Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $22.2700 (0.81%) ($22.2100 - $22.4100) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $22.2700(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    BOTZ(76%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-14%)    IPO(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.13(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.06(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.87(1.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.18%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2017	20.94	21.87	22.06	22.13	22.16	22.2	22.27(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	20	6	35	0	60%	0.05	149.6	1.24%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Jan_31_2017	20.93	21.79	22.01	22.13	22.14	22.09	22.09(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10	-2	28	0	60%	0.1	108.5	1.25%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Jan_30_2017	20.91	21.69	22.01	22.12	22.18	22.12	22(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10	0	31	0	60%	0.05	104.6	1.25%	0	0.7	60	0
4	Jan_27_2017	20.9	21.61	21.98	22.1	22.14	22.18	22.18(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	5	45	0	60%	0	76.1	1.25%	0	1	70	0
5	Jan_26_2017	20.9	21.52	21.95	22.03	22.08	22.23	22.11(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	50	11	54	0.01	60%	0.05	61.1	1.25%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Jan_25_2017	20.89	21.45	21.91	21.98	22.01	22.1	22.24(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	16	58	0	58%	0.05	54.8	1.25%	0	1.2	68	0
7	Jan_24_2017	20.88	21.35	21.88	21.89	21.92	21.93	22.06(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	10	6	75	0	58%	0.1	47.8	1.26%	0	1.1	78	0
8	Jan_23_2017	20.86	21.26	21.84	21.82	21.88	21.92	21.9(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	20	-1	98	0.01	58%	0.05	42.3	1.26%	0	1	80	0
9	Jan_20_2017	20.85	21.19	21.79	21.82	21.84	21.91	21.85(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	20	2	129	0.01	58%	0.05	42.6	1.26%	0	1	76	0
10	Jan_19_2017	20.84	21.14	21.72	21.85	21.87	21.84	21.83(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10	5	152	0	58%	0.1	43.8	1.26%	0	1	73	0

11	Jan_18_2017	20.82	21.09	21.68	21.84	21.81	21.78	21.8(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	-7	163	0.01	60%	0.05	47.6	1.26%	0	1	64	0
12	Jan_17_2017	20.81	21.04	21.55	21.87	21.82	21.89	21.72(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	20	2	176	0.01	60%	0	53.9	1.28%	0	1	68	0
13	Jan_13_2017	20.81	20.99	21.4	21.85	21.86	21.85	22.06(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	-0	17	184	0	61%	0.05	60.3	1.26%	0	1.7	73	0
14	Jan_12_2017	20.8	20.9	21.21	21.71	21.74	21.74	21.83(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	0	6	158	0	61%	0.05	61.7	1.27%	0	1.6	66	0
15	Jan_11_2017	20.79	20.83	21.06	21.58	21.67	21.86	21.78(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	70	16	137	0.02	54%	0.05	61.7	1.27%	0	1.7	60	0

16	Jan_10_2017	20.78	20.76	20.95	21.49	21.49	21.74	21.95(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	80	35	125	0.01	54%	0	65.4	1.37%	0	2.3	60	0
17	Jan_9_2017	20.78	20.68	20.78	21.19	21.28	21.47	21.64(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	48	80	37	82	0.03	53%	0.05	64.9	1.36%	0	2.2	58	0
18	Jan_6_2017	20.77	20.61	20.63	20.87	21	21.24	21.36(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	100	29	31	0	50%	0	60	1.36%	0	2	57	0
19	Jan_5_2017	20.77	20.54	20.54	20.64	20.67	21.08	21.15(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	140	29	4	0.04	51%	0	47.8	1.39%	0	1.8	60	0
20	Jan_4_2017	20.77	20.49	20.49	20.47	20.44	20.75	21.36(4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.8	21	100	31	-10	0	51%	0	32.1	1.39%	0	2.7	60	0

21	Jan_3_2017	20.77	20.43	20.43	20.34	20.27	20.25	20.44(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-20	7	-29	0	45%	-0.05	14.8	1.27%	0	0	52	0
22	Dec_30_2016	20.78	20.4	20.47	20.31	20.29	20.12	20.05(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-60	-11	-32	0	42%	-0.05	-7	1.24%	0	-1.2	45	0
23	Dec_29_2016	20.79	20.4	20.54	20.34	20.36	20.29	20.19(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-20	-13	-19	0	42%	-0.05	-19.7	1.25%	0	-0.6	49	0
24	Dec_28_2016	20.8	20.4	20.57	20.41	20.39	20.46	20.29(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	20	-8	-2	0	42%	-0.05	-25.3	1.25%	0	-0.3	57	0
25	Dec_27_2016	20.81	20.39	20.6	20.51	20.44	20.43	20.71(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-10	-0	23	0	48%		-23.5	1.23%	0	1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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