Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $20.6300 (0.19%) ($20.6300 - $20.7100) on Mon. Aug. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $20.6300(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.56(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.4(1.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.23(1.98%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.12%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.99%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.24%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.76%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160901

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_1_2016	19.29	20.23	20.4	20.56	20.61	20.63	20.63(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	10	9	24	0	51%	0.16	94.6	1.34%	0	1	53	INF
2	Jul_29_2016	19.26	20.17	20.38	20.45	20.53	20.65	20.59(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	50	11	20	0	47%	0.16	90.1	1.35%	0	1	60	INF
3	Jul_28_2016	19.23	20.11	20.35	20.36	20.41	20.59	20.7(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	70	13	15	0	47%	0.1	77.7	1.43%	0	1.3	64	INF
4	Jul_27_2016	19.21	20.03	20.31	20.3	20.27	20.41	20.52(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	40	8	18	0	47%	0.16	68.5	1.43%	0	1	68	INF
5	Jul_26_2016	19.18	19.94	20.3	20.28	20.27	20.23	20.34(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10	7	40	0	47%	0.1	51.7	1.43%	0	0.7	72	INF

6	Jul_25_2016	19.16	19.84	20.3	20.23	20.27	20.13	20.12(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-40	-9	52	0	47%	0.05	31.9	1.42%	0	0.4	69	INF
7	Jul_22_2016	19.15	19.79	20.3	20.3	20.24	20.25	20.14(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-8	75	0	47%	0.1	29.9	1.42%	0	0.5	64	INF
8	Jul_21_2016	19.13	19.76	20.31	20.33	20.32	20.36	20.38(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	6	102	0	47%	0.16	33.7	1.41%	0	1	71	INF
9	Jul_20_2016	19.1	19.71	20.24	20.31	20.3	20.23	20.42(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-30	-3	107	0	47%	0.16	33.8	1.42%	0	1.1	73	INF
10	Jul_19_2016	19.07	19.67	20.12	20.33	20.28	20.28	20.09(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10	-11	119	0	42%	0.16	39	1.41%	0	0.7	75	INF

11	Jul_18_2016	19.04	19.64	20.05	20.4	20.4	20.37	20.47(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10	8	158	0	44%	0.21	45.7	1.42%	0	1.4	87	INF
12	Jul_15_2016	19	19.59	19.94	20.33	20.39	20.28	20.3(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-30	-0	161	0	44%	0.16	45.4	1.41%	0	1.2	67	INF
13	Jul_14_2016	18.97	19.55	19.84	20.27	20.36	20.42	20.29(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	30	8	154	0	44%	0.21	43.1	1.42%	0	1.3	56	INF
14	Jul_13_2016	18.93	19.5	19.73	20.14	20.29	20.49	20.48(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	90	30	144	0	44%	0.26	34.1	1.42%	0	1.9	60	INF
15	Jul_12_2016	18.88	19.43	19.56	19.88	20.06	20.29	20.46(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	110	30	97	0	44%	0.21	16.1	1.44%	0	2.2	58	INF

16	Jul_11_2016	18.84	19.37	19.34	19.64	19.78	20.09	20.11(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	130	23	38	0	42%	0.21	-4.8	1.42%	0	1.9	53	INF
17	Jul_8_2016	18.8	19.34	19.22	19.51	19.55	19.83	20.03(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	110	27	12	0	42%	0.21	-15.2	1.42%	0	1.9	54	INF
18	Jul_7_2016	18.76	19.31	19.16	19.36	19.4	19.46	19.62(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	30	15	-7	0	38%	0.16	-30.1	1.4%	0	0.9	52	INF
19	Jul_6_2016	18.73	19.32	19.13	19.27	19.31	19.27	19.19(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10	6	-23	0	34%	0.21	-30.6	1.37%	0	-0.4	47	INF
20	Jul_5_2016	18.69	19.36	19.17	19.17	19.27	19.35	19.25(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	40	19	-23	0	34%	0.21	-31.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	51	INF

21	Jul_1_2016	18.65	19.36	19.2	18.97	19.13	19.34	19.45(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	100	19	-41	0	34%	0.27	-37.8	1.38%	0	0.2	52	INF
22	Jun_30_2016	18.6	19.39	19.21	18.87	18.85	19.2	19.29(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	130	6	-60	0	34%	0.27	-40.3	1.38%	0	-0.3	45	INF
23	Jun_29_2016	18.55	19.41	19.22	18.94	18.81	18.92	19.16(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	20	8	-57	0	40%	0.22	-28.6	1.37%	0	-0.6	43	INF
24	Jun_28_2016	18.51	19.43	19.24	19	18.91	18.5	18.7(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-170	-24	-73	0	36%	0.22	-18.9	1.39%	0	-1.9	31	INF
25	Jun_27_2016	18.47	19.48	19.3	19.17	19.1	18.7	18.26(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-58	-160	-51	-79	0.01	31%		6.5	1.36%	0	-3.4	22	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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