Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $19.4500 (0.83%) ($19.4500 - $19.4500) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $19.4500(0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.28(-21.44%)
5 Day Moving Average   $18.97(2.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.2(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.39(0.31%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.11%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.44%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.74%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.83%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2016	18.65		19.2	18.97	19.13	19.34	19.45(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	100	19	-41	0	34%	0.27	-37.8	1.38%	0	0.2	52	0
2	Jun_30_2016	18.6	19.39	19.21	18.87	18.85	19.2	19.29(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	130	6	-60	0	34%	0.27	-40.3	1.38%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Jun_29_2016	18.55	19.41	19.22	18.94	18.81	18.92	19.16(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	20	8	-57	0	40%	0.22	-28.6	1.37%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Jun_28_2016	18.51	19.43	19.24	19	18.91	18.5	18.7(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-170	-24	-73	0	36%	0.22	-18.9	1.39%	0	-1.9	31	0
5	Jun_27_2016	18.47	19.48	19.3	19.17	19.1	18.7	18.26(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-58	-160	-51	-79	0.01	31%	0.16	6.5	1.36%	0	-3.4	22	0

6	Jun_24_2016	18.44	19.54	19.42	19.45	19.41	19.32	18.96(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-40	-21	-47	0.01	31%	0.11	63.4	1.29%	0	-2.4	28	0
7	Jun_23_2016	18.42	19.55	19.42	19.58	19.57	19.5	19.62(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-30	4	-21	0.01	35%	0.22	117.8	1.28%	0	0.3	51	0
8	Jun_22_2016	18.38	19.53	19.49	19.54	19.57	19.49	19.44(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-20	-5	-32	0	35%	0.16	119.5	1.28%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	Jun_21_2016	18.35	19.51	19.53	19.53	19.56	19.64	19.58(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	30	7	-21	0	35%	0.11	115.9	1.28%	0	0.3	52	0
10	Jun_20_2016	18.33	19.45	19.56	19.46	19.52	19.63	19.67(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	50	14	-18	0.01	35%	0.16	83.8	1.28%	0	0.6	55	0

11	Jun_17_2016	18.3	19.38	19.56	19.46	19.42	19.48	19.57(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	3	-19	0	40%	0.16	63.8	1.31%	0	0.4	59	0
12	Jun_16_2016	18.27	19.31	19.58	19.39	19.4	19.42	19.42(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	10	-3	-14	0	40%	0.16	54.3	1.31%	0	0.2	58	0
13	Jun_15_2016	18.24	19.26	19.62	19.44	19.44	19.36	19.4(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-30	-10	3	0	36%	0.11	53.2	1.31%	0	0.2	61	0
14	Jun_14_2016	18.22	19.2	19.63	19.54	19.5	19.38	19.24(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-50	-19	24	0.01	41%	0.11	52.9	1.37%	0	0.1	62	0
15	Jun_13_2016	18.2	19.16	19.66	19.68	19.65	19.52	19.31(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-50	-15	66	0.01	41%	0.11	57.2	1.4%	0	0.2	73	0

16	Jun_10_2016	18.18	19.1	19.67	19.8	19.78	19.63	19.6(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-60	-6	110	0	43%	0.17	60.7	1.39%	0	0.7	82	0
17	Jun_9_2016	18.15	19.02	19.64	19.79	19.83	19.78	19.63(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10	-7	137	0.01	43%	0.11	58.2	1.39%	0	0.9	85	0
18	Jun_8_2016	18.13	18.96	19.59	19.82	19.81	19.93	19.92(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	40	9	168	0	44%	0.17	60.4	1.39%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Jun_7_2016	18.1	18.88	19.49	19.74	19.76	19.88	19.93(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	50	15	178	0.01	44%	0.11	58.3	1.41%	0	1.5	82	0
20	Jun_6_2016	18.08	18.79	19.34	19.65	19.65	19.7	19.92(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	13	173	0	44%	0.11	53.4	1.41%	0	1.8	77	0

21	Jun_3_2016	18.06	18.69	19.17	19.52	19.57	19.64	19.57(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	7	160	0	49%	0.11	43.6	1.42%	0	1.4	77	0
22	Jun_2_2016	18.04	18.62	19.02	19.45	19.51	19.61	19.74(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	50	16	158	0	49%	0.11	31.5	1.44%	0	1.9	82	0
23	Jun_1_2016	18.02	18.54	18.87	19.32	19.38	19.5	19.52(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	50	15	144	0	52%	0.06	17.5	1.44%	0	1.9	69	0
24	May_31_2016	18.01	18.49	18.73	19.2	19.25	19.4	19.49(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	24	129	0	49%	0.06	3.9	1.45%	0	2.1	65	0
25	May_27_2016	18	18.46	18.6	18.98	19.12	19.26	19.29(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	70	26	103	0.01	52%		-16.7	1.46%	0	2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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