Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $34.6600 (-0.4%) ($34.6400 - $35.0000) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $34.6600(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.47(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.09(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.98(2%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   22%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(63%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 1%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.34%(42%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2017	30.68	33.98	34.09	34.47	34.52	34.73	34.66(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	50	23	45	0.1	64%	0.26	51.6	1.13%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Oct_3_2017	30.6	33.93	34.05	34.3	34.32	34.53	34.8(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	40	31	42	0.11	64%	0.26	52.5	1.14%	0	2.2	63	0
3	Oct_2_2017	30.52	33.86	33.97	33.99	34.08	34.32	34.47(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	60	27	19	0.1	64%	0.23	49.1	1.14%	0	1.7	57	0
4	Sep_29_2017	30.45	33.82	33.95	33.77	33.84	34.11	34.29(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	60	19	6	0.1	61%	0.26	62.2	1.15%	0	1.4	58	0
5	Sep_28_2017	30.37	33.8	33.92	33.7	33.71	33.84	34.12(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	30	13	6	0.12	63%	0.26	91.6	1.18%	0	1	62	0

6	Sep_27_2017	30.29	33.77	33.86	33.67	33.7	33.84	33.83(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-20	-7	-7	0.11	59%	0.26	117.9	1.2%	0	0.2	51	0
7	Sep_26_2017	30.21	33.72	33.85	33.76	33.8	33.58	33.25(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-40	-24	-5	0.05	56%	0.27	125.7	1.22%	0	-1.2	47	0
8	Sep_25_2017	30.13	33.68	33.92	33.95	34	33.82	33.38(-1.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-11	-30	-21	18	0.1	56%	0.23	126.6	1.23%	0	-0.6	52	0
9	Sep_22_2017	30.06	33.61	33.96	34.15	34.15	34.02	33.9(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-30	-9	41	0.09	58%	0.3	110.9	1.22%	0	0.4	54	0
10	Sep_21_2017	29.97	33.51	33.91	34.16	34.24	34.17	33.97(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	2	36	0.08	59%	0.27	100.4	1.22%	0	0.6	47	0

11	Sep_20_2017	29.89	33.39	33.89	34.07	34.15	34.28	34.3(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	30	8	36	0.11	59%	0.3	86.8	1.22%	0	1.1	60	0
12	Sep_19_2017	29.8	33.25	33.82	33.96	33.98	34.31	34.21(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	70	19	43	0.11	62%	0.3	77	1.22%	0	1	66	0
13	Sep_18_2017	29.71	33.08	33.74	33.89	33.83	34.02	34.36(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	30	23	53	0.22	62%	0.3	63.7	1.26%	0	1.2	71	0
14	Sep_15_2017	29.62	32.91	33.66	33.76	33.72	33.65	33.95(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-20	8	64	0.13	62%	0.3	57.6	1.25%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Sep_14_2017	29.53	32.76	33.67	33.63	33.68	33.64	33.55(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-0	-8	80	0.07	62%	0.27	56.1	1.25%	0	0.7	70	0

16	Sep_13_2017	29.45	32.66	33.66	33.67	33.66	33.8	33.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	30	4	116	0.12	63%	0.31	60.8	1.25%	0	0.9	74	0
17	Sep_12_2017	29.36	32.54	33.58	33.65	33.69	33.71	33.87(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	10	13	140	0.11	60%	0.31	61.9	1.26%	0	1.1	77	0
18	Sep_11_2017	29.27	32.43	33.43	33.56	33.61	33.53	33.72(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10	-4	147	0.11	60%	0.34	66.1	1.29%	0	1.1	79	0
19	Sep_8_2017	29.17	32.28	33.24	33.55	33.57	33.67	33.27(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	20	-11	152	0.06	56%	0.31	67.1	1.35%	0	0.9	78	0
20	Sep_7_2017	29.08	32.13	33.1	33.72	33.67	33.7	33.75(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	55	0	10	191	0.08	57%	0.35	69.2	1.34%	0	1.4	80	0

21	Sep_6_2017	28.98	31.97	32.88	33.65	33.73	33.47	33.64(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	49	-50	3	188	0.09	57%	0.31	73.2	1.34%	0	1.4	69	0
22	Sep_5_2017	28.89	31.83	32.65	33.49	33.63	33.65	33.43(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	46	20	2	179	0.11	57%	0.35	78.1	1.34%	0	1.4	70	0
23	Sep_1_2017	28.79	31.7	32.39	33.26	33.41	34	33.64(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	140	42	171	0.22	59%	0.35	82.2	1.32%	0	1.8	65	0
24	Aug_31_2017	28.69	31.54	32.1	32.87	32.98	33.62	34.14(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	150	64	151	0.25	61%	0.35	78	1.33%	0	2.5	76	0
25	Aug_30_2017	28.59	31.32	31.77	32.39	32.43	32.83	33.42(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	65	90	46	121	0.14	59%		77.3	1.31%	0	2.4	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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