Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $21.9000 (6.83%) ($20.3000 - $22.4000) on Fri. Oct. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.02% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $21.9000(6.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA declines -8.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(47%)    IBB(43%)    ARKG(39%)    IWO(37%)    IWM(33%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.51% (StdDev 5.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

Resistance Level   $23.43
5 Day Moving Average   $21.12(3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.33(7.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.43(-6.53%)
To recent high   -37.6%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $1.261b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 16.22% (three month std-dev: 5.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	26.74	23.43	20.33	21.12	20.98	20.95	21.9(6.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-30	12	-94	0.26	36%	-0.41	-38.3	5.02%	0	-0.4	37	0
2	Oct_8_2015	26.85	23.75	20.34	20.7	20.8	20.69	20.5(-2.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-20	9	-135	0.26	33%	-0.56	-40	4.93%	0	-0.8	28	0
3	Oct_7_2015	27	24.08	20.82	20.22	20.33	21	21.1(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	250	12	-158	0.25	33%	-0.52	-44.3	4.98%	0	-0.8	27	0
4	Oct_6_2015	27.14	24.32	21.22	19.82	19.82	20.92	20.6(-4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	390	21	-174	0.37	33%	-0.62	-47.3	5.01%	0	-1	30	0
5	Oct_5_2015	27.31	24.68	21.73	19.52	19.37	19.67	21.5(8.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-40	90	11	-192	0.33	33%	-0.55	-49.6	5.05%	0	-0.9	30	0

6	Oct_2_2015	27.46	24.98	22.16	19.46	19.27	18.73	19.8(9.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-70	-230	-19	-224	0.35	28%	-0.72	-50.8	4.86%	0	-1.4	22	0
7	Oct_1_2015	27.66	25.38	22.94	19.98	19.98	19.07	18.1(-5.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-95	-320	-48	-236	0.28	23%	-0.9	-49.3	4.59%	0	-2.1	13	0
8	Sep_30_2015	27.91	25.86	24.08	21.54	21.34	19.81	19.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-81	-530	-46	-187	0.38	24%	-0.89	-44.7	4.61%	0	-2.2	24	0
9	Sep_29_2015	28.16	26.23	25.02	22.84	22.88	20.89	19.1(-9.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-78	-600	-55	-147	0.47	24%	-0.91	-41.9	4.67%	0	-2.7	32	0
10	Sep_28_2015	28.42	26.67	26.05	24.24	24.33	22.88	21.2(-5.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-62	-410	-47	-106	0.37	26%	-0.73	-36.9	4.51%	0	-2.7	32	0

11	Sep_25_2015	28.63	26.99	26.85	25.22	25.4	24.88	22.4(-13.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-42	-120	-33	-69	0.34	28%	-0.66	-38.3	4.53%	0	-2.9	36	0
12	Sep_24_2015	28.82	27.23	27.51	26.32	26.14	25.78	25.9(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-120	-20	-34	0.16	32%	-0.31	-32.6	4.04%	0	-1.1	45	0
13	Sep_23_2015	28.91	27.3	27.66	27.04	26.88	25.91	25.6(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-270	-22	-14	0.12	32%	-0.38	-28.3	4.08%	0	-1.5	47	0
14	Sep_22_2015	29.02	27.37	27.71	27.58	27.59	26.51	26.1(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.4	-24	-270	-31	-1	0.24	32%	-0.34	-38.6	4.15%	0	-1.2	56	0
15	Sep_21_2015	29.12	27.43	27.88	28.16	28.31	27.84	26.1(-6.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-11	-100	-22	22	0.27	32%	-0.34	-55.3	4.21%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	Sep_18_2015	29.22	27.43	28.04	28.72	28.72	28.66	27.9(-5.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10	-5	49	0.49	35%	-0.17	-54.5	4.15%	0	0.3	55	0
17	Sep_17_2015	29.27	27.61	28.01	28.86	28.87	28.66	29.5(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-20	10	66	0.19	37%	0.03	-73.9	4.13%	0	1.7	63	0
18	Sep_16_2015	29.26	27.62	27.75	28.38	28.61	28.78	28.3(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	70	11	52	0.13	33%	-0.1	-96.2	4.1%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Sep_15_2015	29.29	27.79	27.49	27.86	28.02	28.96	29(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	250	14	32	0.08	33%	-0.07	-86.8	4.17%	0	0.8	60	0
20	Sep_14_2015	29.31	28.02	27.29	27.58	27.54	28.45	28.9(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	230	24	28	0.17	33%	-0.03	-70.1	4.25%	0	0.4	58	0

21	Sep_11_2015	29.32	28.22	27.09	27.28	27.19	27.09	28.6(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-40	10	2	0.26	33%	-0.1	0	4.32%	0	0.2	45	0
22	Sep_10_2015	29.35	28.45	26.86	27.06	27.04	26.64	27.1(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-110	-9	-20	0.25	27%	-0.37	0	4.2%	0	-0.5	47	0
23	Sep_9_2015	29.46	28.8	26.87	27.04	27.26	27.29	25.7(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	30	-1	-33	0.21	20%	-0.61	0	4.04%	0	-1.1	35	0
24	Sep_8_2015	29.64	29.2	26.99	27.02	27.14	27.45	27.6(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	90	7	-58	0.14	23%	-0.34	0	3.94%	0	-0.5	34	0
25	Sep_4_2015	29.74	29.55	26.94	26.92	26.77	27.24	27.4(-0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	110	6	-93	0.1	23%		0	4.02%	0	-0.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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