Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $18.2100 (-2.72%) ($18.2000 - $18.2100) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $18.2100(-2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.94(-17.96%)
Resistance Level   $19.42
5 Day Moving Average   $18.88(-3.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.22(-5.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.42(-6.23%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.42%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.41%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.88%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	18.34	19.42	19.22	18.88	18.71	18.46	18.21(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-43	-120	-30	-83	0	52%	-0.11	-33.2	1.88%	0	-3	22	0
2	May_3_2016	18.36	19.49	19.37	19.13	19.05	18.86	18.72(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-80	-15	-60	0	55%	-0.11	-13.2	1.85%	0	-2.5	32	0
3	May_2_2016	18.38	19.53	19.44	19.3	19.24	18.95	19(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-110	-18	-48	0	52%	-0.11	12.5	1.84%	0	-2.1	44	0
4	Apr_29_2016	18.4	19.56	19.53	19.43	19.39	19.25	18.88(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-23	-60	-20	-32	0.01	52%	-0.11	51.2	1.85%	0	-2.8	44	0
5	Apr_28_2016	18.42	19.58	19.62	19.59	19.58	19.54	19.59(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-20	-2	-4	0	54%	-0.05	100.9	1.8%	0	0	56	0

6	Apr_27_2016	18.43	19.55	19.66	19.63	19.61	19.53	19.47(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-30	-4	6	0	54%	-0.11	93.8	1.83%	0	-0.3	51	0
7	Apr_26_2016	18.45	19.53	19.7	19.64	19.67	19.62	19.57(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10	0	14	0	54%	-0.05	84.5	1.83%	0	0.1	53	0
8	Apr_25_2016	18.46	19.5	19.69	19.61	19.63	19.69	19.62(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	20	-2	12	0	54%	-0.05	62.5	1.84%	0	0.3	57	0
9	Apr_22_2016	18.47	19.43	19.67	19.65	19.59	19.72	19.71(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	40	3	15	0	55%	-0.11	61.7	1.85%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Apr_21_2016	18.49	19.37	19.64	19.66	19.62	19.56	19.76(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-30	-0	20	0	55%	-0.05	57	1.86%	0	0.8	64	0

11	Apr_20_2016	18.5	19.32	19.62	19.71	19.63	19.46	19.56(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-70	-11	26	0	53%	-0.11	69.7	1.86%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Apr_19_2016	18.52	19.29	19.61	19.76	19.78	19.67	19.39(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-40	-6	42	0	53%	-0.11	82	1.89%	0	0.2	64	0
13	Apr_18_2016	18.54	19.25	19.62	19.78	19.86	19.8	19.82(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	-10	3	57	0.01	55%	-0.05	85.5	1.87%	0	1.2	77	0
14	Apr_15_2016	18.55	19.19	19.59	19.7	19.77	19.9	19.77(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	60	63	93	0	51%	0.05	85.1	1.89%	0	1.2	83	0
15	Apr_14_2016	18.54	19.11	19.53	19.62	16.04	19.92	20.02(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	1150	15	79	0	51%	-0.05	79.4	1.95%	0	1.8	90	0

16	Apr_13_2016	18.55	19.01	19.43	19.52	15.88	19.65	19.81(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	184	1100	196	148	0	49%	-0.05	74.5	1.95%	0	1.5	66	0
17	Apr_12_2016	18.56	18.91	19.34	19.45	15.84	12.17	19.49(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-2180	2	66	0	49%	-0.05	65.7	1.98%	0	1.1	63	0
18	Apr_11_2016	18.57	18.85	19.28	19.43	15.83	12.12	19.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-189	-2200	-242	-30	0	46%	-0.11	65.8	1.99%	0	1	65	0
19	Apr_8_2016	18.59	18.78	19.18	19.46	19.47	19.51	19.39(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	20	1	67	0	46%	0.05	60.4	2.04%	0	1.1	67	0
20	Apr_7_2016	18.58	18.7	19.07	19.41	19.51	19.55	19.5(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	30	61	90	0	43%	0.05	54.8	2.04%	0	1.4	75	0

21	Apr_6_2016	18.57	18.63	19	19.33	15.8	19.44	19.48(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	1060	6	74	0	42%	0.05	54.6	2.1%	0	1.5	76	0
22	Apr_5_2016	18.56	18.56	18.94	19.22	15.72	19.47	19.4(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	173	1120	181	150	0	42%	0.05	58.2	2.11%	0	1.6	77	0
23	Apr_4_2016	18.55	18.51	18.86	19.1	15.62	12.16	19.53(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	-2100	20	81	0	41%	0.05	70.7	2.11%	0	2.1	65	0
24	Apr_1_2016	18.54	18.46	18.76	18.85	15.44	11.97	19.13(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-120	-2120	-159	-2	0	41%	0.05	82.9	2.11%	0	1.6	67	0
25	Mar_31_2016	18.53	18.4	18.65	18.68	15.39	19.08	19.13(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	1150	10	55	0	40%		94.3	2.13%	0	1.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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