Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $22.2100 (0.14%) ($22.2100 - $22.2100) on Mon. Oct. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $22.2100(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    BOTZ(76%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.12(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.89(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.5(3.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.82%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2016	20.29	21.5	21.89	22.12	22.11	22.15	22.21(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	10	14	150	0	67%	0.2	75.3	1.06%	0	1.5	81	INF
2	Sep_30_2016	20.25	21.43	21.81	22.02	22.07	22.15	22.18(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	0	8	144	0	67%	0.25	68.3	1.07%	0	1.6	69	INF
3	Sep_29_2016	20.2	21.34	21.71	21.96	21.97	22.06	21.96(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	30	3	143	0	70%	0.2	59.6	1.06%	0	1.3	67	INF
4	Sep_28_2016	20.16	21.27	21.64	21.93	21.94	22.08	22.16(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	50	27	147	0.02	72%	0.15	53	1.09%	0	1.8	63	INF
5	Sep_27_2016	20.13	21.2	21.49	21.75	21.86	21.88	22.11(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	20	20	104	0	64%	0.2	42.5	1.12%	0	2	62	INF

6	Sep_26_2016	20.09	21.15	21.34	21.62	21.67	21.79	21.69(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	4	64	0	62%	0.2	38	1.21%	0	1.4	59	INF
7	Sep_23_2016	20.05	21.1	21.27	21.56	21.61	21.84	21.86(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	80	24	68	0	56%	0.2	33.7	1.28%	0	2.1	70	INF
8	Sep_22_2016	20.01	21.05	21.18	21.43	21.48	21.55	21.85(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	110	30	113	99	0	56%	0.2	22.3	1.28%	0	2.4	72	INF
9	Sep_21_2016	19.97	21.05	21.18	21.3	17.36	21.38	21.25(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	1070	8	56	0	52%	0.1	15	1.25%	0	0.8	63	INF
10	Sep_20_2016	19.95	21.02	21.11	21.19	17.3	21.42	21.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	304	1120	343	187	0	52%	0.15	3.8	1.24%	0	1.5	60	INF

11	Sep_19_2016	19.92	21	21.08	21.02	17.12	13.34	21.38(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-2100	17	39	0	52%	0.1	-14.5	1.24%	0	1.5	55	INF
12	Sep_16_2016	19.9	21	21.01	20.94	16.92	13.19	21.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-257	-2120	-308	-105	0	52%	0.1	-26.1	1.24%	0	0.9	55	INF
13	Sep_15_2016	19.88	21	20.94	20.9	16.91	20.9	21.2(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	1080	10	7	0	52%	0.1	-28.6	1.24%	0	0.9	54	INF
14	Sep_14_2016	19.86	20.98	20.88	20.91	16.88	20.66	20.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	259	990	307	115	0	49%	0.05	-23.5	1.21%	0	-1	40	INF
15	Sep_13_2016	19.85	21.01	20.9	21.03	17.02	12.92	20.61(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-2260	-21	-10	0	47%	0.05	-3.4	1.21%	0	-1.6	38	INF

16	Sep_12_2016	19.84	21.01	20.94	21.14	17.19	13.11	20.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-359	-2220	-425	-160	0	49%	0.05	14.9	1.21%	0	-0.2	46	INF
17	Sep_9_2016	19.83	21.04	20.94	21.08	21.17	21.13	20.98(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-0	4	-0	0	47%	0.05	14.9	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	INF
18	Sep_8_2016	19.82	21.05	20.93	20.98	21.09	21.27	21.28(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	80	18	-15	0	49%	0.1	11.4	1.21%	0	1	49	INF
19	Sep_7_2016	19.8	21.03	20.93	20.84	20.89	21.22	21.28(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	120	22	-30	0	49%	0.1	5.5	1.21%	0	1.1	51	INF
20	Sep_6_2016	19.78	21.01	20.91	20.76	20.76	20.91	21.17(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	50	19	-44	0	52%	0.05	8.3	1.21%	0	0.7	45	INF

21	Sep_2_2016	19.77	21	20.9	20.73	20.68	20.56	20.69(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-8	-61	0	48%	0.05	10.5	1.19%	0	-1.4	39	INF
22	Sep_1_2016	19.76	21.01	20.94	20.77	20.78	20.61	20.47(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-60	-17	-62	0	48%	0.05	20.2	1.19%	0	-2.3	32	INF
23	Aug_31_2016	19.75	21.03	21.02	20.86	20.88	20.79	20.61(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-30	-18	-50	0	48%	0.05	31.2	1.19%	0	-1.8	38	INF
24	Aug_30_2016	19.74	21.02	21.08	20.99	20.93	20.95	20.84(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-0	-10	-25	0	48%	0.05	38.3	1.18%	0	-0.7	50	INF
25	Aug_29_2016	19.73	21	21.13	21.07	21.05	20.97	21.04(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-30	-2	-2	0	48%		44.4	1.19%	0	0.1	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.