Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 10, 2018

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $39.4100 (0.25%) ($38.6500 - $39.4100) on Wed. Jan. 10, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $39.4100(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(78%)    BOTZ(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.26(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.62(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.42(2.58%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(49%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(51%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.32%(49%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(51%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.22%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_10_2018	35.49	38.42	38.62	39.26	39.17	39.2	39.41(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-0	11	75	0.21	66%	0.23	78.7	1.27%	0	1.2	51	INF
2	Jan_9_2018	35.41	38.3	38.5	39.13	39.11	39.1	39.31(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	7	46	0.25	66%	0.25	77	1.28%	0	1.3	43	INF
3	Jan_8_2018	35.32	38.18	38.34	38.98	39.01	39.14	39.23(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	24	36	0.42	66%	0.26	67.4	1.28%	0	1.3	54	INF
4	Jan_5_2018	35.23	38.07	38.18	38.55	38.76	39.12	39.5(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	80	38	14	0.36	67%	0.26	50.7	1.27%	0	1.7	61	INF
5	Jan_4_2018	35.14	37.92	38.18	38.14	38.26	38.89	38.87(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	28	120	39	-6	0.36	65%	0.2	36.4	1.27%	0	1.2	58	INF

6	Jan_3_2018	35.07	37.8	38.05	37.88	37.89	38.4	38.74(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	29	100	41	-7	0.67	65%	0.23	19.8	1.27%	0	1.1	58	INF
7	Jan_2_2018	34.99	37.69	38.14	37.78	37.59	37.64	38.58(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10	16	9	0.42	65%	0.32	13.3	1.27%	0	1	61	INF
8	Dec_29_2017	34.88	37.63	38.12	37.62	37.63	37.37	37.08(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-50	-13	6	0.22	62%	0.2	10.9	1.18%	0	-0.6	55	INF
9	Dec_28_2017	34.81	37.64	38.19	37.75	37.64	37.54	37.44(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-30	-27	17	0.22	62%	0.2	17.7	1.17%	0	-0.2	55	INF
10	Dec_27_2017	34.74	37.62	38.22	37.93	37.8	37.89	37.55(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	10	-14	50	0.22	63%	0.2	26.2	1.17%	0	-0.1	60	INF

11	Dec_26_2017	34.67	37.63	38.24	38.24	38.06	37.74	38.26(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-70	-22	88	0.19	66%	0.35	46.3	1.16%	0	0.7	66	INF
12	Dec_22_2017	34.55	37.58	38.12	38.57	38.38	37.72	37.75(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-140	-49	110	0.34	63%	0.2	69.2	1.16%	0	0.2	59	INF
13	Dec_21_2017	34.48	37.54	38.04	38.71	38.91	38.39	37.75(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-80	-27	124	0.37	63%	0.23	82.1	1.17%	0	0.2	53	INF
14	Dec_20_2017	34.4	37.49	37.98	38.68	38.94	39.04	38.33(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	40	-4	134	0.45	65%	0.26	92.2	1.15%	0	1	58	INF
15	Dec_19_2017	34.31	37.4	37.81	38.53	38.69	39.44	39.09(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	150	53	145	0.61	69%	0.29	97.9	1.12%	0	1.9	65	INF

16	Dec_18_2017	34.21	37.23	37.53	38.22	38.25	38.85	39.94(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	94	110	85	120	0.92	73%	0.29	98.2	1.09%	0	3.2	64	INF
17	Dec_15_2017	34.11	37	37.19	37.63	37.72	37.94	38.45(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	50	42	52	0.39	69%	0.24	106.2	0.99%	0	2.2	59	INF
18	Dec_14_2017	34.03	36.85	37.07	37.29	37.43	37.65	37.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	50	19	19	0.23	67%	0.24	97.2	0.97%	0	1.1	56	INF
19	Dec_13_2017	33.95	36.71	37.02	37.19	37.26	37.49	37.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	50	32	21	0.38	67%	0.21	75.2	0.97%	0	1.1	58	INF
20	Dec_12_2017	33.88	36.56	37.02	36.97	37.09	37.22	37.54(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	30	31	9	0.46	67%	0.21	59.7	0.97%	0	1.1	61	INF

21	Dec_11_2017	33.81	36.43	36.95	36.73	36.85	37.03	36.99(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	40	9	5	0.32	67%	0.24	48.6	0.96%	0	0.6	63	INF
22	Dec_8_2017	33.73	36.32	36.98	36.68	36.76	36.97	36.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	50	5	26	0.28	63%	0.21	41.8	0.97%	0	0.4	64	INF
23	Dec_7_2017	33.66	36.22	37	36.81	36.85	36.67	37.06(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-30	2	63	0.46	63%	0.21	43.2	0.98%	0	0.8	69	INF
24	Dec_6_2017	33.59	36.11	37	36.84	36.92	36.55	36.52(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-60	-34	88	0.23	62%	0.21	43.6	0.96%	0	0.4	72	INF
25	Dec_5_2017	33.52	36.03	36.97	36.93	37.08	37.02	36.35(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	0	-35	128	0.16	62%		42.7	0.97%	0	0.3	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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