Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $38.5800 (4.05%) ($37.2500 - $38.5900) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $38.5800(4.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(78%)    BOTZ(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.78(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.14(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.69(2.36%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.73%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	34.99	37.69	38.14	37.78	37.59	37.64	38.58(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10	16	9	0.42	65%	0.32	13.3	1.27%	0	1	61	0
2	Dec_29_2017	34.88	37.63	38.12	37.62	37.63	37.37	37.08(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-50	-13	6	0.22	62%	0.2	10.9	1.18%	0	-0.6	55	0
3	Dec_28_2017	34.81	37.64	38.19	37.75	37.64	37.54	37.44(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-30	-27	17	0.22	62%	0.2	17.7	1.17%	0	-0.2	55	0
4	Dec_27_2017	34.74	37.62	38.22	37.93	37.8	37.89	37.55(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	10	-14	50	0.22	63%	0.2	26.2	1.17%	0	-0.1	60	0
5	Dec_26_2017	34.67	37.63	38.24	38.24	38.06	37.74	38.26(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-70	-22	88	0.19	66%	0.35	46.3	1.16%	0	0.7	66	0

6	Dec_22_2017	34.55	37.58	38.12	38.57	38.38	37.72	37.75(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-140	-49	110	0.34	63%	0.2	69.2	1.16%	0	0.2	59	0
7	Dec_21_2017	34.48	37.54	38.04	38.71	38.91	38.39	37.75(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-80	-27	124	0.37	63%	0.23	82.1	1.17%	0	0.2	53	0
8	Dec_20_2017	34.4	37.49	37.98	38.68	38.94	39.04	38.33(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	40	-4	134	0.45	65%	0.26	92.2	1.15%	0	1	58	0
9	Dec_19_2017	34.31	37.4	37.81	38.53	38.69	39.44	39.09(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	150	53	145	0.61	69%	0.29	97.9	1.12%	0	1.9	65	0
10	Dec_18_2017	34.21	37.23	37.53	38.22	38.25	38.85	39.94(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	94	110	85	120	0.92	73%	0.29	98.2	1.09%	0	3.2	64	0

11	Dec_15_2017	34.11	37	37.19	37.63	37.72	37.94	38.45(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	50	42	52	0.39	69%	0.24	106.2	0.99%	0	2.2	59	0
12	Dec_14_2017	34.03	36.85	37.07	37.29	37.43	37.65	37.57(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	50	19	19	0.23	67%	0.24	97.2	0.97%	0	1.1	56	0
13	Dec_13_2017	33.95	36.71	37.02	37.19	37.26	37.49	37.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	50	32	21	0.38	67%	0.21	75.2	0.97%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Dec_12_2017	33.88	36.56	37.02	36.97	37.09	37.22	37.54(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	30	31	9	0.46	67%	0.21	59.7	0.97%	0	1.1	61	0
15	Dec_11_2017	33.81	36.43	36.95	36.73	36.85	37.03	36.99(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	40	9	5	0.32	67%	0.24	48.6	0.96%	0	0.6	63	0

16	Dec_8_2017	33.73	36.32	36.98	36.68	36.76	36.97	36.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	50	5	26	0.28	63%	0.21	41.8	0.97%	0	0.4	64	0
17	Dec_7_2017	33.66	36.22	37	36.81	36.85	36.67	37.06(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-30	2	63	0.46	63%	0.21	43.2	0.98%	0	0.8	69	0
18	Dec_6_2017	33.59	36.11	37	36.84	36.92	36.55	36.52(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-60	-34	88	0.23	62%	0.21	43.6	0.96%	0	0.4	72	0
19	Dec_5_2017	33.52	36.03	36.97	36.93	37.08	37.02	36.35(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	0	-35	128	0.16	62%	0.24	42.7	0.97%	0	0.3	71	0
20	Dec_4_2017	33.44	35.98	36.94	37.2	37.27	37.29	36.74(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	48	10	1	190	0.31	64%	0.21	51.3	0.96%	0	0.7	70	0

21	Dec_1_2017	33.37	35.91	36.83	37.3	37.27	37.14	37.4(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	55	-30	-1	222	0.27	65%	0.24	56.5	0.94%	0	1.4	79	0
22	Nov_30_2017	33.29	35.78	36.63	37.21	37.31	37.25	37.2(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-0	-6	218	0.25	69%	0.24	59.5	0.98%	0	1.4	79	0
23	Nov_29_2017	33.21	35.66	36.38	37.12	37.27	37.48	36.98(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	67	50	17	215	0.35	71%	0.27	66.2	1%	0	1.3	72	0
24	Nov_28_2017	33.12	35.58	36.15	37.01	37.08	37.38	37.67(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	60	45	220	0.43	76%	0.27	73.1	0.98%	0	2.2	83	0
25	Nov_27_2017	33.03	35.44	35.86	36.65	36.77	37.07	37.26(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	70	45	179	0.3	76%		76.5	1%	0	2.3	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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