.13%	0	1.7	63	INF
25	Sep_16_2015	29.26	27.62	27.75	28.38	28.61	28.78	28.3(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	70	11	52	0.13	33%		-96.2	4.1%	0	0.6	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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