Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $33.6400 (-1.46%) ($33.3400 - $34.3700) on Fri. Sep. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $33.6400(-1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.26(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.39(3.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.7(6.12%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 3.38% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.76%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.25%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.82%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.63%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2017	28.79	31.7	32.39	33.26	33.41	34	33.64(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	74	140	42	171	0.22	59%	0.35	82.2	1.32%	0	1.8	65	0
2	Aug_31_2017	28.69	31.54	32.1	32.87	32.98	33.62	34.14(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	150	64	151	0.25	61%	0.35	78	1.33%	0	2.5	76	0
3	Aug_30_2017	28.59	31.32	31.77	32.39	32.43	32.83	33.42(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	65	90	46	121	0.14	59%	0.35	77.3	1.31%	0	2.4	77	0
4	Aug_29_2017	28.49	31.14	31.56	32	32.05	32.33	32.8(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	70	32	98	0.15	57%	0.32	70.4	1.29%	0	2.1	67	0
5	Aug_28_2017	28.4	30.98	31.4	31.7	31.78	32.04	32.31(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	60	32	80	0.07	56%	0.28	60.2	1.29%	0	1.8	61	0

6	Aug_25_2017	28.32	30.84	31.33	31.39	31.5	31.77	31.66(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	70	25	63	0.05	53%	0.28	47.3	1.29%	0	1.2	56	0
7	Aug_24_2017	28.24	30.76	31.24	31.21	31.23	31.52	31.74(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	70	23	53	0.07	56%	0.32	40.3	1.29%	0	1.4	62	0
8	Aug_23_2017	28.15	30.66	31.08	31.21	31.04	31.24	31.49(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	40	12	37	0.07	56%	0.25	37.3	1.34%	0	1.3	64	0
9	Aug_22_2017	28.08	30.6	30.99	31.21	31.01	30.94	31.32(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	1	44	0.06	58%	0.29	46.2	1.34%	0	1.2	64	0
10	Aug_21_2017	28	30.54	30.95	31.06	31.11	30.84	30.75(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-60	-24	52	0.07	56%	0.25	55.3	1.33%	0	0.4	62	0

11	Aug_18_2017	27.93	30.53	30.97	31.06	31.32	31.09	30.75(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-50	-15	92	0.03	59%	0.25	74.6	1.33%	0	0.4	63	0
12	Aug_17_2017	27.86	30.49	30.95	31.26	31.48	31.38	30.97(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-0	7	106	0.07	55%	0.25	77.5	1.37%	0	0.8	60	0
13	Aug_16_2017	27.79	30.43	30.86	31.08	31.26	31.54	31.53(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	80	12	95	0.06	57%	0.29	71.5	1.42%	0	1.7	67	0
14	Aug_15_2017	27.71	30.32	30.69	30.9	30.99	31.58	31.28(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	140	30	85	0.07	57%	0.29	67.7	1.42%	0	1.6	59	0
15	Aug_14_2017	27.63	30.23	30.53	30.83	30.73	30.97	31.75(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	40	31	74	0.28	59%	0.33	69.7	1.41%	0	2.5	63	0

16	Aug_11_2017	27.54	30.09	30.32	30.67	30.59	30.39	30.75(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-50	-2	42	0.05	56%	0.29	79.3	1.36%	0	1.3	54	0
17	Aug_10_2017	27.46	30.02	30.24	30.6	30.67	30.5	30.09(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-30	-10	34	0.05	55%	0.26	82.4	1.33%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Aug_9_2017	27.39	29.98	30.21	30.59	30.65	30.8	30.64(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	40	10	44	0.09	60%	0.29	89	1.31%	0	1.3	64	0
19	Aug_8_2017	27.31	29.92	30.17	30.43	30.49	30.84	30.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	90	33	51	0.08	60%	0.26	81.1	1.33%	0	1.9	71	0
20	Aug_7_2017	27.24	29.82	30.1	30.18	30.16	30.49	30.97(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	70	32	42	0.1	60%	0.29	68.5	1.33%	0	2.1	73	0

21	Aug_4_2017	27.16	29.7	30.03	29.91	29.92	30.14	30.4(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	50	18	32	0.07	59%	0.22	53.9	1.32%	0	1.3	72	0
22	Aug_3_2017	27.1	29.61	29.98	29.83	29.81	29.83	30.03(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	0	8	30	0.03	59%	0.26	41.8	1.31%	0	0.8	63	0
23	Aug_2_2017	27.03	29.53	29.95	29.79	29.76	29.69	29.81(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-20	-10	27	0.03	59%	0.26	28.9	1.31%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Aug_1_2017	26.96	29.49	29.92	29.88	29.85	29.79	29.7(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-20	-12	36	0.03	61%	0.22	32.1	1.31%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Jul_31_2017	26.9	29.44	29.9	30	30.01	29.84	29.62(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-40	-13	54	0.03	61%		29.4	1.33%	0	0.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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