Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $30.9700 (-1.78%) ($30.9500 - $31.7200) on Thu. Aug. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $30.9700(-1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.26(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.95(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.49(1.57%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(33%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.22%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2017	27.86	30.49	30.95	31.26	31.48	31.38	30.97(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-0	7	106	0.07	55%	0.25	77.5	1.37%	0	0.8	60	INF
2	Aug_16_2017	27.79	30.43	30.86	31.08	31.26	31.54	31.53(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	80	12	95	0.06	57%	0.29	71.5	1.42%	0	1.7	67	INF
3	Aug_15_2017	27.71	30.32	30.69	30.9	30.99	31.58	31.28(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	140	30	85	0.07	57%	0.29	67.7	1.42%	0	1.6	59	INF
4	Aug_14_2017	27.63	30.23	30.53	30.83	30.73	30.97	31.75(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	40	31	74	0.28	59%	0.33	69.7	1.41%	0	2.5	63	INF
5	Aug_11_2017	27.54	30.09	30.32	30.67	30.59	30.39	30.75(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-50	-2	42	0.05	56%	0.29	79.3	1.36%	0	1.3	54	INF

6	Aug_10_2017	27.46	30.02	30.24	30.6	30.67	30.5	30.09(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-30	-10	34	0.05	55%	0.26	82.4	1.33%	0	0.1	53	INF
7	Aug_9_2017	27.39	29.98	30.21	30.59	30.65	30.8	30.64(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	40	10	44	0.09	60%	0.29	89	1.31%	0	1.3	64	INF
8	Aug_8_2017	27.31	29.92	30.17	30.43	30.49	30.84	30.92(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	90	33	51	0.08	60%	0.26	81.1	1.33%	0	1.9	71	INF
9	Aug_7_2017	27.24	29.82	30.1	30.18	30.16	30.49	30.97(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	70	32	42	0.1	60%	0.29	68.5	1.33%	0	2.1	73	INF
10	Aug_4_2017	27.16	29.7	30.03	29.91	29.92	30.14	30.4(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	50	18	32	0.07	59%	0.22	53.9	1.32%	0	1.3	72	INF

11	Aug_3_2017	27.1	29.61	29.98	29.83	29.81	29.83	30.03(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	0	8	30	0.03	59%	0.26	41.8	1.31%	0	0.8	63	INF
12	Aug_2_2017	27.03	29.53	29.95	29.79	29.76	29.69	29.81(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-20	-10	27	0.03	59%	0.26	28.9	1.31%	0	0.5	62	INF
13	Aug_1_2017	26.96	29.49	29.92	29.88	29.85	29.79	29.7(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-20	-12	36	0.03	61%	0.22	32.1	1.31%	0	0.4	57	INF
14	Jul_31_2017	26.9	29.44	29.9	30	30.01	29.84	29.62(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-40	-13	54	0.03	61%	0.26	29.4	1.33%	0	0.3	64	INF
15	Jul_28_2017	26.83	29.41	29.86	30	30.13	29.92	29.97(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-50	-12	77	0.04	59%	0.26	25.9	1.33%	0	0.9	74	INF

16	Jul_27_2017	26.76	29.41	29.8	30.15	30.21	30.19	29.83(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	0	-4	91	0.09	59%	0.22	20.3	1.35%	0	0.8	72	INF
17	Jul_26_2017	26.7	29.37	29.75	30.13	30.17	30.35	30.29(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	50	16	113	0.11	62%	0.3	19.6	1.34%	0	1.6	84	INF
18	Jul_25_2017	26.62	29.31	29.66	29.97	29.98	30.24	30.3(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	60	23	109	0.1	63%	0.26	11.6	1.34%	0	1.9	67	INF
19	Jul_24_2017	26.55	29.28	29.52	29.79	29.77	29.98	30.38(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	50	27	99	0.08	64%	0.26	7.6	1.35%	0	2.2	70	INF
20	Jul_21_2017	26.48	29.28	29.33	29.54	29.55	29.72	29.95(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	40	16	69	0.08	62%	0.27	9.6	1.35%	0	1.4	64	INF

21	Jul_20_2017	26.41	29.26	29.19	29.41	29.39	29.55	29.73(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	40	12	49	0.05	63%	0.23	17.5	1.35%	0	0.9	55	INF
22	Jul_19_2017	26.35	29.26	29.06	29.32	29.34	29.38	29.47(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	10	8	21	0.19	63%	0.27	24	1.36%	0	0.4	43	INF
23	Jul_18_2017	26.28	29.25	29.01	29.3	29.34	29.23	29.43(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-20	2	14	0.05	63%	0.23	29.2	1.36%	0	0.4	52	INF
24	Jul_17_2017	26.22	29.24	28.94	29.2	29.29	29.3	29.11(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	7	-7	0.04	63%	0.23	33.3	1.35%	0	-0.3	41	INF
25	Jul_14_2017	26.16	29.21	28.92	29.08	29.17	29.34	29.32(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	50	14	-33	0.03	63%		23.6	1.35%	0	0.2	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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