Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $37.5400 (1.49%) ($37.0500 - $37.7800) on Tue. Dec. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $37.5400(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(78%)    BOTZ(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.97(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.95(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.56(2.68%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(65%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(35%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(45%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.47%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2017	33.88	36.56		36.97	37.09	37.22	37.54(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	30	31	9	0.46	67%	0.21	59.7	0.97%	0	1.1	61	INF
2	Dec_11_2017	33.81	36.43	36.95	36.73	36.85	37.03	36.99(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	40	9	5	0.32	67%	0.24	48.6	0.96%	0	0.6	63	INF
3	Dec_8_2017	33.73	36.32	36.98	36.68	36.76	36.97	36.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	50	5	26	0.28	63%	0.21	41.8	0.97%	0	0.4	64	INF
4	Dec_7_2017	33.66	36.22	37	36.81	36.85	36.67	37.06(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-30	2	63	0.46	63%	0.21	43.2	0.98%	0	0.8	69	INF
5	Dec_6_2017	33.59	36.11	37	36.84	36.92	36.55	36.52(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-60	-34	88	0.23	62%	0.21	43.6	0.96%	0	0.4	72	INF

6	Dec_5_2017	33.52	36.03	36.97	36.93	37.08	37.02	36.35(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	0	-35	128	0.16	62%	0.24	42.7	0.97%	0	0.3	71	INF
7	Dec_4_2017	33.44	35.98	36.94	37.2	37.27	37.29	36.74(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	48	10	1	190	0.31	64%	0.21	51.3	0.96%	0	0.7	70	INF
8	Dec_1_2017	33.37	35.91	36.83	37.3	37.27	37.14	37.4(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	55	-30	-1	222	0.27	65%	0.24	56.5	0.94%	0	1.4	79	INF
9	Nov_30_2017	33.29	35.78	36.63	37.21	37.31	37.25	37.2(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	50	-0	-6	218	0.25	69%	0.24	59.5	0.98%	0	1.4	79	INF
10	Nov_29_2017	33.21	35.66	36.38	37.12	37.27	37.48	36.98(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	67	50	17	215	0.35	71%	0.27	66.2	1%	0	1.3	72	INF

11	Nov_28_2017	33.12	35.58	36.15	37.01	37.08	37.38	37.67(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	89	60	45	220	0.43	76%	0.27	73.1	0.98%	0	2.2	83	INF
12	Nov_27_2017	33.03	35.44	35.86	36.65	36.77	37.07	37.26(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	70	45	179	0.3	76%	0.27	76.5	1%	0	2.3	72	INF
13	Nov_24_2017	32.94	35.31	35.59	36.29	36.4	36.78	36.94(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	69	80	45	139	0.23	76%	0.37	74.9	1%	0	2.4	69	INF
14	Nov_22_2017	32.82	35.17	35.36	35.96	36.04	36.47	36.76(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	90	58	113	0.28	77%	0.12	62.8	1%	0	2.4	72	INF
15	Nov_21_2017	32.78	35.01	35.16	35.53	35.67	36.02	36.44(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	60	80	56	71	0.19	77%	0.24	45.4	1.01%	0	2.5	67	INF

16	Nov_20_2017	32.7	34.9	34.99	35.15	35.19	35.61	35.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	31	90	35	17	0.21	76%	0.21	28.9	1%	0	2	52	INF
17	Nov_17_2017	32.63	34.84	34.92	34.95	34.92	35.31	35.48(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	80	42	4	0.17	71%	0.18	17.4	1%	0	1.5	55	INF
18	Nov_16_2017	32.57	34.8	34.89	34.79	34.73	34.77	35.3(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	14	0	23	-12	0.12	71%	0.18	8.7	1.03%	0	1.3	56	INF
19	Nov_15_2017	32.51	34.75	34.84	34.66	34.59	34.53	34.6(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-20	-14	-30	0.2	66%	0.15	-7.1	1.01%	0	-0.4	57	INF
20	Nov_14_2017	32.46	34.76	34.88	34.73	34.64	34.7	34.51(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	0	-4	-2	0.16	69%	0.15	-3.7	1.03%	0	-0.7	62	INF

21	Nov_13_2017	32.41	34.77	34.98	34.81	34.68	34.66	34.85(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-20	-2	22	0.1	69%	0.12	0.9	1.09%	0	0.2	56	INF
22	Nov_10_2017	32.37	34.76	35	34.88	34.77	34.58	34.7(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-50	-16	31	0.1	68%	0.15	3.7	1.11%	0	-0.2	53	INF
23	Nov_9_2017	32.32	34.77	35.02	35	34.94	34.7	34.66(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-3	-50	-17	41	0.16	68%	0.15	10.1	1.14%	0	-0.3	49	INF
24	Nov_8_2017	32.27	34.78	34.98	35	34.94	34.96	34.93(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-20	-9	46	0.12	68%	0.19	10.1	1.14%	0	0.4	56	INF
25	Nov_7_2017	32.21	34.77	34.88	35.04	35.07	35.17	34.89(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	20	-9	35	0.15	69%		11.9	1.14%	0	0.3	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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