Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $20.8300 (0.24%) ($20.7800 - $20.9900) on Fri. Dec. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $20.8300(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    BOTZ(76%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    IPO(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.59(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.43(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.45(1.86%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.59%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.98%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2016	20.81	20.45	20.43	20.59	20.66	20.82	20.83(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	60	18	63	0	53%	0.05	2.2	1.26%	0	1	47	0
2	Dec_15_2016	20.8	20.44	20.33	20.51	20.54	20.6	20.78(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	20	13	26	0	56%	0	-1.1	1.26%	0	0.9	45	0
3	Dec_14_2016	20.8	20.43	20.21	20.42	20.45	20.49	20.41(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	20	7	-13	0	54%	0	-1.1	1.27%	0	-0.1	41	0
4	Dec_13_2016	20.8	20.44	20.18	20.35	20.41	20.48	20.55(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	30	11	-38	0	51%	0	1.7	1.27%	0	0.3	41	0
5	Dec_12_2016	20.8	20.44	20.16	20.28	20.28	20.42	20.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	50	7	-60	0	51%	0.05	6.6	1.28%	0	-0.1	40	0

6	Dec_9_2016	20.79	20.44	20.19	20.24	20.22	20.35	20.4(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	40	19	-57	0.01	50%	0	17.1	1.28%	0	-0.1	45	0
7	Dec_8_2016	20.79	20.45	20.24	20.12	20.16	20.15	20.33(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	0	16	-70	0	50%	0	23.2	1.29%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	Dec_7_2016	20.79	20.45	20.28	19.98	20.04	20.09	20.08(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	30	-1	-91	0	50%	0	21	1.28%	0	-0.9	41	0
9	Dec_6_2016	20.79	20.44	20.36	19.99	19.94	20.16	20.18(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	70	4	-83	0	52%	-0.05	25.3	1.28%	0	-0.7	43	0
10	Dec_5_2016	20.8	20.42	20.43	20.02	19.96	19.99	20.2(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	0	-1	-76	0	52%	0	25.5	1.32%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	Dec_2_2016	20.8	20.38	20.48	20.15	20.04	19.72	19.8(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-130	-31	-69	0	50%	0	22.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Dec_1_2016	20.8	20.38	20.58	20.38	20.3	19.93	19.64(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-140	-41	-39	0	50%	-0.05	24.6	1.31%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Nov_30_2016	20.81	20.36	20.68	20.62	20.62	20.36	20.11(-1.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-20	-90	-29	6	0	53%	-0.05	28.1	1.27%	0	-0.5	56	0
14	Nov_29_2016	20.82	20.34	20.74	20.79	20.77	20.68	20.36(-2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-30	-19	45	0	53%	0.05	30	1.27%	0	0	62	0
15	Nov_28_2016	20.81	20.32	20.78	20.89	20.77	20.88	20.86(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	3	89	0	57%	0.05	29.2	1.24%	0	0.9	79	0

16	Nov_25_2016	20.8	20.27	20.73	20.85	20.9	20.87	20.95(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-0	4	110	0	55%	0.14	23.6	1.24%	0	1.2	87	0
17	Nov_23_2016	20.77	20.23	20.68	20.8	20.83	20.92	20.83(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	4	134	0	55%	0.05	19.5	1.24%	0	1.2	87	0
18	Nov_22_2016	20.76	20.2	20.6	20.76	20.77	20.93	20.93(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	129	60	109	189	0	55%	0	14.7	1.24%	0	1.4	85	0
19	Nov_21_2016	20.76	20.17	20.51	20.69	16.81	20.74	20.88(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	1070	9	150	0.01	55%	0.1	10.3	1.24%	0	1.4	70	0
20	Nov_18_2016	20.74	20.15	20.41	20.65	16.75	20.62	20.65(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	307	1050	319	272	0.01	55%	0.05	12.4	1.23%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Nov_17_2016	20.73	20.14	20.28	20.59	16.76	20.62	20.72(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-2180	5	124	0	55%	0.1	10.7	1.24%	0	1.2	62	0
22	Nov_16_2016	20.71	20.14	20.13	20.54	16.7	12.88	20.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-313	-2160	-396	-63	0	55%	0.1	7.3	1.24%	0	1	56	0
23	Nov_15_2016	20.69	20.13	20	20.42	20.52	20.64	20.6(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	60	18	67	0	55%	0.1	-1.3	1.24%	0	1	52	0
24	Nov_14_2016	20.67	20.12	19.91	20.3	20.35	20.52	20.68(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	70	23	38	0	55%	0.1	-13.1	1.24%	0	1.2	51	0
25	Nov_11_2016	20.65	20.1	19.82	20.13	20.16	20.41	20.36(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	90	32	1	0	52%		-41.1	1.22%	0	0.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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