Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $26.9500 (0.9%) ($26.6400 - $27.0000) on Mon. May. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $26.9500(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.6(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.15(3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.55(5.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.95%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2017	23.32	25.55	26.15	26.6	26.61	26.74	26.95(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	40	38	183	0.05	68%	0.3	80.8	0.9%	0	1.6	78	0
2	May_12_2017	23.25	25.41	26.02	26.35	26.41	26.56	26.71(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	50	29	172	0.03	67%	0.3	77.8	0.89%	0	1.6	79	0
3	May_11_2017	23.18	25.26	25.87	26.16	26.2	26.47	26.57(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	80	38	172	0.04	67%	0.26	72.2	0.89%	0	1.6	81	0
4	May_10_2017	23.12	25.12	25.76	25.95	25.98	26.25	26.52(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	80	41	168	0.02	67%	0.26	67.2	0.9%	0	1.8	76	0
5	May_9_2017	23.06	25	25.64	25.76	25.78	25.92	26.27(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	40	26	163	0.03	68%	0.26	65	0.9%	0	1.7	76	0

6	May_8_2017	23	24.88	25.51	25.64	25.65	25.72	25.69(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	20	5	166	0.02	65%	0.22	64.9	0.88%	0	1.1	74	0
7	May_5_2017	22.95	24.8	25.42	25.65	25.63	25.63	25.76(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-0	14	192	0.01	65%	0.22	65.7	0.88%	0	1.4	77	0
8	May_4_2017	22.9	24.7	25.28	25.53	25.61	25.59	25.5(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	45	0	-2	185	0.01	64%	0.22	61.8	0.88%	0	1.1	77	0
9	May_3_2017	22.85	24.61	25.19	25.55	25.55	25.59	25.59(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	20	6	214	0.01	64%	0.26	62.3	0.88%	0	1.4	79	0
10	May_2_2017	22.79	24.52	25.07	25.49	25.54	25.63	25.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	30	24	226	0.02	64%	0.22	65.9	0.88%	0	1.7	74	0

11	May_1_2017	22.74	24.43	24.92	25.36	25.42	25.48	25.71(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	20	24	213	0.04	64%	0.26	70.5	0.88%	0	2.1	73	0
12	Apr_28_2017	22.68	24.34	24.74	25.16	25.27	25.46	25.17(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	68	70	26	193	0.01	60%	0.22	76.1	0.85%	0	1.5	71	0
13	Apr_27_2017	22.63	24.27	24.61	24.99	25.13	25.37	25.58(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	80	48	187	0.03	65%	0.27	79.4	0.82%	0	2.5	82	0
14	Apr_26_2017	22.57	24.18	24.43	24.78	24.86	25.09	25.33(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	70	40	159	0.01	63%	0.22	91.6	0.81%	0	2.7	81	0
15	Apr_25_2017	22.52	24.09	24.3	24.58	24.68	24.88	25.02(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	62	70	39	129	0.02	61%	0.22	104.1	0.81%	0	2.7	69	0

16	Apr_24_2017	22.47	24	24.19	24.41	24.52	24.63	24.68(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	40	31	101	0.01	57%	0.22	102.4	0.8%	0	2.3	62	0
17	Apr_21_2017	22.42	23.93	24.12	24.27	24.35	24.47	24.34(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	19	75	0.01	53%	0.22	79.2	0.78%	0	1.3	58	0
18	Apr_20_2017	22.37	23.86	24.06	24.17	24.22	24.41	24.55(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	33	62	0.01	56%	0.22	53.7	0.78%	0	2	66	0
19	Apr_19_2017	22.32	23.79	23.97	24.02	24.05	24.24	24.3(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	23	29	0.02	53%	0.18	35.4	0.77%	0	1.5	63	0
20	Apr_18_2017	22.28	23.73	23.93	23.97	23.96	24.02	24.16(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	12	25	0.01	53%	0.13	26.3	0.77%	0	1.2	66	0

21	Apr_17_2017	22.25	23.7	23.93	23.96	23.92	23.87	23.99(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-20	-3	35	0.01	47%	0.14	29.7	0.77%	0	0.8	67	0
22	Apr_13_2017	22.22	23.7	23.93	23.95	23.92	23.89	23.85(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-2	57	0.01	47%	0.14	38.1	0.79%	0	0.5	70	0
23	Apr_12_2017	22.19	23.68	23.93	23.93	23.98	23.96	23.82(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-2	78	0	47%	0.14	46.8	0.8%	0	0.4	72	0
24	Apr_11_2017	22.16	23.66	23.91	23.9	23.94	24.07	24.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	7	102	0.01	50%	0.18	49.6	0.79%	0	1.1	79	0
25	Apr_10_2017	22.12	23.63	23.87	23.88	23.9	24.01	24.09(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	30	16	119	0	55%		50	0.8%	0	1.4	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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